TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Madrid Open: Jannik Sinner vs Cameron Norrie

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jannik Sinnerof Jannik Sinner, Cameron Norrie
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$350,844
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$345,146

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $350,844 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5123…2f31backed Cameron Norrie3c26,648$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$780.4718315.8%29 W · 154 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick13cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Cameron Norrie4c21,378$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.619,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Cameron Norrie2c13,556$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.361,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Cameron Norrie4c12,558$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.761850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Cameron Norrie4c12,094$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$514.9295140.1%381 W · 570 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+12%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51e1…5ec9backed Cameron Norrie5c11,087$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554.3544018.9%83 W · 357 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Cameron Norrie4c9,698$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.1111154.1%60 W · 51 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x94d1…0501backed Cameron Norrie3c7,807$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.531764.7%11 W · 6 L+3.5wins+0.20per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Cameron Norrie4c4,945$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.641,43728.5%409 W · 1,028 L+2.3wins0.00per pick28cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x373d…303fbacked Cameron Norrie4c4,882$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.76650%3 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick21cpaid+87.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x78bc…5616backed Cameron Norrie7c4,315$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.877842.3%33 W · 45 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Cameron Norrie5c4,290$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.29525.8%3 W · 49 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Cameron Norrie6c4,045$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.755,00941.4%2,075 W · 2,934 L-82.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Cameron Norrie5c4,000$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20442839.7%170 W · 258 L-0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Cameron Norrie2c3,965$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.267,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5fa5…63afbacked Cameron Norrie3c3,885$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.817810.3%8 W · 70 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick14cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Cameron Norrie4c3,440$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.851,02933.5%345 W · 684 L-3.7wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Cameron Norrie2c3,404$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.611,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Cameron Norrie5c3,113$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8261924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb526…613abacked Cameron Norrie4c2,988$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.632937.9%11 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-37.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3dcf…ad70backed Cameron Norrie4c2,504$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.23837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x25e1…b9dfbacked Cameron Norrie5c2,295$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.46250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Cameron Norrie3c2,223$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.14,25345%1,912 W · 2,341 L+20.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Cameron Norrie4c2,150$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9415655.8%87 W · 69 L+0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b14…3ca3backed Cameron Norrie4c2,119$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.3249847.2%235 W · 263 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Cameron Norrie2c2,116$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.7411,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1be…9662backed Cameron Norrie4c2,013$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.152814.3%4 W · 24 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Cameron Norrie4c2,000$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766946.4%32 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Cameron Norrie4c2,000$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7458734.6%203 W · 384 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Cameron Norrie3c2,000$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6858232%186 W · 396 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf390…d1bbbacked Cameron Norrie4c1,960$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.345433.3%18 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+14.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Cameron Norrie4c1,778$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8880938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06e1…ecdbbacked Cameron Norrie5c1,521$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.1248935.8%175 W · 314 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Cameron Norrie3c1,417$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.2235132.2%113 W · 238 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf59c…a682backed Cameron Norrie4c1,399$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Cameron Norrie4c1,364$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.831330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-51.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Cameron Norrie3c1,338$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.6532240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f23…4761backed Cameron Norrie3c1,287$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.91533.3%5 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+237.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf96d…20bebacked Cameron Norrie2c1,210$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5648214.1%68 W · 414 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-29.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Cameron Norrie4c1,208$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.1218246.2%84 W · 98 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa363…46c8backed Cameron Norrie5c1,155$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.6422821.1%48 W · 180 L-0.4wins0.00per pick21cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d4…8b32backed Cameron Norrie1c1,053$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.061,2078%96 W · 1,111 L+17.2wins+0.01per pick7cpaid+80.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Cameron Norrie6c1,011$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.63836.8%14 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked Cameron Norrie2c988.01$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.332,52339.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L-3.1wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Cameron Norrie2c978.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.621317.4%37 W · 176 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick18cpaid+4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a89…bb33backed Cameron Norrie5c959.79$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.495532.7%18 W · 37 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a05…754abacked Cameron Norrie5c828.1$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.315147.1%24 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+12.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1208…0160backed Cameron Norrie3c811.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2231031%96 W · 214 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Cameron Norrie4c804.84$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.9165949.3%325 W · 334 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Cameron Norrie2c751.84$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.641,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Cameron Norrie4c692.82$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.3342344.2%187 W · 236 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Cameron Norrie3c690.47$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.4629237.7%110 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Cameron Norrie4c673.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.567,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Cameron Norrie4c609.1$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3628439.1%111 W · 173 L+1.2wins0.00per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f84…be62backed Cameron Norrie3c595.55$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.73922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick15cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Cameron Norrie3c520.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.621,22841.1%505 W · 723 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Cameron Norrie5c510.9$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.0656927.2%155 W · 414 L+22.8wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+24.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xda99…7345backed Cameron Norrie6c509.66$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.3340%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4738…4687backed Cameron Norrie5c501.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5737351.2%191 W · 182 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee7a…b20abacked Cameron Norrie4c487.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.5410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4c3…2e3fbacked Cameron Norrie2c470.71$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21336.1%2 W · 31 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-44.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x10df…2206backed Cameron Norrie5c462.28$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.5810825.9%28 W · 80 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d93…6760backed Cameron Norrie5c458.77$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.4911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick26cpaid-79.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Cameron Norrie5c447.5$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.585619.6%11 W · 45 L-6.8wins-0.12per pick32cpaid-54%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1159…6228backed Cameron Norrie5c437.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.13714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick13cpaid-52.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5dfd…5909backed Cameron Norrie5c424.6$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.861637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Cameron Norrie4c405$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.9987135.4%308 W · 563 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f35…95dabacked Cameron Norrie5c404.72$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2446544.3%206 W · 259 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Cameron Norrie3c395.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.321,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9bc…377ebacked Cameron Norrie5c368.21$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4824918.5%46 W · 203 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe391…eea1backed Cameron Norrie6c337.08$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8717647.2%83 W · 93 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed Cameron Norrie4c336.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.141,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5929…4684backed Cameron Norrie4c324.02$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.633,79854.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L+111.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca1b…c69cbacked Cameron Norrie4c302.78$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.27638.2%29 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7454…57f2backed Cameron Norrie3c300.76$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3720949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a9…e573backed Cameron Norrie4c300$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.812025.8%31 W · 89 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a0c…48fdbacked Cameron Norrie5c291.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.154348.8%21 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+2.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed Cameron Norrie4c254$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.161,48932.6%486 W · 1,003 L+22.2wins+0.01per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Cameron Norrie4c243.27$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2221638%82 W · 134 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.