NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Lightning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0131c9bd5ff01edc954bb6c42b5ae2175451c26479402ef51da4c8ad9ba13f96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Lightning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $512,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $512,395 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 404 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Lightning | 54c | 186,285$100,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100,093.3 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Hurricanes | 46c | 103,075$47,384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,691.29 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Hurricanes | 47c | 65,000$30,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,450 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Hurricanes | 46c | 56,980$26,211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,768.95 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Lightning | 53c | 30,000$15,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,899.98 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Lightning | 54c | 25,676$13,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,865.04 | 485 | 49.7%241 W · 244 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Lightning | 47c | 17,702$8,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,234.32 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Hurricanes | 47c | 15,168$7,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,076.73 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes | 47c | 13,317$6,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,120.37 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lightning | 53c | 12,109$6,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,447.58 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hurricanes | 46c | 11,741$5,401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,340.41 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed Hurricanes | 47c | 10,628$4,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,632.66 | 321 | 51.7%166 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Lightning | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,400 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x226b…cad6backed Hurricanes | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,399.97 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes | 48c | 9,845$4,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,103.97 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Hurricanes | 46c | 9,000$4,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,860 | 260 | 58.8%153 W · 107 L | +17.7wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Lightning | 54c | 9,000$4,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,860 | 157 | 49.7%78 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Lightning | 54c | 6,152$3,322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,321.98 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Lightning | 54c | 6,000$3,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,240 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Hurricanes | 79c | 5,691$4,513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.26 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3fa…a26cbacked Lightning | 54c | 5,556$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000.24 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Lightning | 53c | 5,555$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.36 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…d142backed Hurricanes | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,650 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Lightning | 54c | 4,400$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…cfc0backed Lightning | 39c | 4,363$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Lightning | 54c | 4,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Lightning | 53c | 3,718$1,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,983.45 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Lightning | 53c | 3,333$1,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,777.57 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Hurricanes | 47c | 3,191$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,691.49 | 315 | 50.8%160 W · 155 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Hurricanes | 80c | 3,177$2,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.39 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hurricanes | 46c | 3,131$1,443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,688.38 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a24…4a1fbacked Lightning | 54c | 3,004$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.08 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Lightning | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Lightning | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,619.99 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca4e…f97ebacked Hurricanes | 47c | 2,835$1,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,502.55 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Lightning | 53c | 2,697$1,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.43 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Lightning | 28c | 2,570$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.73 | 218 | 56.4%123 W · 95 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Hurricanes | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Lightning | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,350 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes | 72c | 2,418$1,747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.92 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Hurricanes | 46c | 2,400$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.49 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Lightning | 21c | 2,057$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.16 | 393 | 44.8%176 W · 217 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lightning | 25c | 2,037$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.12 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x022a…351dbacked Lightning | 54c | 1,966$1,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Hurricanes | 70c | 1,852$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.37 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Lightning | 31c | 1,837$573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.89 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca9…f74dbacked Lightning | 55c | 1,644$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.2wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Lightning | 53c | 1,613$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcede…6736backed Lightning | 54c | 1,608$868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.43 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Lightning | 54c | 1,600$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$863.99 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes | 61c | 1,586$971 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.45 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Lightning | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.99 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hurricanes | 49c | 1,426$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.79 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Hurricanes | 68c | 1,369$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$436.58 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lightning | 27c | 1,296$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$353.45 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Lightning | 14c | 1,139$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.83 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3d…4239backed Lightning | 54c | 1,136$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb145…df85backed Lightning | 54c | 1,123$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed Hurricanes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Hurricanes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba9c…d2c1backed Lightning | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 98 | 53.1%52 W · 46 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Hurricanes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Lightning | 53c | 999.99$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 91 | 57.1%52 W · 39 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1999…6b89backed Lightning | 55c | 998.25$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96cb…257cbacked Hurricanes | 46c | 990.72$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +125%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Lightning | 54c | 930$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.2 | 223 | 52.9%118 W · 105 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Lightning | 25c | 928.32$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.31 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…76a4backed Lightning | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked Hurricanes | 47c | 900$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lightning | 53c | 864.14$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.99 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ae…9c62backed Hurricanes | 47c | 817.02$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.02 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Lightning | 53c | 799.99$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…2747backed Lightning | 54c | 785$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.9 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Hurricanes | 46c | 730.39$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.41 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Hurricanes | 66c | 730.01$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.25 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Lightning | 47c | 612$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.3 | 88 | 37.5%33 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Hurricanes | 46c | 599.99$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1742…37ebbacked Lightning | 54c | 590$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.6 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…56dfbacked Hurricanes | 47c | 590$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.7 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d4f…10f2backed Hurricanes | 47c | 586$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.58 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Hurricanes | 47c | 578$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.34 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…ffcabacked Lightning | 54c | 557$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.78 | 75 | 56%42 W · 33 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6b…e7bbbacked Lightning | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfaa…3858backed Lightning | 54c | 555.56$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Lightning | 54c | 555$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.7 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…bc54backed Hurricanes | 46c | 543.48$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.48 | 299 | 46.8%140 W · 159 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Hurricanes | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.91 | 152 | 52%79 W · 73 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…48bcbacked Lightning | 54c | 522.4$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.1 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65ce…b90bbacked Lightning | 19c | 520$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.3 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Lightning | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 191 | 54.5%104 W · 87 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…cdb2backed Hurricanes | 72c | 500$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc506…abb0backed Lightning | 29c | 500$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Hurricanes | 79c | 500$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Lightning | 53c | 499.99$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 492 | 49.6%244 W · 248 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Hurricanes | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x983e…c5cebacked Lightning | 54c | 499.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Lightning | 53c | 499.03$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.49 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a13…db82backed Lightning | 53c | 481.73$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.54 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Lightning | 39c | 467.92$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.49 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaad0…0184backed Lightning | 54c | 444.5$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.03 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Lightningthis page
- Hurricanes vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Lightning: O/U 6.5Under won
- Hurricanes vs. Lightning: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Lightning (-1.5)Hurricanes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.