NHL · resolved market
Spread: Wild (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x897b3990c9951bad7c3b5c45b609a75a5b1edf17ebc2882814fd42f4bf2972e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Wild, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,513
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Wild | 40c | 3,303$1,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,327.49 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Sharks | 55c | 2,338$1,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.44 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Sharks | 60c | 2,000$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Wild | 45c | 1,496$681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.5 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Wild | 46c | 765.94$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.34 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Sharks | 64c | 670.77$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.27 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Sharks | 10c | 603.26$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.93 | 83 | 68.7%57 W · 26 L | +12.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed Sharks | 62c | 572.21$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.44 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Sharks | 59c | 563.67$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.11 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2885…486cbacked Wild | 38c | 528.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.02 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…f8bebacked Sharks | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wild | 34c | 365.48$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.13 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wild | 6c | 284.53$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.07 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Wild | 43c | 272.75$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Wild | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Sharks | 16c | 210.72$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.28 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +7.1wins | +0.27per pick | 11cpaid | +228.3%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Sharks | 62c | 152.48$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Wild | 43c | 122$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.46 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Wild | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 541 | 32.7%177 W · 364 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa65b…b0c0backed Sharks | 60c | 95$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…bdddbacked Sharks | 51c | 91.22$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.7 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -7.2wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Wild | 38c | 75.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.68 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Wild | 38c | 73.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sharks | 39c | 59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.19 | 740 | 54.5%403 W · 337 L | +22.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a9…9a69backed Wild | 41c | 58.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f1…1ec7backed Wild | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Wild | 38c | 33.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.71 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733e…c558backed Sharks | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Sharks | 59c | 29.99$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Wild | 38c | 27.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 360 | 38.6%139 W · 221 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Wild | 40c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked Wild | 39c | 26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb600…214ebacked Sharks | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…8392backed Sharks | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wild (-1.5)this page
- Wild vs. SharksSharks won
- Wild vs. Sharks: O/U 6.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.