NHL · resolved market
Ducks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2670fe5239c32ac5a6647c31e130c2f30612d6e541d4e93f6cdf2372692628a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $147,331
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,402
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,331 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Over | 53c | 100,000$52,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47,499.99 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Under | 47c | 66,064$31,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,050 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…5a3fbacked Under | 48c | 24,701$11,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,833.83 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 48c | 19,908$9,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,555.99 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Over | 53c | 14,225$7,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,685.86 | 225 | 50.2%113 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Over | 51c | 8,848$4,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.49 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.91 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Under | 49c | 4,993$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x546a…36fdbacked Under | 48c | 3,362$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,613.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Under | 48c | 1,938$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc17f…50aabacked Under | 48c | 1,926$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$924.48 | 163 | 46%75 W · 88 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 54c | 1,862$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.12 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 52c | 1,733$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$827.91 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 47c | 1,587$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Over | 55c | 1,365$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.97 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…9df5backed Under | 48c | 1,345$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.6 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Over | 52c | 1,184$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$568.56 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee0…5233backed Under | 49c | 977.55$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 46c | 882.1$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.91 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Over | 52c | 842.67$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.48 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Over | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.56 | 309 | 46.3%143 W · 166 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0585…5fa1backed Over | 53c | 509.43$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.43 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Over | 53c | 494.34$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.34 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Under | 46c | 472.99$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.58 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 468$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.32 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Over | 54c | 467.71$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.14 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 46c | 444$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.24 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…a951backed Over | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…1056backed Under | 48c | 379$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.92 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x347c…525abacked Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x89b8…5cf9backed Over | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 47c | 276.6$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x273c…7a42backed Over | 53c | 241.52$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.15 | 181 | 59.7%108 W · 73 L | +8.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 53c | 220.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.46 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Under | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x591a…aec2backed Over | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d56…0ba5backed Over | 54c | 180$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.8 | 55 | 50.9%28 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2567…2371backed Under | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0fd…5903backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x205f…0189backed Over | 54c | 127.78$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.78 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -7.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f2…1415backed Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 47c | 99.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.98 | 418 | 47.8%200 W · 218 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13b…9ef9backed Over | 53c | 97.89$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.52 | 490 | 53.7%263 W · 227 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9419…a40fbacked Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Over | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 89.58$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.55 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…c934backed Over | 53c | 84.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.91 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 49c | 79.16$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.79 | 629 | 44%277 W · 352 L | -14.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52bd…1a8abacked Over | 53c | 76$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.72 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd3…8254backed Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9242…60babacked Over | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…5ed7backed Under | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 47c | 68$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 792 | 51.1%405 W · 387 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bd…4f40backed Over | 54c | 66$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 54c | 64.81$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 201 | 45.8%92 W · 109 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 54c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.4 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…f4e8backed Over | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…bc0dbacked Over | 46c | 58.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 481 | 49.3%237 W · 244 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Under | 47c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.97 | 472 | 49.2%232 W · 240 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420e…e3c9backed Over | 52c | 49.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…7db3backed Over | 54c | 47.28$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2aecbacked Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…8e90backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a0…f721backed Over | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 175 | 52%91 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Under | 47c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 46c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.26 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 274 | 45.6%125 W · 149 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f6…a31cbacked Over | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 48c | 29.17$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f02…c594backed Over | 55c | 29.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.09 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a1…978abacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc5…7ac4backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac27…18e7backed Over | 55c | 27.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.45 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xac68…4cf4backed Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…94ebbacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 48c | 25.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 46c | 25.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 264 | 48.9%129 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Under | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 271 | 48.7%132 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…c457backed Over | 53c | 24.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 50c | 23.13$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…558dbacked Over | 54c | 22.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Under | 46c | 21.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 352 | 48%169 W · 183 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e8…1580backed Under | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Under | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 182 | 62.1%113 W · 69 L | +15.6wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed8d…a20dbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…3583backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | -9.3wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…8eb1backed Over | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ducks vs. Penguins: O/U 6.5this page
- Ducks vs. PenguinsDucks won
- Spread: Ducks (-1.5)Penguins won
- Spread: Penguins (-1.5)Ducks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.