TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Kigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Arthur Gea

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Marco Cecchinatoof Marco Cecchinato, Arthur Gea
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$79,958

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,958 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee61…debfbacked Marco Cecchinato67c10,544$7,045 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.022,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Arthur Gea35c6,157$2,159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,158.5165558.9%386 W · 269 L-32.1wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-11.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Marco Cecchinato65c3,898$2,537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,361.7411,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79dc…b1a9backed Arthur Gea32c3,126$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9993743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Arthur Gea16c3,061$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.712,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Arthur Gea49c3,000$1,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,48057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x59f4…c1f1backed Marco Cecchinato34c2,943$1,003 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,939.3618237.9%69 W · 113 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Marco Cecchinato75c2,775$2,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$705.648,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Marco Cecchinato71c2,423$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.756,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbddc…83b9backed Marco Cecchinato73c2,260$1,657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.1912951.9%67 W · 62 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Arthur Gea11c1,629$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.051,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c32…d322backed Arthur Gea69c1,449$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012066.7%80 W · 40 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Marco Cecchinato32c1,250$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$849.9927733.6%93 W · 184 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Marco Cecchinato59c1,184$694 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$490.132,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b03…71babacked Arthur Gea35c1,115$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.6728552.3%149 W · 136 L-0.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Arthur Gea3c1,081$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.572550.8%2 W · 253 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick2cpaid-68.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Arthur Gea56c1,072$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60044754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Marco Cecchinato31c1,033$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.141,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740f…bf3cbacked Arthur Gea17c999.83$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.23821.1%8 W · 30 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x68af…ca81backed Marco Cecchinato38c948.15$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$588.8221720.3%44 W · 173 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Arthur Gea17c888.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15012360.2%74 W · 49 L+3.9wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Arthur Gea59c853.87$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.6255646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf93d…fc9bbacked Arthur Gea68c821.82$559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.8422352%116 W · 107 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Arthur Gea40c809.53$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.863,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Arthur Gea38c770.48$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.638739.3%152 W · 235 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae3…3c15backed Arthur Gea68c734.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50068350.1%342 W · 341 L-25.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa24…b2b4backed Arthur Gea69c707.23$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.997549.3%37 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed Arthur Gea56c702.64$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.481,11842.8%479 W · 639 L-7.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed Arthur Gea39c692.47$267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.1322337.7%84 W · 139 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Arthur Gea54c594.09$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.834,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb58…a62ebacked Arthur Gea69c573.81$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.9321767.7%147 W · 70 L-0.8wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Arthur Gea66c500$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33038268.1%260 W · 122 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Marco Cecchinato31c500$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3454,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde5a…4db5backed Arthur Gea24c454.33$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.745736.8%21 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e38…1b52backed Arthur Gea33c449.88$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.4661924.4%151 W · 468 L-8.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b24…11efbacked Marco Cecchinato68c445$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.5664065.9%422 W · 218 L+2.9wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Arthur Gea67c442.96$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2981,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Marco Cecchinato34c401.34$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.885250%26 W · 26 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marco Cecchinato33c399.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.993,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba86…9ab0backed Arthur Gea55c396.36$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21867239.1%263 W · 409 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Arthur Gea54c369.13$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.6362534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Arthur Gea68c367.65$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc5b…08bbbacked Marco Cecchinato33c367.3$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.092343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-10.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf026…8df7backed Arthur Gea41c352$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.7437342.6%159 W · 214 L-9.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Arthur Gea14c343.97$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4967836%244 W · 434 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Arthur Gea70c328.08$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1460641.6%252 W · 354 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcbb…68fabacked Marco Cecchinato68c325.44$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.66425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-63.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471c…3b43backed Marco Cecchinato42c318.6$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.617549.7%87 W · 88 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9334…df9ebacked Arthur Gea33c300$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994520%9 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Marco Cecchinato68c296.93$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4743058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Arthur Gea68c294.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023965.3%156 W · 83 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Arthur Gea10c293$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.121,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a11…4dc2backed Arthur Gea7c285.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Arthur Gea67c275.97$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.93852.6%20 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a0…92dfbacked Arthur Gea24c275$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6629637.5%111 W · 185 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Arthur Gea39c270$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.6397046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba49…e8acbacked Arthur Gea8c259.92$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.447038.6%27 W · 43 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-14.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5baf…3e56backed Marco Cecchinato34c258.43$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.1865840.9%269 W · 389 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Marco Cecchinato65c236$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8869249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2cd…adafbacked Marco Cecchinato62c233.87$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.871250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Arthur Gea54c233.33$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.752,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ac9…cf1abacked Arthur Gea67c223.88$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15040264.4%259 W · 143 L+12.8wins+0.03per pick61cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe64d…5e09backed Arthur Gea9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205414.8%8 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Arthur Gea34c220.92$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.8669350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Arthur Gea56c219.8$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.499,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8816…7738backed Arthur Gea33c209.24$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.051,10650.3%556 W · 550 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Marco Cecchinato24c200$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15227940.1%112 W · 167 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Arthur Gea31c200$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6244038.4%169 W · 271 L-27.2wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-29%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Arthur Gea22c200$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4430844.5%137 W · 171 L+1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3eff…d5a3backed Arthur Gea36c200$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726668.2%45 W · 21 L+4.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Marco Cecchinato68c198.22$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.982,76153.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L+73.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4597…1bd7backed Arthur Gea67c194.03$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13010967.9%74 W · 35 L+7.1wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf77c…61cabacked Arthur Gea61c183$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.6311846.6%55 W · 63 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-18.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e98…2550backed Arthur Gea56c174.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.583348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Arthur Gea33c164.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5420643.2%89 W · 117 L-0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x726a…196bbacked Arthur Gea12c157.44$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.353384.8%28 W · 5 L+9.8wins+0.30per pick55cpaid+51%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x4f15…650dbacked Marco Cecchinato66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5215762.4%98 W · 59 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Arthur Gea33c151.52$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9548…1226backed Arthur Gea67c149.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007875.6%59 W · 19 L+8.5wins+0.11per pick65cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2818…04a2backed Arthur Gea68c147.06$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008465.5%55 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Arthur Gea68c146.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10095742.1%403 W · 554 L-24.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f57…3e7abacked Marco Cecchinato69c145.54$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5484857.4%487 W · 361 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Marco Cecchinato33c122.42$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.91,97346.3%914 W · 1,059 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1298…97b6backed Arthur Gea67c120$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.48446.4%39 W · 45 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Arthur Gea40c115.24$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.157252.3%299 W · 273 L+17.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Marco Cecchinato75c111.94$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1715151.7%78 W · 73 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Arthur Gea32c107.62$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.071,25850%629 W · 629 L-4.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Marco Cecchinato34c105$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.320336%73 W · 130 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Marco Cecchinato54c103.71$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.761,63955.1%903 W · 736 L+10.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Marco Cecchinato32c102.51$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.177,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdad…9eaebacked Marco Cecchinato32c102.34$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.5932842.7%140 W · 188 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb69…c3e5backed Arthur Gea66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661,07655.5%597 W · 479 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91c0…e4ccbacked Arthur Gea31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3151539.8%205 W · 310 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58f2…692ebacked Arthur Gea67c100$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6753457.7%308 W · 226 L-0.9wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Arthur Gea41c85.01$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.793,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xf479…c8d4backed Arthur Gea61c82.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502878.6%22 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Marco Cecchinato34c82$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.121,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0d…cdf9backed Marco Cecchinato65c77.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+54.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc711…9c9cbacked Marco Cecchinato66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-25.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Marco Cecchinato64c73.04$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.3888455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.