TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Cherbourg: Remy Bertola vs August Holmgren

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Remy Bertolaof Remy Bertola, August Holmgren
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$147,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $147,017 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5ba6…0f07backed August Holmgren48c16,000$7,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,679.8467249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9db1…d726backed August Holmgren35c5,235$1,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,808.6511832.2%38 W · 80 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+17.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Remy Bertola64c3,951$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,417.526,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8078…e86ebacked Remy Bertola58c3,571$2,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ef…9102backed August Holmgren42c3,571$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Remy Bertola66c3,570$2,359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.8655646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Remy Bertola75c3,337$2,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.6180938.8%314 W · 495 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Remy Bertola60c3,318$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.5117452.9%92 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Remy Bertola62c3,313$2,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,261.7857645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Remy Bertola55c3,119$1,719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.362,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4afb…ed2bbacked August Holmgren38c2,534$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$964.1916737.1%62 W · 105 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed August Holmgren37c2,308$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.941,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Remy Bertola72c2,058$1,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.6211,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Remy Bertola64c1,875$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67512066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6aee…fad4backed August Holmgren38c1,825$701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701.0524557.6%141 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x73d4…dbd6backed Remy Bertola67c1,796$1,196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.7733256%186 W · 146 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Remy Bertola72c1,775$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.852,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed August Holmgren26c1,756$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.883,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Remy Bertola64c1,502$961 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.629257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Remy Bertola63c1,402$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.1440748.9%199 W · 208 L+0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked August Holmgren30c1,320$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.1827936.2%101 W · 178 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x169e…1455backed Remy Bertola58c1,261$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8665…8939backed Remy Bertola58c1,261$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a40…a2dfbacked August Holmgren42c1,261$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f2a…3700backed August Holmgren42c1,261$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.4510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6407…d360backed August Holmgren37c1,237$458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.5698841.3%408 W · 580 L+13.4wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55fb…fe7bbacked August Holmgren27c1,110$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.33132.3%10 W · 21 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked August Holmgren46c1,092$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50099139.9%395 W · 596 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed August Holmgren37c1,071$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.0162534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed August Holmgren24c977.68$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.5872132%231 W · 490 L-17.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e1…f9a8backed Remy Bertola71c975.32$691 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.329744.3%43 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked August Holmgren26c972.47$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.8416830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked August Holmgren9c937.52$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.131,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed August Holmgren11c877.5$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.828,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed August Holmgren52c845.02$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$440.9246473.3%340 W · 124 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked August Holmgren39c801.54$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.771,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed August Holmgren38c719.82$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$276.441,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked August Holmgren36c702.07$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.663,88435%1,358 W · 2,526 L+92.8wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Remy Bertola50c600$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30044038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked August Holmgren35c563.11$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.772,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x733f…3d6fbacked August Holmgren37c525.2$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.511827.8%5 W · 13 L-4.5wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.4%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Remy Bertola62c515$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.1558753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed August Holmgren34c508.36$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.844,08239.7%1,622 W · 2,460 L+93.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked August Holmgren21c503.33$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.71,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Remy Bertola62c502.01$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.5769350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed August Holmgren35c500.95$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.342,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Remy Bertola57c475.18$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.019,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Remy Bertola55c472.64$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.916,51254.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L+289.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97a0…da35backed Remy Bertola65c463.25$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.2547946.3%222 W · 257 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf760…1334backed Remy Bertola58c460$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.591850%9 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed August Holmgren40c455.14$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.424,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed August Holmgren35c449.99$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.51,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Remy Bertola59c423.72$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.732,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Remy Bertola62c401.77$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.7763247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x528f…2101backed August Holmgren27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,03050%515 W · 515 L+10.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7896…c2ffbacked Remy Bertola76c364.46$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.959453.2%50 W · 44 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked August Holmgren41c352$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3287251.1%446 W · 426 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed August Holmgren27c334.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.0667836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Remy Bertola59c334$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.941,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58e4…73f9backed August Holmgren24c330.98$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.4230741.7%128 W · 179 L-1.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked August Holmgren30c319$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.764,65048.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ae5…f4cabacked August Holmgren33c303.13$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.095824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed August Holmgren41c299.96$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.981,83253%971 W · 861 L-45.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xda74…1ab0backed Remy Bertola52c288.46$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.4694549.6%469 W · 476 L-23.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked August Holmgren41c283.42$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.719338.9%75 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+109.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed August Holmgren35c274$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2334744.4%154 W · 193 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5282…82fcbacked August Holmgren38c264.47$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003938.5%15 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Remy Bertola68c250$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf938…f68ebacked August Holmgren44c250$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1102123.8%5 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick41cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3f05…a9b9backed Remy Bertola69c247.63$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.423647.2%17 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0866…a1d5backed Remy Bertola62c246.76$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.1116339.3%64 W · 99 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Remy Bertola63c243.76$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.012,77653.7%1,491 W · 1,285 L+69.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x58f4…764ebacked August Holmgren42c238.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10028726.8%77 W · 210 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0418…9bd3backed August Holmgren21c236.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-76.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked August Holmgren39c224$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.8443951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Remy Bertola59c222$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.027,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6887…5a0cbacked August Holmgren39c219.51$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.372339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ec0…40dabacked August Holmgren44c217.98$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.916637.9%25 W · 41 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x537a…7447backed August Holmgren29c205.76$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.5530351.8%157 W · 146 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Remy Bertola68c202.94$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9486470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Remy Bertola64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7253457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e8…5e6ebacked Remy Bertola64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7241955.8%234 W · 185 L-0.4wins0.00per pick56cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5271…0f95backed August Holmgren37c197$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8910835.2%38 W · 70 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed August Holmgren27c187.41$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.636333.9%123 W · 240 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-17.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked August Holmgren41c171.99$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.781,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Remy Bertola59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.491,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70ac…0c7dbacked Remy Bertola72c168.07$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.952,53753.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L+61.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db8…4392backed Remy Bertola69c167.78$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.735250%26 W · 26 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed August Holmgren39c162.88$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.2265840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Remy Bertola61c162.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.7829637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed August Holmgren25c162.38$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4057349.6%284 W · 289 L-2.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd88a…1eefbacked August Holmgren42c160.6$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.8354434.2%186 W · 358 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Remy Bertola63c160$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.21,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked August Holmgren42c153.5$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4720043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a7a…7f10backed Remy Bertola66c151.32$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.710147.5%48 W · 53 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked August Holmgren36c149$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.8697046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda22…6d2abacked Remy Bertola64c146.88$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.8835344.8%158 W · 195 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98eb…60f0backed Remy Bertola58c137.77$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.4128147.3%133 W · 148 L-16.5wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Remy Bertola75c130.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.181,92655.4%1,067 W · 859 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Remy Bertola64c120.58$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.581,27630.4%388 W · 888 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.