Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Jay Clarke vs Shintaro Mochizuki
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x53d3b72ef208106b30d698cefac9cd776072eb3993435e93c596c568889c65fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Jay Clarkeof Jay Clarke, Shintaro Mochizuki
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $181,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $181,771 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 17,619$11,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,974.83 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Jay Clarke | 36c | 16,985$6,108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,876.48 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jay Clarke | 50c | 11,694$5,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,790.93 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 10,000$6,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,799.99 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 58c | 8,632$4,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,997 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Jay Clarke | 57c | 4,146$2,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.33 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 46c | 3,615$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,650.21 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Jay Clarke | 52c | 3,236$1,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,555.19 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Jay Clarke | 41c | 3,124$1,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,836.33 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Jay Clarke | 67c | 2,562$1,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$847.04 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Jay Clarke | 62c | 2,254$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.55 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Jay Clarke | 50c | 1,994$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.26 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Jay Clarke | 32c | 1,947$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322.67 | 469 | 32%150 W · 319 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x562b…f85fbacked Jay Clarke | 72c | 1,782$1,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.94 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Jay Clarke | 32c | 1,752$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,194.48 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 58c | 1,750$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.99 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224e…f7ddbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 54c | 1,671$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 1,556$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.2 | 219 | 57.1%125 W · 94 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Jay Clarke | 80c | 1,496$1,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.28 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c14…d8fbbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 65c | 1,385$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…884ebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 35c | 1,322$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.89 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Jay Clarke | 41c | 1,313$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.5 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b3…49f8backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 39c | 1,153$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f9…16fbbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 1,096$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.01 | 88 | 55.7%49 W · 39 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Jay Clarke | 47c | 1,045$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.27 | 661 | 39.3%260 W · 401 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Jay Clarke | 32c | 951.77$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.47 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 915.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jay Clarke | 48c | 754.31$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.59 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 2c | 737.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.23 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 726.75$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Jay Clarke | 37c | 725.65$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.52 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf0b…7cccbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 687.59$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.22 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Jay Clarke | 46c | 626.73$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.72 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 18c | 591.06$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.39 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 577.98$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.65 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 43c | 577.26$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.84 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 55c | 540.39$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.65 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed99…2677backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 67c | 519.4$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$348 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -9.1wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Jay Clarke | 42c | 516.11$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.82 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f5…13e5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.8wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d3…acf8backed Jay Clarke | 43c | 488.37$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.37 | 120 | 30%36 W · 84 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…bd29backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 484.98$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Jay Clarke | 33c | 478.74$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.23 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Jay Clarke | 67c | 450.41$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.41 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f95…6972backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 44c | 435.95$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.43 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd4c7…a27ebacked Jay Clarke | 42c | 429.53$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.17 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 51c | 427.29$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.47 | 177 | 54.8%97 W · 80 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Jay Clarke | 31c | 426.38$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.66 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 66c | 422.86$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.65 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Jay Clarke | 32c | 400$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 376.32$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.66 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x354f…3091backed Jay Clarke | 51c | 371.47$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 27c | 370.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 47c | 346.81$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Jay Clarke | 74c | 318.74$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Jay Clarke | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 66c | 300$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 287 | 47.7%137 W · 150 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3448…a954backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7123…59b9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 295$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 290$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Jay Clarke | 52c | 289.67$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…e9d3backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 34c | 285.29$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 287 | 62.4%179 W · 108 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…90f8backed Jay Clarke | 55c | 275.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.43 | 131 | 46.6%61 W · 70 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Jay Clarke | 39c | 273.68$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.71 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Jay Clarke | 43c | 265.67$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.39 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…be26backed Jay Clarke | 66c | 258$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.16 | 430 | 62.3%268 W · 162 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Jay Clarke | 33c | 253$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.05 | 75 | 40%30 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Jay Clarke | 32c | 244$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.04 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Jay Clarke | 61c | 240.82$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.86 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 70c | 225.44$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.81 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 47c | 225.14$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.41 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 56c | 220$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.97 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…77eebacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 49c | 210.93$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.66 | 819 | 33.1%271 W · 548 L | -30.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Jay Clarke | 55c | 209$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 40c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 1,158 | 44.4%514 W · 644 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 52c | 198.08$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 66c | 190.79$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Jay Clarke | 46c | 189.24$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.74 | 1,245 | 51.9%646 W · 599 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 63c | 188.91$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.2 | 1,671 | 53%885 W · 786 L | +44.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8276backed Jay Clarke | 58c | 187.95$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 243 | 50.2%122 W · 121 L | +5.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Jay Clarke | 53c | 187.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…220bbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 61c | 181.97$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Jay Clarke | 43c | 178.81$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.46 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 62c | 161$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.92 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 160$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.4 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 53c | 159.14$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.89 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 157$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 68c | 156$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.08 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb868…a94ebacked Jay Clarke | 36c | 155.78$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.7 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 47c | 155.72$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.52 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 57c | 152.4$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Jay Clarke | 33c | 150$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 66c | 149.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Jay Clarke | 44c | 146.34$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.27 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Jay Clarke | 69c | 145.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Shintaro Mochizuki | 44c | 145.02$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.81 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab5…ff12backed Shintaro Mochizuki | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Jay Clarke | 32c | 142.19$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open, Qualification: Jay Clarke vs Shintaro Mochizukithis page
- Set 1 Winner: Clarke vs MochizukiClarke won
- Set Handicap: Mochizuki (-1.5) vs Clarke (+1.5)Clarke won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.