Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: AVULUS vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6dfa9aeaa0396b3ab17ad2c4ad9eecb54dbd04d9a74691ef8a95d64fd27a46a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Shpilitof AVULUS, Team Shpilit
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,343
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,343 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 182 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb64…bfdcbacked Team Shpilit | 37c | 8,000$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,040.38 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team Shpilit | 58c | 7,391$4,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.36 | 692 | 35.3%244 W · 448 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed AVULUS | 1c | 5,452$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked AVULUS | 63c | 4,592$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.43 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked AVULUS | 42c | 3,437$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.05 | 368 | 51.6%190 W · 178 L | +25.7wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…83ffbacked AVULUS | 55c | 2,550$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 534 | 51.7%276 W · 258 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Shpilit | 53c | 2,213$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.38 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19b6…ad8ebacked AVULUS | 44c | 1,714$755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$755.16 | 326 | 52.1%170 W · 156 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0133…64bcbacked Team Shpilit | 59c | 1,518$896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.34 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67cc…942fbacked AVULUS | 62c | 1,363$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.99 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked AVULUS | 61c | 1,328$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.47 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…22babacked AVULUS | 39c | 1,285$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -45%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Team Shpilit | 55c | 1,250$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.19 | 136 | 55.9%76 W · 60 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team Shpilit | 38c | 1,037$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.35 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a65…9142backed AVULUS | 49c | 999.99$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Team Shpilit | 53c | 982.4$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.06 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Shpilit | 61c | 933.13$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.44 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…c323backed AVULUS | 63c | 932$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.16 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Shpilit | 53c | 910.05$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.67 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…387ebacked AVULUS | 54c | 883.5$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.38 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed AVULUS | 53c | 874.35$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed Team Shpilit | 46c | 868.99$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.87 | 340 | 44.4%151 W · 189 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…a434backed AVULUS | 53c | 839.31$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed AVULUS | 60c | 834.3$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.26 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Team Shpilit | 43c | 807.68$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.24 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked AVULUS | 70c | 746.54$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.83 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked AVULUS | 40c | 686.8$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.72 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bd…4c63backed AVULUS | 40c | 671$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.92 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed AVULUS | 41c | 645.19$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.7 | 263 | 51%134 W · 129 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1709…c148backed AVULUS | 64c | 629.76$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.02 | 483 | 52.4%253 W · 230 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…9c9cbacked Team Shpilit | 32c | 539.54$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.86 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Team Shpilit | 50c | 536.88$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.88 | 720 | 35.1%253 W · 467 L | -24.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed AVULUS | 50c | 535$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed AVULUS | 53c | 500$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed AVULUS | 68c | 467.48$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.5 | 1,797 | 55.8%1,003 W · 794 L | +37.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Team Shpilit | 49c | 457.28$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.93 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a06dbacked AVULUS | 54c | 455.74$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.56 | 164 | 40.2%66 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…fb00backed AVULUS | 45c | 439.63$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…f2f9backed Team Shpilit | 41c | 428$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7756…d00abacked Team Shpilit | 49c | 380$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.2 | 251 | 47.4%119 W · 132 L | +12.3wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41bb…6302backed AVULUS | 60c | 370$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked AVULUS | 33c | 363.64$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.65 | 125 | 68%85 W · 40 L | +12.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Team Shpilit | 55c | 362$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162 | 116 | 48.3%56 W · 60 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Team Shpilit | 40c | 351.39$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.72 | 1,272 | 45%572 W · 700 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…999bbacked Team Shpilit | 57c | 349.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.99 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked AVULUS | 53c | 338.34$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.34 | 695 | 52.2%363 W · 332 L | +45.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked AVULUS | 51c | 301.08$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 2,367 | 47.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L | +17.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9c…ca4fbacked Team Shpilit | 51c | 301$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.49 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47fd…da1abacked AVULUS | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed AVULUS | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed Team Shpilit | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.99 | 208 | 38.9%81 W · 127 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd2…16c9backed Team Shpilit | 52c | 289$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07ac…e813backed AVULUS | 59c | 285$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Team Shpilit | 27c | 283.88$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.91 | 138 | 54.3%75 W · 63 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ac…f6b4backed AVULUS | 48c | 278.38$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.03 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed AVULUS | 59c | 270$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.3 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Team Shpilit | 53c | 264.15$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.15 | 184 | 44.6%82 W · 102 L | +12.2wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x126a…2e3ebacked AVULUS | 48c | 255.1$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked AVULUS | 60c | 250$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 421 | 45.4%191 W · 230 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed AVULUS | 61c | 240.74$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Team Shpilit | 52c | 231.18$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.61 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Team Shpilit | 33c | 228.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.77 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7612…b680backed AVULUS | 63c | 225$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.75 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +83.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…59bcbacked AVULUS | 40c | 222.5$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…4fa3backed Team Shpilit | 46c | 205.69$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.07 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc38…bfd8backed AVULUS | 48c | 202.08$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed AVULUS | 50c | 200.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 201 | 56.7%114 W · 87 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc3e…776bbacked Team Shpilit | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 192 | 51.6%99 W · 93 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb79…6274backed AVULUS | 75c | 200$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 171 | 52%89 W · 82 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed AVULUS | 63c | 200$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 969 | 42.8%415 W · 554 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x819c…15b6backed Team Shpilit | 47c | 199$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked Team Shpilit | 50c | 198.21$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.21 | 366 | 54.1%198 W · 168 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…1811backed Team Shpilit | 45c | 196.49$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 317 | 36%114 W · 203 L | -18.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Team Shpilit | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked AVULUS | 65c | 187$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.55 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Team Shpilit | 39c | 186.77$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.98 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -9.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x974a…98c3backed AVULUS | 51c | 184$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed AVULUS | 59c | 183.05$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bff…267ebacked Team Shpilit | 43c | 183$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.95 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed AVULUS | 59c | 180$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.2 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13af…b19fbacked AVULUS | 49c | 179.67$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.58 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…c04dbacked Team Shpilit | 50c | 173$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +227.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed AVULUS | 30c | 167.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed AVULUS | 60c | 162.92$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.75 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2baf…12d7backed Team Shpilit | 61c | 162.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf82c…0f6fbacked AVULUS | 63c | 162.52$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed AVULUS | 59c | 159.71$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.47 | 711 | 42.6%303 W · 408 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e8…6d77backed Team Shpilit | 52c | 155$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xabab…8b3ebacked AVULUS | 49c | 152$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.24per pick | 38cpaid | -77%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b3…437abacked AVULUS | 49c | 148$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.52 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8931…db86backed AVULUS | 50c | 146$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e0…8eb7backed AVULUS | 48c | 144$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 35cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…9785backed AVULUS | 59c | 143$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Team Shpilit | 40c | 135$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked AVULUS | 63c | 132.12$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Team Shpilit | 40c | 132.11$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.27 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabfb…12e5backed Team Shpilit | 42c | 125.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.08 | 53 | 18.9%10 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Team Shpilit | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad06…b132backed Team Shpilit | 41c | 120$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.2 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd5…11bbbacked Team Shpilit | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Team Shpilit (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group Athis page
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Team Shpilit - Game 1 WinnerTeam Shpilit won
- Dota 2: AVULUS vs Team Shpilit - Game 2 WinnerAVULUS won
- Game Handicap: AVL (-1.5) vs Team Shpilit (+1.5)Team Shpilit won
- Game Handicap: Team Shpilit (-1.5) vs AVULUS (+1.5)AVULUS won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.