Tennis · resolved market
Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassone
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xed13bb0c18c23f2071970f6ade3fa8e59517bbd113b3516f276b0d1b5b5b8ebb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mattia Bellucciof Mattia Bellucci, Murphy Cassone
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $269,041 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6aee…fad4backed Mattia Bellucci | 63c | 27,184$17,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,183.52 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Murphy Cassone | 57c | 12,668$7,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,233.06 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b4…19acbacked Murphy Cassone | 24c | 12,350$2,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,936.99 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…d9fabacked Murphy Cassone | 0c | 12,250$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Murphy Cassone | 39c | 11,717$4,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,550.05 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Mattia Bellucci | 56c | 11,168$6,264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,903.99 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba81…dc35backed Mattia Bellucci | 38c | 10,009$3,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,205.67 | 222 | 42.8%95 W · 127 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Murphy Cassone | 46c | 4,760$2,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,178.61 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Murphy Cassone | 22c | 4,440$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.75 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Murphy Cassone | 23c | 4,192$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Murphy Cassone | 25c | 4,187$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.38 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Murphy Cassone | 43c | 3,920$1,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,681.56 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 41c | 3,793$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,220.43 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 3,456$2,232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,223.91 | 246 | 43.9%108 W · 138 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…a5f0backed Murphy Cassone | 26c | 3,439$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.31 | 199 | 38.2%76 W · 123 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…83b9backed Murphy Cassone | 27c | 3,308$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.97 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Mattia Bellucci | 73c | 2,722$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.81 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c1…df04backed Mattia Bellucci | 48c | 2,360$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.16 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Mattia Bellucci | 60c | 2,346$1,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.97 | 930 | 55.8%519 W · 411 L | +23.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Murphy Cassone | 24c | 2,323$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.7 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fd9…544abacked Mattia Bellucci | 65c | 2,192$1,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.21 | 201 | 55.7%112 W · 89 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 46c | 2,024$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.54 | 425 | 58.8%250 W · 175 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41e1…f9a8backed Mattia Bellucci | 48c | 2,018$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.24 | 97 | 44.3%43 W · 54 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Mattia Bellucci | 61c | 1,900$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Mattia Bellucci | 73c | 1,832$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.88 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Murphy Cassone | 24c | 1,706$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.98 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…8a6cbacked Murphy Cassone | 36c | 1,600$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe137…a117backed Murphy Cassone | 63c | 1,586$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5edd…36fbbacked Mattia Bellucci | 64c | 1,398$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Murphy Cassone | 45c | 1,383$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617.4 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Murphy Cassone | 32c | 1,378$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.35 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Mattia Bellucci | 77c | 1,341$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.9 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Mattia Bellucci | 52c | 1,300$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 440 | 38.4%169 W · 271 L | -27.2wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -29%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7312…df72backed Mattia Bellucci | 78c | 1,288$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.09 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Murphy Cassone | 25c | 1,237$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 313 | 32.3%101 W · 212 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…e574backed Mattia Bellucci | 46c | 1,220$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.8 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Murphy Cassone | 41c | 1,128$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.03 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…ddd0backed Mattia Bellucci | 79c | 1,111$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.59 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Mattia Bellucci | 69c | 1,056$734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.42 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b05…434ebacked Murphy Cassone | 24c | 982.48$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.8 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Murphy Cassone | 57c | 963.62$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.94 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Murphy Cassone | 27c | 960.57$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.51 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Murphy Cassone | 25c | 901.43$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.74 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Mattia Bellucci | 47c | 878$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.34 | 389 | 55.3%215 W · 174 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2d…40b1backed Murphy Cassone | 23c | 869.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Mattia Bellucci | 40c | 848.84$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.82 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Murphy Cassone | 22c | 842$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.7 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…9c9cbacked Murphy Cassone | 21c | 823.66$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Murphy Cassone | 24c | 749.99$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.5 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Murphy Cassone | 59c | 728.59$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.71 | 1,118 | 42.8%479 W · 639 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Mattia Bellucci | 77c | 717.86$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.61 | 80 | 68.8%55 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d05…6f11backed Mattia Bellucci | 76c | 700$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Mattia Bellucci | 40c | 640$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384 | 79 | 51.9%41 W · 38 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c89…526abacked Murphy Cassone | 16c | 625$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 246 | 38.2%94 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Mattia Bellucci | 38c | 578.95$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.95 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Murphy Cassone | 30c | 573.72$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.93 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Murphy Cassone | 38c | 570.04$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.68 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Mattia Bellucci | 61c | 530$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.1 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Murphy Cassone | 25c | 504$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Murphy Cassone | 22c | 500$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Murphy Cassone | 61c | 495.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Mattia Bellucci | 53c | 479.72$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.58 | 757 | 48.6%368 W · 389 L | +16.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2b…4090backed Murphy Cassone | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7896…c2ffbacked Mattia Bellucci | 56c | 447.27$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.83 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Murphy Cassone | 60c | 447$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.09 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…3c15backed Mattia Bellucci | 67c | 444.94$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.94 | 683 | 50.1%342 W · 341 L | -25.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Murphy Cassone | 48c | 442$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.34 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…9f40backed Mattia Bellucci | 77c | 421.46$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.96 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Murphy Cassone | 39c | 406.85$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.63 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Mattia Bellucci | 43c | 400$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 54c | 398$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.08 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Mattia Bellucci | 77c | 390.32$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.68 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Murphy Cassone | 62c | 379.02$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.89 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab0…b46abacked Murphy Cassone | 30c | 375.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 237 | 35%83 W · 154 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Mattia Bellucci | 57c | 335.66$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.4 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Murphy Cassone | 22c | 326.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.97 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mattia Bellucci | 58c | 319$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.9 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Murphy Cassone | 61c | 312$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.91 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Mattia Bellucci | 71c | 310$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.9 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 41c | 300$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 166 | 48.8%81 W · 85 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13c9…5e53backed Murphy Cassone | 25c | 300$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked Mattia Bellucci | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 120 | 32.5%39 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Mattia Bellucci | 44c | 260$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.44 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92fa…4604backed Murphy Cassone | 38c | 259.98$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Murphy Cassone | 26c | 259$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.71 | 280 | 38.2%107 W · 173 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Mattia Bellucci | 76c | 253.24$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 294 | 61.9%182 W · 112 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Mattia Bellucci | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 312 | 55.4%173 W · 139 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8765…ed81backed Murphy Cassone | 28c | 250$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mattia Bellucci | 54c | 246.93$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.53 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Mattia Bellucci | 76c | 240$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2f…1bffbacked Mattia Bellucci | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Mattia Bellucci | 42c | 237.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.21 | 296 | 37.5%111 W · 185 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Mattia Bellucci | 78c | 231$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.03 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Mattia Bellucci | 56c | 224$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…83babacked Murphy Cassone | 45c | 222.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 847 | 36%305 W · 542 L | -35.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Murphy Cassone | 60c | 218.46$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.08 | 609 | 43.3%264 W · 345 L | -24.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Mattia Bellucci | 47c | 214.7$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 289 | 52.6%152 W · 137 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbebf…9baebacked Mattia Bellucci | 57c | 211.52$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 908 | 54.5%495 W · 413 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Mattia Bellucci | 53c | 210$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.71 | 76 | 39.5%30 W · 46 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Murphy Cassone | 25c | 207$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.29 | 857 | 48.2%413 W · 444 L | +33.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Miami Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Murphy Cassonethis page
- Bellucci vs. Cassone: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Bellucci vs CassoneCassone won
- Set Handicap: Bellucci (-1.5) vs Cassone (+1.5)Cassone won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.