TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Wild vs. Sharks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sharksof Wild, Sharks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$658,815
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$693,601

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $658,815 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 363 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Wild63c150,000$94,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94,499.9315953.5%85 W · 74 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed Sharks37c120,118$44,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75,674.317946.8%37 W · 42 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Sharks39c70,222$27,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,041.9120354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed Wild62c67,810$41,842 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41,842.4856649.5%280 W · 286 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Wild57c55,503$31,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,546.351,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab5…6b51backed Wild63c42,000$26,460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,460728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-58.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x98f7…b3e4backed Wild62c32,053$19,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,873.0310753.3%57 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca8…1a39backed Wild62c29,918$18,549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,548.982650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Sharks72c28,262$20,428 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,834.2838748.3%187 W · 200 L+1.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Sharks37c25,980$9,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,412.152,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7a…4c4cbacked Wild53c21,446$11,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,366.274247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Wild61c20,735$12,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,648.4651452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Sharks39c20,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,20025449.2%125 W · 129 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Sharks46c16,957$7,774 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,182.958252.4%43 W · 39 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Wild41c16,609$6,878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,877.531,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Sharks38c14,077$5,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,729.341,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Sharks38c12,887$4,897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,989.6928251.8%146 W · 136 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Sharks38c12,500$4,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,75032946.8%154 W · 175 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Sharks38c12,345$4,691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,653.94949%24 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Wild62c12,137$7,495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,495.0733652.1%175 W · 161 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07c8…2696backed Sharks47c11,342$5,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,011.077844.9%35 W · 43 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Wild51c10,308$5,209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,208.9938738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8717…49a8backed Sharks38c9,748$3,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,044.0430152.5%158 W · 143 L+17.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xedf0…1e2abacked Sharks38c9,000$3,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,58014940.9%61 W · 88 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Wild1c8,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802174.1%9 W · 208 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick3cpaid+36.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed Sharks37c7,900$2,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9777659.2%45 W · 31 L+7.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+29.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4738…df78backed Sharks37c7,473$2,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,707.995735.1%20 W · 37 L-13.5wins-0.24per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight32-0.17 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Sharks67c7,000$4,670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,329.9726344.5%117 W · 146 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Wild53c6,934$3,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,674.7941850%209 W · 209 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks47c6,680$3,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,516.841,67954.4%914 W · 765 L+36.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5836…4d03backed Sharks38c6,579$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.958247.6%39 W · 43 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45e1…c872backed Sharks37c6,578$2,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,144.382846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Sharks37c6,563$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,115.541,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Sharks47c6,383$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,382.9823047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Wild61c6,000$3,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6601,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sharks59c5,363$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,183.31,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Sharks38c5,000$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1001,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Sharks28c4,675$1,312 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.0613251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Wild63c4,545$2,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.8675251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3679…2bacbacked Sharks42c4,500$1,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,595.438952.8%47 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+4.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Sharks38c3,947$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,447.3760337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b9e…0262backed Sharks39c3,900$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3792138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-31.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Wild65c3,540$2,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,312.1957157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Sharks52c3,336$1,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,596.281,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0a4f…3aa5backed Sharks37c3,160$1,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.82360.9%14 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+38.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Sharks46c3,023$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.842065%13 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick48cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e68…d99bbacked Sharks37c3,000$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,89028652.4%150 W · 136 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Wild55c2,727$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004032.5%13 W · 27 L-8.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-39.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xfce1…9ce7backed Sharks38c2,547$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.146653%35 W · 31 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Wild1c2,544$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.447450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Sharks38c2,222$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,377.6410850.9%55 W · 53 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Wild55c2,189$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.543742.3%185 W · 252 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Sharks30c2,118$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.9424654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Wild36c2,106$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75043743%188 W · 249 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Sharks38c2,100$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,301.9961959.1%366 W · 253 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24da…9561backed Sharks38c2,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2402740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Wild62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,24061748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Sharks37c2,000$745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25597651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Sharks39c2,000$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,22038046.6%177 W · 203 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Wild36c1,971$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.4934538.6%133 W · 212 L-15.3wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xef23…5b60backed Sharks38c1,900$722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,177.9364242.2%271 W · 371 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Sharks38c1,876$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,167.179350.1%397 W · 396 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce99…637ebacked Sharks39c1,821$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.5126946.1%124 W · 145 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8307…ad90backed Wild3c1,800$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55375.4%2 W · 35 L-0.1wins0.00per pick6cpaid-58.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Sharks39c1,700$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03724845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ba4…8a89backed Sharks39c1,700$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0374837.5%18 W · 30 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Wild61c1,700$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,036.9783652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Wild62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00055446.4%257 W · 297 L-0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2058…cf57backed Wild62c1,613$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-32.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbff1…d32bbacked Wild63c1,590$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.782254.5%12 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-19.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Sharks39c1,543$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.9818547%87 W · 98 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Sharks34c1,523$516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.7985464.2%548 W · 306 L+64.5wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+18.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x66c9…2e68backed Sharks67c1,491$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.474778.7%37 W · 10 L+3.7wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc4a6…6d23backed Sharks38c1,489$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.1928853.1%153 W · 135 L+14.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sharks36c1,440$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.61,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e87…2171backed Wild57c1,427$812 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811.5515360.8%93 W · 60 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Sharks41c1,391$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.5589636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe529…245dbacked Wild75c1,333$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Wild61c1,317$803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$803.3784953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wild69c1,269$877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$876.7682043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Wild63c1,218$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.911,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Sharks49c1,211$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.821,35452.6%712 W · 642 L+46.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6909…36b5backed Wild56c1,166$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.73425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-53.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Sharks37c1,010$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.2648050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Wild1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Wild1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102420.8%2 W · 240 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fae…3488backed Sharks49c955.09$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.359550.5%48 W · 47 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Sharks38c895$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.925045.2%113 W · 137 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2439…2e1fbacked Sharks47c830.93$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.372152.4%11 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.10per pick42cpaid+3.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Sharks38c825.87$314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.360249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Sharks38c818.42$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$507.422,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6ec…0ce2backed Wild62c800$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4961478.6%11 W · 3 L+3.5wins+0.25per pick54cpaid+48.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x63ac…3891backed Sharks39c780$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.81471.4%10 W · 4 L+3.8wins+0.27per pick44cpaid+61.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d3d…543cbacked Sharks39c770$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.71346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Wild63c764.29$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.547256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Wild62c764.1$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.881,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2f8…bac1backed Wild62c750$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4651747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb15f…925fbacked Wild79c690$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.110%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x44a0…73f7backed Sharks21c690$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Sharks37c681.9$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.071,53051.7%791 W · 739 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.