CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf2921e783f0de78f939a895d9f7126da532f297060eacd72a115171d8bf7fa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- AM Gamingof Sinners, AM Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,344
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,449
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,344 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4fe9…706abacked Sinners | 66c | 3,179$2,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,094.99 | 164 | 48.2%79 W · 85 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sinners | 79c | 3,100$2,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,463.99 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked AM Gaming | 49c | 3,082$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,572.5 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed AM Gaming | 20c | 1,751$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,400.88 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked AM Gaming | 25c | 1,600$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.31 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed AM Gaming | 23c | 1,450$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.53 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked AM Gaming | 23c | 1,249$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$962.04 | 190 | 30.5%58 W · 132 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked AM Gaming | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.81 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Sinners | 26c | 950$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.5 | 91 | 39.6%36 W · 55 L | +5.7wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e9…cb1bbacked Sinners | 76c | 799.99$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.99 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…b3a0backed Sinners | 38c | 778.46$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.89 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd705…fb7cbacked Sinners | 43c | 702.27$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 325 | 36%117 W · 208 L | -11.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed AM Gaming | 55c | 700.8$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.81 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa4…16e3backed Sinners | 77c | 600$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462 | 765 | 46.7%357 W · 408 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…7396backed Sinners | 58c | 539.37$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.02 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Sinners | 69c | 394.09$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.91 | 87 | 70.1%61 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Sinners | 78c | 384.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 227 | 54.2%123 W · 104 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b9b…44c3backed AM Gaming | 30c | 377.87$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.87 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Sinners | 77c | 363.6$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.48 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Sinners | 36c | 351.73$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Sinners | 22c | 330$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Sinners | 40c | 300$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x494c…8923backed Sinners | 50c | 179.14$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked AM Gaming | 23c | 176.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.19 | 1,078 | 32%345 W · 733 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked AM Gaming | 41c | 169.9$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.84 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x423f…eedcbacked Sinners | 57c | 156$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.08 | 406 | 55.7%226 W · 180 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed AM Gaming | 52c | 146.44$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.51 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd265…a7ecbacked AM Gaming | 34c | 145.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1c6ebacked AM Gaming | 34c | 140.56$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.77 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked AM Gaming | 58c | 128.52$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb8a…0ca8backed AM Gaming | 79c | 127.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6aa7…db93backed Sinners | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 67%146 W · 72 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed Sinners | 80c | 120$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked AM Gaming | 53c | 119.21$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7244…b819backed Sinners | 49c | 118.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Sinners | 77c | 99.54$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed AM Gaming | 56c | 94.51$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.16 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed AM Gaming | 53c | 91.05$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.37 | 51 | 66.7%34 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked AM Gaming | 39c | 80.13$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.09 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2212backed Sinners | 55c | 69.1$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.32 | 345 | 47.5%164 W · 181 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sinners | 41c | 51.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.38 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed AM Gaming | 49c | 50.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.75 | 198 | 50.5%100 W · 98 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Sinners | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 194 | 42.8%83 W · 111 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed AM Gaming | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.3 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…8122backed Sinners | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…97e0backed AM Gaming | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…eb3abacked AM Gaming | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 252 | 50.4%127 W · 125 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed Sinners | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Sinners | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba2b…122fbacked AM Gaming | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb11e…f5d7backed Sinners | 50c | 28.3$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked AM Gaming | 75c | 26.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed AM Gaming | 50c | 21.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e55…208abacked AM Gaming | 50c | 20.2$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked AM Gaming | 57c | 19.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.47 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked Sinners | 78c | 13.37$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.43 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -5.8wins | -0.22per pick | 49cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Sinners | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 58cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs AM Gaming (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs AM Gaming - Map 1 WinnerAM Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs AM Gaming - Map 2 WinnerAM Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.