TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Murcia: Carlos Sanchez Jover vs Pablo Carreno Busta

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Pablo Carreno Bustaof Carlos Sanchez Jover, Pablo Carreno Busta
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,846

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,846 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Carlos Sanchez Jover2c13,710$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.498,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Carlos Sanchez Jover17c5,144$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$867.542,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Carlos Sanchez Jover24c3,555$862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$862.447,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Pablo Carreno Busta75c2,558$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633.9244163.7%281 W · 160 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Pablo Carreno Busta72c2,245$1,612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.0565558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8276backed Carlos Sanchez Jover38c1,863$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.2524350.2%122 W · 121 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Pablo Carreno Busta78c1,568$1,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$350.262,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Pablo Carreno Busta69c1,452$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.8840748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Pablo Carreno Busta75c1,333$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.3346473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x152e…8285backed Pablo Carreno Busta68c1,303$890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$413.361883.3%15 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick73cpaid+13.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover26c1,156$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.5522856.1%128 W · 100 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…42d8backed Carlos Sanchez Jover18c1,039$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.0927231.3%85 W · 187 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-23.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Carlos Sanchez Jover33c654.49$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.759,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31dd…7159backed Carlos Sanchez Jover12c600$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.9390340.2%363 W · 540 L+4.3wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Pablo Carreno Busta73c461.48$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.132,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Carlos Sanchez Jover33c439.58$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.0643062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Carlos Sanchez Jover10c423$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.729450%47 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Carlos Sanchez Jover30c419.98$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.284,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Carlos Sanchez Jover35c357.53$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7236333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Pablo Carreno Busta61c326.81$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.8123965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Pablo Carreno Busta80c312.5$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.52,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Carlos Sanchez Jover33c309$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.8526941.3%111 W · 158 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover33c283$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9399044.8%444 W · 546 L-10.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Pablo Carreno Busta77c278.01$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.942,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…2b3abacked Pablo Carreno Busta76c263.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3650364.6%325 W · 178 L+0.6wins0.00per pick64cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed Carlos Sanchez Jover20c236$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.27427%20 W · 54 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover21c192.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7954434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x012d…9db6backed Pablo Carreno Busta78c191.26$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4284968.4%581 W · 268 L+25.9wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Pablo Carreno Busta79c189.87$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8740264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Carlos Sanchez Jover20c185.53$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.881,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Pablo Carreno Busta73c166.31$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.551,15844.4%514 W · 644 L+2.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94bd…1f9cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta61c155.74$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.742958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Pablo Carreno Busta66c152.42$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.423735.1%13 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.15per pick50cpaid-40.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Pablo Carreno Busta73c137.4$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.41978.9%15 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick74cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Pablo Carreno Busta77c133.26$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.597,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Pablo Carreno Busta76c131.62$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5969350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca81…f2abbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover22c129.98$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.214746.3%68 W · 79 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.871,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta72c121.26$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.176,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Pablo Carreno Busta61c114.75$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.751,61550.6%817 W · 798 L-17.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Carlos Sanchez Jover39c110.23$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.321,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc539…5ec2backed Carlos Sanchez Jover25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2532843.9%144 W · 184 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a2b…d4e9backed Carlos Sanchez Jover35c99.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358350.6%42 W · 41 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Pablo Carreno Busta79c99.41$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.881,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13bc…f77ebacked Carlos Sanchez Jover22c91.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-51.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Carlos Sanchez Jover21c88.53$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.591,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Pablo Carreno Busta76c82.83$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7688455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Pablo Carreno Busta78c82.64$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5850731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x86db…67cebacked Pablo Carreno Busta71c74.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.75580%4 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7685…6fd0backed Carlos Sanchez Jover29c71.03$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Carlos Sanchez Jover26c70.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.363,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Pablo Carreno Busta68c67$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.5169249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93cb…6b6ebacked Carlos Sanchez Jover19c67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.863116.1%5 W · 26 L-5.9wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-65.8%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Pablo Carreno Busta55c62.29$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.7321957.1%125 W · 94 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x798e…4df3backed Carlos Sanchez Jover25c60.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.253938.5%15 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-37.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe761…4f54backed Carlos Sanchez Jover34c60.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2426349.4%130 W · 133 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Pablo Carreno Busta69c59.82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4261953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e72…d0b9backed Carlos Sanchez Jover35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070729.1%206 W · 501 L+0.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ca…468abacked Carlos Sanchez Jover20c56.95$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.393151.6%16 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick41cpaid+28%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc4cf…9332backed Carlos Sanchez Jover30c54.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.362540%10 W · 15 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb15c…c161backed Carlos Sanchez Jover20c50$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010340.8%42 W · 61 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c38…8494backed Carlos Sanchez Jover24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3cb…95c4backed Pablo Carreno Busta80c48.81$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.765257.7%30 W · 22 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Pablo Carreno Busta67c44.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8316339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf709…c75cbacked Pablo Carreno Busta74c41.68$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.843470.6%24 W · 10 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x543d…c1c1backed Pablo Carreno Busta76c39.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick70cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1039…2914backed Pablo Carreno Busta77c39.17$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.0128764.1%184 W · 103 L+0.2wins0.00per pick64cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Pablo Carreno Busta62c38$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.441,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc128…5b3abacked Pablo Carreno Busta78c33.62$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.46767.2%45 W · 22 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+10.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc9a4…3926backed Pablo Carreno Busta75c33.18$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1859366.8%396 W · 197 L-0.6wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe966…73acbacked Pablo Carreno Busta57c31.55$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.552948.3%14 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f02…ce9bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.773464.7%22 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Pablo Carreno Busta71c30.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.962,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4a5…80d4backed Pablo Carreno Busta80c30$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631853.5%170 W · 148 L+0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x751b…90fbbacked Pablo Carreno Busta71c28.17$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.1720758%120 W · 87 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Pablo Carreno Busta71c22.01$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.341,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Pablo Carreno Busta80c22$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.423750.6%120 W · 117 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x992b…d9d1backed Pablo Carreno Busta80c21.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.25666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Pablo Carreno Busta80c13$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.67,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x62f0…d71ebacked Pablo Carreno Busta80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.54100%4 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+40.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.