Tennis · resolved market
Cherbourg: Gauthier Onclin vs Lucas Poullain
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x598ba3d54faa4a41d90888243f5fb30cba253c4441b4947dd5025e5fda1103b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gauthier Onclinof Gauthier Onclin, Lucas Poullain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,273
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,273 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Lucas Poullain | 9c | 4,387$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.54 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lucas Poullain | 15c | 3,013$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.1 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Lucas Poullain | 3c | 1,597$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.35 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lucas Poullain | 14c | 1,310$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.5 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Gauthier Onclin | 76c | 1,175$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked Lucas Poullain | 41c | 875.36$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.9 | 166 | 36.7%61 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Lucas Poullain | 25c | 780.48$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.91 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Gauthier Onclin | 67c | 742.04$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.04 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Gauthier Onclin | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lucas Poullain | 40c | 505.5$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.24 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Gauthier Onclin | 59c | 339$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.99 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Gauthier Onclin | 63c | 318.73$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.73 | 217 | 58.1%126 W · 91 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lucas Poullain | 29c | 300.42$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Lucas Poullain | 25c | 289.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.89 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lucas Poullain | 37c | 250.32$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.86 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Gauthier Onclin | 74c | 245$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Gauthier Onclin | 70c | 241$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.3 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gauthier Onclin | 69c | 240$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.62 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lucas Poullain | 44c | 218.57$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.17 | 430 | 42.8%184 W · 246 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lucas Poullain | 35c | 216.05$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.55 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gauthier Onclin | 57c | 206.59$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.73 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Lucas Poullain | 35c | 199.64$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.84 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Gauthier Onclin | 57c | 176.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.55 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Lucas Poullain | 44c | 171.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Gauthier Onclin | 65c | 154$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Gauthier Onclin | 64c | 149.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Lucas Poullain | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Lucas Poullain | 35c | 109$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.69 | 544 | 34.2%186 W · 358 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Gauthier Onclin | 55c | 108$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Gauthier Onclin | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2097…8b03backed Lucas Poullain | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -16%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Gauthier Onclin | 62c | 93.5$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.86 | 245 | 47.8%117 W · 128 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe496…4d8bbacked Lucas Poullain | 36c | 93.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.28 | 182 | 33.5%61 W · 121 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Gauthier Onclin | 63c | 90.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Lucas Poullain | 19c | 82.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 131 | 13.7%18 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Lucas Poullain | 22c | 80.32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Gauthier Onclin | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lucas Poullain | 46c | 57.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b9…948abacked Gauthier Onclin | 76c | 55.36$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 423 | 58.6%248 W · 175 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Gauthier Onclin | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Gauthier Onclin | 59c | 54$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Gauthier Onclin | 63c | 50.52$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Lucas Poullain | 38c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Lucas Poullain | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 573 | 49.6%284 W · 289 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Lucas Poullain | 43c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Lucas Poullain | 36c | 44.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Gauthier Onclin | 58c | 44.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5271…0f95backed Lucas Poullain | 36c | 43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 108 | 35.2%38 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Lucas Poullain | 29c | 39.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1951…7542backed Gauthier Onclin | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 75 | 66.7%50 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Lucas Poullain | 42c | 34.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.45 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45fc…35c4backed Gauthier Onclin | 65c | 32.39$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Gauthier Onclin | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Gauthier Onclin | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f65…c1d0backed Lucas Poullain | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 303 | 49.8%151 W · 152 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Gauthier Onclin | 75c | 27.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Gauthier Onclin | 58c | 25.69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 314 | 34.4%108 W · 206 L | -25.2wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff1…4766backed Gauthier Onclin | 56c | 20.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 167 | 62.3%104 W · 63 L | +9.8wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ca6…3841backed Gauthier Onclin | 58c | 20.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…11ffbacked Gauthier Onclin | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…6dabbacked Gauthier Onclin | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cherbourg: Gauthier Onclin vs Lucas Poullainthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Onclin vs PoullainOnclin won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.