Tennis · resolved market
Cap Cana: Luca Van Assche vs Raphael Collignon
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x401d04d04030d8bcec3110d50d5b5547c89d38055eae2170f2b28327ea707987
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raphael Collignonof Luca Van Assche, Raphael Collignon
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,461
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,461 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 80 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Raphael Collignon | 65c | 6,173$4,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,172.25 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Luca Van Assche | 14c | 5,881$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.73 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Luca Van Assche | 37c | 4,061$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.32 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Raphael Collignon | 54c | 2,556$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,166.03 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Raphael Collignon | 59c | 2,489$1,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,013.36 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Luca Van Assche | 1c | 2,347$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.45 | 255 | 0.8%2 W · 253 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Raphael Collignon | 58c | 1,967$1,141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Luca Van Assche | 42c | 1,905$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Luca Van Assche | 35c | 1,492$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.54 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Luca Van Assche | 39c | 1,174$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.16 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdcb…36c9backed Luca Van Assche | 24c | 1,044$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Raphael Collignon | 62c | 806.6$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.6 | 656 | 51.8%340 W · 316 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Luca Van Assche | 39c | 765.59$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.93 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Luca Van Assche | 40c | 730.86$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.58 | 363 | 33.9%123 W · 240 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Raphael Collignon | 57c | 631.33$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.2 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Luca Van Assche | 33c | 568.18$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.85 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Luca Van Assche | 20c | 507.01$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Raphael Collignon | 62c | 500$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Luca Van Assche | 38c | 461$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.18 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Luca Van Assche | 43c | 451.86$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.97 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9351…ef0fbacked Luca Van Assche | 45c | 443.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.79 | 104 | 40.4%42 W · 62 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Raphael Collignon | 60c | 416.66$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.66 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Luca Van Assche | 15c | 399.8$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.66 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…398dbacked Luca Van Assche | 44c | 317.14$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Luca Van Assche | 46c | 311$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.06 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f41…5c9fbacked Raphael Collignon | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 158 | 48.7%77 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Raphael Collignon | 57c | 281.98$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Luca Van Assche | 40c | 273.66$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.46 | 350 | 40.9%143 W · 207 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Raphael Collignon | 76c | 259.63$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.57 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Luca Van Assche | 17c | 252.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.14 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Luca Van Assche | 41c | 250.88$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Raphael Collignon | 59c | 249.18$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.18 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Luca Van Assche | 44c | 230.81$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.06 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98eb…60f0backed Raphael Collignon | 60c | 229.32$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 281 | 47.3%133 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Luca Van Assche | 42c | 211.08$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Raphael Collignon | 62c | 200$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Raphael Collignon | 67c | 195.66$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.46 | 381 | 47%179 W · 202 L | +9.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Luca Van Assche | 45c | 184.55$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.01 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Raphael Collignon | 67c | 176.67$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Luca Van Assche | 44c | 156$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.92 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Luca Van Assche | 42c | 150$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Luca Van Assche | 44c | 144.97$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7747…8d9bbacked Raphael Collignon | 63c | 141.65$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.41 | 319 | 41.4%132 W · 187 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b71…80ecbacked Luca Van Assche | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 211 | 49.8%105 W · 106 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Raphael Collignon | 59c | 122.06$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Luca Van Assche | 40c | 121.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.42 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Luca Van Assche | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Luca Van Assche | 42c | 107.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.92 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Raphael Collignon | 46c | 86.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.13 | 77 | 22.1%17 W · 60 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Raphael Collignon | 55c | 80$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Raphael Collignon | 55c | 72.09$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.44 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Luca Van Assche | 16c | 72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Luca Van Assche | 46c | 65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Raphael Collignon | 57c | 65$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb226…4469backed Luca Van Assche | 40c | 60.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Raphael Collignon | 57c | 55.19$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 255 | 46.3%118 W · 137 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Raphael Collignon | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628a…6d8fbacked Luca Van Assche | 23c | 51.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 113 | 47.8%54 W · 59 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Raphael Collignon | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 299 | 47.5%142 W · 157 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Luca Van Assche | 41c | 49.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.38 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c7f…ca15backed Raphael Collignon | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Raphael Collignon | 61c | 49.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Luca Van Assche | 46c | 49$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.54 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Luca Van Assche | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 770 | 47.9%369 W · 401 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Luca Van Assche | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Luca Van Assche | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…bb8cbacked Raphael Collignon | 61c | 48.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 245 | 63.3%155 W · 90 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…4f8ebacked Raphael Collignon | 55c | 47$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.15 | 135 | 56.3%76 W · 59 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Luca Van Assche | 43c | 44.81$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Luca Van Assche | 47c | 42$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 968 | 44.4%430 W · 538 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Raphael Collignon | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Luca Van Assche | 35c | 37.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed Luca Van Assche | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +11.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x674c…6dabbacked Raphael Collignon | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Luca Van Assche | 40c | 30.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7027…fababacked Luca Van Assche | 41c | 24.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x586d…fb12backed Raphael Collignon | 72c | 23.96$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 211 | 72%152 W · 59 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Luca Van Assche | 45c | 23.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x521c…f4aabacked Luca Van Assche | 43c | 23.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 368 | 48.4%178 W · 190 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Raphael Collignon | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cap Cana: Luca Van Assche vs Raphael Collignonthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Assche vs CollignonCollignon won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.