NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Predators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xebe0b64f831f0e8d7a5eedfdbcec77e8b9889b411e2dc0c4c9f70b520714aae1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Predatorsof Islanders, Predators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,111,856
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,124,795
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,111,856 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 429 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Islanders | 49c | 520,000$254,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254,799.97 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Predators | 51c | 260,806$133,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,523.9 | 561 | 52%292 W · 269 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98f7…b3e4backed Predators | 53c | 235,822$124,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111,077.96 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | +7.6wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b4…a278backed Predators | 51c | 204,082$104,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,000 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Islanders | 48c | 127,573$60,835 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,835.17 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Predators | 51c | 82,876$42,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,280.44 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Islanders | 47c | 75,000$35,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,250 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c16…09cbbacked Islanders | 47c | 55,000$25,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,850 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Predators | 53c | 39,942$21,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,772.88 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Predators | 51c | 26,443$13,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,957.23 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Islanders | 49c | 17,695$8,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,626.44 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Islanders | 46c | 15,190$6,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,987.4 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Islanders | 48c | 10,530$5,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,054.4 | 283 | 53%150 W · 133 L | +16.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Islanders | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked Predators | 33c | 10,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,699.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Predators | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,799.99 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Islanders | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,140 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5836…4d03backed Islanders | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Islanders | 48c | 8,220$3,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,945.39 | 282 | 51.8%146 W · 136 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Islanders | 49c | 8,169$3,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,969.65 | 387 | 38%147 W · 240 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Predators | 54c | 6,800$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,128 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7298…fe8dbacked Predators | 53c | 6,604$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,103.77 | 332 | 43.7%145 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Islanders | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Islanders | 47c | 6,500$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Predators | 52c | 6,348$3,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,029.84 | 793 | 50.1%397 W · 396 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Predators | 52c | 5,624$2,924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,699.5 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Predators | 54c | 5,537$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.87 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Islanders | 59c | 5,464$3,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,213.18 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Islanders | 67c | 5,409$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.23 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8366…21ebbacked Islanders | 47c | 5,319$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Predators | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Islanders | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,350 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x936f…d171backed Islanders | 49c | 5,000$2,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,425 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -8.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Predators | 53c | 4,469$2,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,103.46 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Islanders | 46c | 4,444$2,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,044.24 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Predators | 53c | 4,232$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,999.58 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac4…3081backed Predators | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49d1…2a44backed Predators | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked Predators | 51c | 3,710$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,817.8 | 205 | 52.2%107 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Predators | 53c | 3,400$1,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,598 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Predators | 53c | 3,224$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.28 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Predators | 53c | 3,141$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.04 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba4…8a89backed Islanders | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Islanders | 49c | 2,980$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Islanders | 46c | 2,741$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.89 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df3…53d7backed Islanders | 58c | 2,610$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,523.86 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Islanders | 48c | 2,533$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.47 | 177 | 44.6%79 W · 98 L | -12.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Predators | 52c | 2,500$1,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,192.3 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Islanders | 1c | 2,444$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.44 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Islanders | 47c | 2,396$1,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.2 | 185 | 47%87 W · 98 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Predators | 54c | 2,282$1,226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.92 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Islanders | 48c | 2,176$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.34 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Islanders | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 56c | 2,021$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.98 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 47c | 2,020$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.31 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Predators | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Predators | 53c | 2,000$1,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Predators | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.08 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Islanders | 47c | 1,839$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.41 | 269 | 55.8%150 W · 119 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Islanders | 46c | 1,829$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.34 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Islanders | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b3…9573backed Predators | 53c | 1,590$848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.57 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Islanders | 49c | 1,540$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.6 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Predators | 43c | 1,517$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.72 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…b304backed Predators | 53c | 1,420$753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fe…19afbacked Predators | 53c | 1,380$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$648.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…5950backed Islanders | 48c | 1,378$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.76 | 61 | 57.4%35 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Islanders | 51c | 1,375$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Islanders | 50c | 1,350$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 54c | 1,335$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.51 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b08…4e04backed Predators | 53c | 1,304$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Predators | 53c | 1,301$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.83 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94ea…f2dabacked Predators | 31c | 1,260$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.02 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Predators | 51c | 1,238$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.47 | 1,679 | 54.4%914 W · 765 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Islanders | 47c | 1,166$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.16 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Islanders | 7c | 1,147$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.56 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Islanders | 47c | 1,132$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.21 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb47e…c602backed Islanders | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528 | 384 | 45.8%176 W · 208 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb853…0d33backed Islanders | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb55c…bfdebacked Islanders | 48c | 1,062$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc9…499cbacked Islanders | 48c | 1,023$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa430…559dbacked Islanders | 48c | 1,019$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Islanders | 28c | 1,004$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.66 | 299 | 26.4%79 W · 220 L | -20.5wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe459…737dbacked Predators | 68c | 1,002$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Predators | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Islanders | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Islanders | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf9a…13a5backed Islanders | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Islanders | 51c | 986.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Islanders | 47c | 978.72$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Islanders | 55c | 972$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.42 | 277 | 39.4%109 W · 168 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Predators | 49c | 948.92$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.29 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Islanders | 48c | 943$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.64 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Islanders | 64c | 833$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.62 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…60e1backed Islanders | 47c | 799.99$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Predators | 50c | 770.8$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.74 | 333 | 45.6%152 W · 181 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 47c | 749.99$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fae…3488backed Islanders | 50c | 705.16$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.68 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Islanders | 47c | 700.05$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.18 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bd…2182backed Predators | 53c | 693.34$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.87 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Predatorsthis page
- Islanders vs. Predators: O/U 5.5Under won
- Islanders vs. Predators: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Islanders (-1.5)Predators won
- Spread: Predators (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.