Cricket · resolved market
National Cricket League, Women: South Australian Scorpions vs New South Wales Breakers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9917d263d07e069fc238de219385d0bfa52620ba68e432dfba66c504efa578c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New South Wales Breakersof South Australian Scorpions, New South Wales Breakers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,172 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1bc5…990dbacked South Australian Scorpions | 69c | 8,955$6,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,179.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked New South Wales Breakers | 32c | 3,489$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,373.95 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed New South Wales Breakers | 31c | 3,000$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked New South Wales Breakers | 31c | 1,235$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed New South Wales Breakers | 36c | 1,023$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.56 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked New South Wales Breakers | 51c | 661.63$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.95 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked South Australian Scorpions | 25c | 631.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.2 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed New South Wales Breakers | 22c | 524.39$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.39 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed New South Wales Breakers | 79c | 373$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.24 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed South Australian Scorpions | 42c | 305.38$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.09 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked South Australian Scorpions | 49c | 281.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.1 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed South Australian Scorpions | 63c | 240.45$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.1 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked New South Wales Breakers | 50c | 209.62$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.52 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x240d…1ff2backed South Australian Scorpions | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked South Australian Scorpions | 71c | 197.61$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.21 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ba9…bfaebacked South Australian Scorpions | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked New South Wales Breakers | 53c | 96.23$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.23 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed South Australian Scorpions | 48c | 94.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…9c9cbacked New South Wales Breakers | 70c | 86.72$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked New South Wales Breakers | 47c | 76.2$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…7193backed New South Wales Breakers | 71c | 75.13$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…ccd5backed South Australian Scorpions | 48c | 68.38$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.82 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5afa…df73backed New South Wales Breakers | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d80…4a15backed South Australian Scorpions | 48c | 48$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ee…9a93backed New South Wales Breakers | 55c | 45.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x878a…4f16backed South Australian Scorpions | 49c | 45$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77a4…81cebacked New South Wales Breakers | 77c | 37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6f4…e01abacked New South Wales Breakers | 31c | 36.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +137.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…e905backed South Australian Scorpions | 42c | 35.71$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed New South Wales Breakers | 68c | 35.4$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…4bdfbacked South Australian Scorpions | 44c | 34.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -68.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…c3b7backed New South Wales Breakers | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked South Australian Scorpions | 64c | 29.35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.73 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed New South Wales Breakers | 41c | 27.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed South Australian Scorpions | 41c | 25.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.54 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf05f…91d5backed New South Wales Breakers | 57c | 19.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb49c…a67cbacked New South Wales Breakers | 63c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd668…2235backed New South Wales Breakers | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.