TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Ducks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$147,331
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,402

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,331 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Over53c100,000$52,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,499.991,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e5e…fd91backed Under47c66,064$31,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,0502462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under48c24,701$11,834 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,833.833141.9%13 W · 18 L-4.0wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-24.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Under48c19,908$9,556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,555.9988151.2%451 W · 430 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Over53c14,225$7,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,685.8622550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Over51c8,848$4,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,336.491,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…92a7backed Under47c5,000$2,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,349.9127548.7%134 W · 141 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68df…4815backed Under49c4,993$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.671050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x546a…36fdbacked Under48c3,362$1,614 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,613.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under47c2,000$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94022150.2%111 W · 110 L+8.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under48c1,938$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9307054.3%38 W · 32 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc17f…50aabacked Under48c1,926$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.4816346%75 W · 88 L-9.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over54c1,862$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$862.1285250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Over52c1,733$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.911,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Under47c1,587$746 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74630152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over55c1,365$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.9743743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef92…9df5backed Under48c1,345$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.61040%4 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Over52c1,184$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$568.5686649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ee0…5233backed Under49c977.55$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4792250%11 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under46c882.1$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.912,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Over52c842.67$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.4816241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over54c555.56$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.5630946.3%143 W · 166 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0585…5fa1backed Over53c509.43$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.432254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Under46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23075946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Over53c494.34$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3411354%61 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9fc…da76backed Under46c472.99$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5823751.5%122 W · 115 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Under49c468$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.321,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over54c467.71$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.1451045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under46c444$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.2449546.5%230 W · 265 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20053050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c70…a951backed Over53c400$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c81…1056backed Under48c379$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.92742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.372740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89b8…5cf9backed Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.373545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under47c276.6$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x273c…7a42backed Over53c241.52$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.1518159.7%108 W · 73 L+8.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over53c220.95$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.4610540%42 W · 63 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa924…b1b9backed Under45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9033735%118 W · 219 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x591a…aec2backed Over53c189$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.8313644.9%61 W · 75 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b3a…2841backed Under49c180$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.276450.4%385 W · 379 L+7.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d56…0ba5backed Over54c180$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.85550.9%28 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2567…2371backed Under48c150$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729552.6%50 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0fd…5903backed Over53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.088949.4%44 W · 45 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x205f…0189backed Over54c127.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.7815347.7%73 W · 80 L-7.7wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x44f2…1415backed Over53c100$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477052.9%37 W · 33 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Under47c99.97$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.9841847.8%200 W · 218 L+11.3wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed Over53c97.89$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5249053.7%263 W · 227 L-1.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.345954.2%32 W · 27 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9419…a40fbacked Over53c94.34$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.341861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+26.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5b3…0476backed Over54c92.59$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.592352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c89.58$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.551,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f9f…c934backed Over53c84.91$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.9121454.2%116 W · 98 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Under49c79.16$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7962944%277 W · 352 L-14.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52bd…1a8abacked Over53c76$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.729055.6%50 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0dd3…8254backed Over53c75.47$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.475848.3%28 W · 30 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9242…60babacked Over55c70$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd547…5ed7backed Under48c70$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.63036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-19.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under47c68$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.9679251.1%405 W · 387 L+21.7wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1bd…4f40backed Over54c66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.6916552.7%87 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over54c64.81$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8120145.8%92 W · 109 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Under54c60$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.449045.3%222 W · 268 L-1.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa63d…f4e8backed Over52c60$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.61942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over46c58.82$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.823161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+35.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9748149.3%237 W · 244 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1941…c47fbacked Under47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9710652.8%56 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under47c51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9747249.2%232 W · 240 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Over54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.021,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x420e…e3c9backed Over52c49.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+20.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbca0…7db3backed Over54c47.28$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.864643.5%20 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ba…2aecbacked Over53c47.17$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.172250%11 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c6…5210backed Under47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010652.8%56 W · 50 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd14…8e90backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+31.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x46a0…f721backed Over55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.368646.5%40 W · 46 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c2d…2570backed Under47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9817552%91 W · 84 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb95e…c6d6backed Under47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9817249.4%85 W · 87 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under46c31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2679350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.127445.6%125 W · 149 L+1.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over53c30$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.110955%60 W · 49 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Under48c29.17$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1469061.6%425 W · 265 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f02…c594backed Over55c29.09$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.09450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62a1…978abacked Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.14per pick66cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.39452.1%49 W · 45 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac27…18e7backed Over55c27.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.459649%47 W · 49 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xac68…4cf4backed Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.272161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+30.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8320…94ebbacked Over55c27.27$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.274052.5%21 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-3.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under48c25.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.241,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under46c25.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.61,02853.2%547 W · 481 L+21.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Under47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7526448.9%129 W · 135 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Under47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7526348.7%128 W · 135 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Under47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7527148.7%132 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa7e8…c457backed Over53c24.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.284463.6%28 W · 16 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+12.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Under50c23.13$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510951.4%56 W · 53 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb000…558dbacked Over54c22.25$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.252045%9 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under46c21.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0435248%169 W · 183 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8e8…1580backed Under48c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.08955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under75c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518262.1%113 W · 69 L+15.6wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xed8d…a20dbacked Under50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102850%14 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf30a…3583backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.47640.8%31 W · 45 L-9.3wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa36b…8eb1backed Over53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.