Tennis · resolved market
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1f804691fa90ebbc69075cf001a9d09bb23971da91ffd0637605775d708b7c46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Alcarazof Carlos Alcaraz, Grigor Dimitrov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $210,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,619 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 77,392$3,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.1 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 20,052$822 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$822.38 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 11,770$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.14 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Grigor Dimitrov | 3c | 10,798$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.49 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bcc…84c1backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 5,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 103 | 41.7%43 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x545d…c122backed Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 3,565$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.08 | 460 | 30.4%140 W · 320 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5d4…8b32backed Grigor Dimitrov | 2c | 3,133$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.74 | 1,205 | 8%96 W · 1,109 L | +17.2wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | +80.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 2,918$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.9 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 2,332$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.54 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 2,273$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.53 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 2,003$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.48 | 288 | 33.3%96 W · 192 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 2,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 252 | 44.4%112 W · 140 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…7967backed Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 2,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 123 | 22%27 W · 96 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae27…3e49backed Grigor Dimitrov | 6c | 1,982$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Grigor Dimitrov | 1c | 1,971$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 24cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 1,853$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.79 | 949 | 40.1%381 W · 568 L | +30.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 1,847$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 7,710 | 47.8%3,685 W · 4,025 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 1,753$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.14 | 97 | 41.2%40 W · 57 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 1,717$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.48 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 1,429$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.17 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f35…95dabacked Grigor Dimitrov | 6c | 1,420$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.86 | 450 | 44%198 W · 252 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7693…ba75backed Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 1,222$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.26 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cb1…5286backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 999.99$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 951.38$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 876.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.92 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 845.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.72 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Grigor Dimitrov | 2c | 812.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 803.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.91 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 738.05$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.73 | 606 | 43.1%261 W · 345 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 513.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 500$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 265 | 41.9%111 W · 154 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 500$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…0306backed Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 465.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 451$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 434.16$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 6c | 414$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 702 | 52.8%371 W · 331 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…c8dcbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 6c | 339.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Grigor Dimitrov | 4c | 333.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 665 | 31.3%208 W · 457 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 310.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 6,740 | 48.8%3,288 W · 3,452 L | +58.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Grigor Dimitrov | 6c | 262.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa41f…6100backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 112 | 34.8%39 W · 73 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 228$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 651 | 49.2%320 W · 331 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Grigor Dimitrov | 6c | 214$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 46 | 32.6%15 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb526…613abacked Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 208.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48df…e4c9backed Grigor Dimitrov | 6c | 205$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 177 | 46.9%83 W · 94 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Grigor Dimitrov | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Grigor Dimitrov | 6c | 184.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrovthis page
- Alcaraz vs. Dimitrov: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Under won
- Carlos Alcaraz vs. Grigor Dimitrov: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs DimitrovAlcaraz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.