Cricket · resolved market
ODI Series Malaysia vs Bahrain: Malaysia vs Bahrain
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe4db37c2a6a2b1977b2a03d18901d7c893f3d1af56caf96a331e84aa317981cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bahrainof Malaysia, Bahrain
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,421 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 82 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Malaysia | 0c | 5,333$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bahrain | 47c | 3,617$1,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,924.11 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Malaysia | 7c | 2,820$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.63 | 296 | 31.1%92 W · 204 L | -16.9wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bahrain | 10c | 2,681$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,423.82 | 633 | 46.3%293 W · 340 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…7db3backed Malaysia | 21c | 2,119$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.72 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Bahrain | 15c | 2,054$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,747.87 | 99 | 33.3%33 W · 66 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bahrain | 10c | 1,919$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,731.43 | 420 | 44%185 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bahrain | 13c | 1,645$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.13 | 762 | 51.6%393 W · 369 L | +29.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Malaysia | 33c | 1,522$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.38 | 89 | 49.4%44 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Malaysia | 29c | 1,378$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.65 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Bahrain | 9c | 1,106$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.67 | 676 | 31.4%212 W · 464 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Bahrain | 27c | 1,036$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$751.84 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Malaysia | 2c | 1,028$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Bahrain | 8c | 912.94$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.5 | 323 | 15.8%51 W · 272 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4878…739cbacked Malaysia | 6c | 900.57$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Bahrain | 31c | 894.18$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.81 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Bahrain | 24c | 853.98$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$649.86 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Bahrain | 16c | 781.79$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.57 | 502 | 47.4%238 W · 264 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Malaysia | 22c | 770$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.48 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60e8…50c2backed Malaysia | 70c | 657.13$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.56 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7691…7af7backed Bahrain | 8c | 630$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.6 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2cd…820fbacked Bahrain | 13c | 601.9$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.18 | 187 | 29.4%55 W · 132 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Malaysia | 13c | 573.04$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edd…be0fbacked Bahrain | 24c | 562.4$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.2 | 114 | 24.6%28 W · 86 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1393…ba33backed Malaysia | 23c | 554.37$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.99 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Bahrain | 47c | 546.22$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.89 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…5946backed Bahrain | 77c | 520.16$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.16 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bahrain | 28c | 507.92$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.16 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Bahrain | 13c | 475.99$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Bahrain | 17c | 465.29$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.29 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4a…9d39backed Malaysia | 64c | 437.51$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.38 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Bahrain | 7c | 399.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.32 | 119 | 5.9%7 W · 112 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463d…5fa3backed Bahrain | 15c | 378.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 11cpaid | +244.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ef…1f02backed Bahrain | 23c | 348$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.51 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…c48dbacked Malaysia | 8c | 338$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.36 | 299 | 32.4%97 W · 202 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Malaysia | 63c | 327.93$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.48 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fde…095bbacked Malaysia | 66c | 301.91$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Malaysia | 53c | 301.75$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Bahrain | 13c | 287$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.53 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Bahrain | 17c | 280$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…9c9cbacked Malaysia | 20c | 271.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Bahrain | 46c | 264.26$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.67 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c7…007dbacked Malaysia | 8c | 262.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57fe…13c1backed Bahrain | 17c | 201.01$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +82%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…d321backed Malaysia | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.95 | 128 | 42.2%54 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…f9d3backed Bahrain | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Malaysia | 69c | 196$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.04 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Bahrain | 11c | 162.86$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.66 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287c…81b2backed Bahrain | 8c | 162$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | +88.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bahrain | 43c | 142.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.08 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Malaysia | 55c | 136$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bahrain | 12c | 127.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.81 | 652 | 50.9%332 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd033…a7c1backed Bahrain | 16c | 125$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Malaysia | 27c | 123.06$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.23 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…1c98backed Bahrain | 10c | 120.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.86 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9f…77aebacked Bahrain | 49c | 102.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.46 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Bahrain | 16c | 99.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Malaysia | 64c | 98.44$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf929…9c10backed Bahrain | 20c | 94$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.2 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Bahrain | 19c | 90.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.23 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Bahrain | 16c | 90$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Bahrain | 15c | 89.54$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Malaysia | 24c | 85.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb5…97d1backed Bahrain | 22c | 82.48$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Malaysia | 45c | 77.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 183 | 19.7%36 W · 147 L | -24.5wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Malaysia | 52c | 73.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee6d…0c24backed Bahrain | 25c | 63.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.02 | 210 | 35.7%75 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7801…0976backed Malaysia | 75c | 60.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd941…ccaabacked Bahrain | 21c | 51.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +365.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Bahrain | 69c | 43.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.51 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x068a…6fe7backed Malaysia | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2e…88f5backed Malaysia | 39c | 36.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27e7…643fbacked Bahrain | 39c | 36$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 68 | 64.7%44 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Bahrain | 31c | 33.32$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.15 | 106 | 44.3%47 W · 59 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Bahrain | 54c | 31.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.66 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde58…b901backed Bahrain | 46c | 23.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x320f…1420backed Malaysia | 55c | 22.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -5.3wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Malaysia | 54c | 20.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x646f…c762backed Malaysia | 72c | 20.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 70 | 35.7%25 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21df…0d17backed Malaysia | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24f1…537cbacked Bahrain | 77c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.76 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…b159backed Malaysia | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.