NHL · resolved market
KHL: HC Sochi vs. Lada Togliatti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x73f0d20a8f5d31b013d69cc670393a3b0ab181c7d9cde3bce606733cdfa976a1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lada Togliattiof HC Sochi, Lada Togliatti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,998
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed HC Sochi | 52c | 261.61$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.04 | 495 | 46.5%230 W · 265 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc427…ee41backed HC Sochi | 53c | 192$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.56 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed HC Sochi | 56c | 157.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.03 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Lada Togliatti | 44c | 157.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.03 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed HC Sochi | 53c | 148$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.44 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x454a…4039backed HC Sochi | 53c | 117$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed HC Sochi | 54c | 112$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.48 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa024…4929backed HC Sochi | 53c | 109$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.77 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf6…129dbacked Lada Togliatti | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 110 | 50.9%56 W · 54 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked HC Sochi | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…b4a3backed HC Sochi | 53c | 61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2587…a117backed HC Sochi | 53c | 58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Lada Togliatti | 51c | 52.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.73 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Lada Togliatti | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca0…7ebebacked HC Sochi | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed HC Sochi | 53c | 47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.91 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…7959backed Lada Togliatti | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.85 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Lada Togliatti | 44c | 44.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.67 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb736…1946backed Lada Togliatti | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Lada Togliatti | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x315a…b24cbacked Lada Togliatti | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…4028backed Lada Togliatti | 47c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.67 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…88cfbacked Lada Togliatti | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Lada Togliatti | 47c | 37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…91eebacked Lada Togliatti | 47c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.55 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7563…1fb3backed HC Sochi | 53c | 33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e57…41f0backed Lada Togliatti | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a94…31e6backed Lada Togliatti | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…7d27backed Lada Togliatti | 47c | 29$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d89…87b0backed Lada Togliatti | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f8…667fbacked Lada Togliatti | 47c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96d2…dc9bbacked Lada Togliatti | 46c | 28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0142…b168backed HC Sochi | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4918…3db7backed Lada Togliatti | 47c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…0dd0backed HC Sochi | 53c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f53…1ddcbacked Lada Togliatti | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc368…0b4ebacked HC Sochi | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.5wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf683…f2dfbacked Lada Togliatti | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc727…adc2backed Lada Togliatti | 47c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1969…a09cbacked HC Sochi | 48c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…81b6backed Lada Togliatti | 47c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.72 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.7wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafd7…f634backed HC Sochi | 43c | 23.43$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ba…2117backed Lada Togliatti | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98cd…9417backed HC Sochi | 53c | 23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x816e…abe1backed HC Sochi | 57c | 22.81$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Lada Togliatti | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa029…c912backed Lada Togliatti | 47c | 22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.