Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x020b79d0a56b180fbbfbe1274aad23189c9ec27712fa1a4984f377408ed7f3d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,520
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,520 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 46c | 882.23$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.39 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 553.98$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.85 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 163 | 50.9%83 W · 80 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 37c | 474.09$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.89 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb813…f0efbacked No | 69c | 460$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4328…11d2backed Yes | 29c | 400$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 370.03$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.56 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 30c | 337.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.68 | 95 | 42.1%40 W · 55 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 75c | 321.2$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.4 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 13c | 291.26$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.71 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 61c | 244.87$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.04 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 46c | 214.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.42 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 72c | 209.79$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.05 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes | 29c | 158.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.61 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 41c | 110.33$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 60c | 102$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.44 | 626 | 52.6%329 W · 297 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…d4e9backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.49 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 66c | 85$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.93 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 61.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.6 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…5891backed Yes | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed No | 71c | 42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed No | 42c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 38c | 35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 794 | 35.1%279 W · 515 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27d2…a66cbacked Yes | 74c | 27.16$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 63cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x798e…4df3backed Yes | 53c | 20.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed No | 72c | 19.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-03-18?No won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.