Cricket · resolved market
T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwait
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x291524e1fb5ce808ebdc1882b43e39609ef8789a53c9a0a333622bd516b5ade2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kuwaitof Hong Kong, China, Kuwait
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,295
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,952
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,295 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Hong Kong, China | 41c | 1,834$761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.58 | 89 | 25.8%23 W · 66 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -53%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hong Kong, China | 17c | 1,792$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.34 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf4…5daabacked Kuwait | 45c | 1,208$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.86 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb046…857cbacked Kuwait | 42c | 1,008$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.66 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | +16.9wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2aef…11c3backed Hong Kong, China | 67c | 817.84$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Hong Kong, China | 55c | 777.46$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.49 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x901b…59efbacked Kuwait | 60c | 599.43$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.93 | 132 | 41.7%55 W · 77 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Hong Kong, China | 42c | 519.3$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.61 | 310 | 50%155 W · 155 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hong Kong, China | 43c | 253.22$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.33 | 185 | 41.6%77 W · 108 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Hong Kong, China | 50c | 234$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4b…038abacked Kuwait | 49c | 205.23$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.23 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked Hong Kong, China | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2468…9aafbacked Hong Kong, China | 33c | 185.57$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.18 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Hong Kong, China | 52c | 183$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.03 | 59 | 33.9%20 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Hong Kong, China | 63c | 162.79$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.8 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2158…f433backed Hong Kong, China | 60c | 155.58$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.62 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 67cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Kuwait | 45c | 146.4$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.59 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b89…87babacked Hong Kong, China | 28c | 140$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa738…ddedbacked Hong Kong, China | 28c | 123.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Kuwait | 51c | 121.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.11 | 157 | 42.7%67 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Kuwait | 49c | 113.09$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.09 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1971…acd7backed Kuwait | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…bc8dbacked Hong Kong, China | 65c | 109.88$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.48 | 174 | 44.8%78 W · 96 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Kuwait | 57c | 109.75$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.86 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Kuwait | 46c | 107.63$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Hong Kong, China | 20c | 100.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 310 | 27.4%85 W · 225 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8e…1d33backed Hong Kong, China | 58c | 99.97$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.12 | 270 | 54.4%147 W · 123 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed Hong Kong, China | 15c | 83.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef73…7db3backed Hong Kong, China | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…c8cebacked Hong Kong, China | 28c | 83.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Hong Kong, China | 46c | 82$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Hong Kong, China | 51c | 77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.63 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6680…c738backed Hong Kong, China | 43c | 71.25$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8678…b755backed Hong Kong, China | 62c | 67.27$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 155 | 61.9%96 W · 59 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Kuwait | 80c | 63.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb906…2a75backed Kuwait | 64c | 63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.68 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hong Kong, China | 55c | 62.32$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.14 | 200 | 37%74 W · 126 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d09…717abacked Hong Kong, China | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Kuwait | 64c | 58$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.04 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Hong Kong, China | 59c | 54$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Hong Kong, China | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe210…aa11backed Hong Kong, China | 28c | 49.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.94 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Kuwait | 46c | 46.09$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 29cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Kuwait | 61c | 43.84$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.94 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +118.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Hong Kong, China | 63c | 38.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.24per pick | 60cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe5fc…a83bbacked Hong Kong, China | 53c | 31.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.44per pick | 64cpaid | -75%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Kuwait | 37c | 31.56$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8441…7925backed Hong Kong, China | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 43cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x63db…eca7backed Hong Kong, China | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf498…f26fbacked Hong Kong, China | 41c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Kuwait | 41c | 27.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.84 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Kuwait | 49c | 24.17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbb…7038backed Kuwait | 42c | 23.6$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…97e0backed Hong Kong, China | 49c | 22.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ba…71e8backed Hong Kong, China | 63c | 22.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Hong Kong, China | 69c | 21.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe99b…d599backed Hong Kong, China | 53c | 21.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.48 | 202 | 51.5%104 W · 98 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x263f…c744backed Hong Kong, China | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 130 | 40.8%53 W · 77 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwaitthis page
- T20 Series Hong Kong vs Kuwait: Hong Kong, China vs Kuwait - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.