TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Astini+5 vs L1ga Team (BO3) - PREMIER SERIES Play-In Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
L1ga Teamof Astini+5, L1ga Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,908

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,908 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbb64…bfdcbacked Astini+563c7,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,41023653%125 W · 111 L+12.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d6a4backed L1ga Team49c5,741$2,825 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,916.023748.6%18 W · 19 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick58cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdab8…1bc7backed L1ga Team37c2,763$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,740.952352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.8wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc5a…bf71backed L1ga Team44c1,490$663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$827.2446649.8%232 W · 234 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40f8…327dbacked Astini+563c1,145$721 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.1311839.8%47 W · 71 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Astini+562c1,080$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670.8160542.6%258 W · 347 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Astini+551c965.17$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.92,37847.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L+15.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed L1ga Team37c883.06$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.373545.7%16 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked L1ga Team37c789$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.073336.4%12 W · 21 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-32.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x47c6…2fe4backed Astini+553c699.99$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37414849.3%73 W · 75 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfadf…dda0backed Astini+557c565.47$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.1629245.9%134 W · 158 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Astini+53c551.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.076169.7%60 W · 556 L-2.0wins0.00per pick10cpaid-53.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team53c548.93$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.792,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cd9…2a08backed Astini+512c507.74$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.4352243.9%229 W · 293 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa19d…3909backed L1ga Team36c499.99$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32025150.2%126 W · 125 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e54…511ebacked L1ga Team37c429.73$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.7328145.6%128 W · 153 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc3e…776bbacked L1ga Team40c404.34$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.1719251.6%99 W · 93 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed L1ga Team36c395.36$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.215545.2%70 W · 85 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1d3…b8debacked Astini+566c382.7$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9570052.3%366 W · 334 L+47.1wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc327…c72abacked L1ga Team51c353.19$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.6111753%62 W · 55 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc74d…9690backed Astini+535c328.04$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.318248.9%89 W · 93 L+15.0wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+11.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x74e3…59cdbacked L1ga Team49c327.64$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.767100%7 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+69.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x626f…cdfabacked L1ga Team37c306.65$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+118.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed L1ga Team59c303.02$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.5648352.4%253 W · 230 L-2.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x35d9…d520backed Astini+527c300$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8130%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked L1ga Team70c295.06$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.5253844.4%239 W · 299 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked L1ga Team58c260.75$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.6430155.5%167 W · 134 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x167f…fa5ebacked Astini+527c255.86$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.081435.7%5 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick25cpaid+41.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed Astini+556c250$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1411,79755.8%1,003 W · 794 L+37.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed Astini+557c238.14$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.620838.9%81 W · 127 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Astini+536c219.53$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1913138.9%51 W · 80 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefbb…8205backed Astini+527c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5430%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed L1ga Team43c189.68$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.6872035.1%253 W · 467 L-24.8wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed L1ga Team36c185.13$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9922945.9%105 W · 124 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7da4…f0a4backed Astini+529c175$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.251435.7%5 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.20per pick16cpaid+93.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c3a…5c97backed Astini+538c160$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Astini+541c155.31$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.686633.3%22 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-31.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Astini+562c153.46$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.4561057.9%353 W · 257 L+2.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x503f…1dc4backed Astini+566c152.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Astini+569c144.91$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10036654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58ea…538dbacked Astini+541c138.04$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$577741.6%32 W · 45 L-8.8wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-27.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x588d…3f41backed Astini+559c137.12$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.928544.9%128 W · 157 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad06…b132backed Astini+534c135.97$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.152657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc296…0fdcbacked Astini+514c130.51$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.92920.7%6 W · 23 L-6.3wins-0.22per pick43cpaid-59.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xd7e4…15eebacked Astini+537c112$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.921421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7db…4fa3backed L1ga Team34c107.2$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.753151.6%16 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bdd…1b11backed L1ga Team38c104$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.125648.2%27 W · 29 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed L1ga Team58c103.9$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.94341.9%18 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-10.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x67da…9da8backed L1ga Team35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked L1ga Team61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3910560%63 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked L1ga Team37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6322845.6%104 W · 124 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-6.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Astini+542c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4237754.9%207 W · 170 L+20.9wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd15e…db59backed Astini+557c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5711845.8%54 W · 64 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc711…9c9cbacked L1ga Team36c97.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.261145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed Astini+565c90.65$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.531,01345.5%461 W · 552 L-46.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24bb…3e49backed Astini+535c90$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.965337.2%243 W · 410 L-15.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66ed…d321backed L1ga Team37c83.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.6334045.9%156 W · 184 L-8.6wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bb4…692abacked L1ga Team36c82.2$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.61520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-44.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xedd1…45a9backed Astini+540c82$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.821540%6 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+108.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1349…dc1fbacked Astini+562c80.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503253.1%17 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Astini+535c80$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2830250%151 W · 151 L+11.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd752…7b4fbacked Astini+564c79.66$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5135461.3%217 W · 137 L+0.6wins0.00per pick61cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe6d…9d6abacked L1ga Team57c76.56$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.924065%26 W · 14 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbb0f…b652backed Astini+532c75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0522552.4%118 W · 107 L+26.0wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x7b28…ff4fbacked L1ga Team79c70.96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9431251.3%160 W · 152 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed L1ga Team28c70$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.447951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bcf…04fcbacked Astini+572c70$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.41275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefff…2d98backed Astini+561c67.43$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1316445.7%75 W · 89 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa423…d3dfbacked Astini+532c62$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.781442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed Astini+536c61.02$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.971,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed L1ga Team30c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Astini+524c57.74$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.873622.2%8 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5de…88dabacked Astini+549c55.4$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.873050%15 W · 15 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-15.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29f8…ffa9backed Astini+559c55.34$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6515033.3%50 W · 100 L-10.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-16.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Astini+559c55.32$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6491553.3%488 W · 427 L+48.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed L1ga Team36c54.81$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.811145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed L1ga Team33c53.2$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.6420448%98 W · 106 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Astini+564c50.59$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.381,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Astini+531c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.52532%8 W · 17 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick18cpaid+47.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3123…b44dbacked L1ga Team37c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.212568%85 W · 40 L+12.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked L1ga Team39c38.83$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.5615450%77 W · 77 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f7…1a59backed Astini+535c36$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7625351.4%130 W · 123 L+23.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+17.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbd08…2c93backed L1ga Team73c34.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.4416752.7%88 W · 79 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team38c31.58$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.581,03416.3%169 W · 865 L-158.1wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xacf7…a5ffbacked L1ga Team36c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x543d…c1c1backed Astini+570c28.57$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6d1…22d0backed Astini+576c26.34$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa55c…1066backed Astini+554c24.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.376331.7%20 W · 43 L-8.5wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-33%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Astini+562c24.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95642.9%24 W · 32 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x338d…0fe5backed L1ga Team57c23.41$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.981643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Astini+561c18$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.987565.3%49 W · 26 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6630…703cbacked Astini+564c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102245.5%10 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe53…2dbabacked L1ga Team70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4944474.8%332 W · 112 L+11.8wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.