Asian League · resolved market
Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9852fcf356f813e05b5d2dff3d44af0291cf614107516b6780e133c699eaec46
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,951 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 49c | 1,626$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.51 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 35c | 1,489$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.89 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 42c | 1,100$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.5 | 487 | 68%331 W · 156 L | +69.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x1e51…14f2backed No | 60c | 1,008$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes | 55c | 999.99$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.99 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +4.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 53c | 659.36$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.36 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 55c | 643.2$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.14 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 48c | 627.73$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.34 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 51c | 550.45$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.72 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 46c | 447.1$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.44 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 28c | 353.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 54c | 278.15$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 59c | 224.8$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.83 | 185 | 42.7%79 W · 106 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 47c | 215.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 108 | 46.3%50 W · 58 L | +8.2wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 202.72$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.77 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 42c | 192.73$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.95 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94bd…1f9cbacked Yes | 46c | 179.8$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 120.59$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 49c | 80.05$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 60c | 72.73$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 43c | 65.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.04 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 65c | 64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.36 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 48c | 61.69$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 45c | 61.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.91 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 28c | 59.77$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 464 | 22.6%105 W · 359 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 51c | 58.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.89 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 62c | 57.45$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 61c | 48.54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…c258backed Yes | 44c | 45.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f1…23eebacked No | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 40c | 37.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf594…bfc1backed No | 52c | 36.81$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 36.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…72eabacked Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 46c | 35.09$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x981b…b8eabacked No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 184 | 45.7%84 W · 100 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 31.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 899 | 55.1%495 W · 404 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 68c | 28.45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Yes | 53c | 28.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed No | 51c | 27.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed No | 58c | 22.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-18?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-03-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.