Asian League · resolved market
Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-03-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x294ddf39f4aeda39e09a6ecd9c3444378739fe1e85a31aa9293599339bb7f4d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,398
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,398 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Yes | 20c | 3,471$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.41 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 13c | 1,249$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.35 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 79c | 1,215$965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.36 | 5,963 | 46%2,744 W · 3,219 L | +46.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 80c | 603$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.6 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 12c | 576.12$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.37 | 490 | 44.3%217 W · 273 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 80c | 403.28$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.03 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b0…3b4ebacked Yes | 18c | 304.5$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…4930backed Yes | 17c | 235.29$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 17c | 234.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 13c | 200.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.12 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 14c | 200.71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.54 | 427 | 25.8%110 W · 317 L | -34.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Yes | 20c | 161.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.04 | 565 | 45.5%257 W · 308 L | -24.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8265…af65backed Yes | 19c | 155.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 25c | 150$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 299 | 17.4%52 W · 247 L | -13.0wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 77c | 101.98$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.09 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 98 | 25.5%25 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,991 | 54.1%1,078 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 18c | 93.68$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 78c | 82.32$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.86 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 73.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 19c | 61.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 48 | 35.4%17 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Yes | 21c | 60.8$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 win on 2026-03-18?this page
- Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gangwon FC win on 2026-03-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.