TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FUT Esportsof Passion UA, FUT Esports
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$842,581
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$964,922

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $842,581 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 643 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Passion UA34c100,000$34,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,999.9642440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8dbf…53bebacked FUT Esports66c96,348$63,587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32,761.48728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.36per pick65cpaid-53.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x99e4…e4c4backed Passion UA34c53,629$18,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,233.9322142.5%94 W · 127 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4de…0da4backed Passion UA45c33,857$15,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,168.2933960.8%206 W · 133 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FUT Esports66c31,034$20,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,551.4583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed FUT Esports78c30,000$23,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.989551.6%49 W · 46 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed FUT Esports65c16,715$10,812 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,903.741649.8%207 W · 209 L+19.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Passion UA35c16,043$5,582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,581.9424846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed FUT Esports65c15,530$10,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,437.8728453.5%152 W · 132 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Passion UA28c15,444$4,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,271.43,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked FUT Esports65c13,468$8,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,714.0539249%192 W · 200 L+0.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x858e…1c3bbacked Passion UA43c13,140$5,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,667.235635.7%20 W · 36 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x084b…3de6backed Passion UA35c11,776$4,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,099.1724550.2%123 W · 122 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed Passion UA35c10,258$3,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,587.7822849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked FUT Esports65c10,255$6,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,589.4217148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed FUT Esports59c10,000$5,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,131.966656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Passion UA33c10,000$3,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,299.9637946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed FUT Esports65c9,970$6,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,489.482462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+25.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0fd9…3373backed FUT Esports65c9,000$5,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.996752.2%35 W · 32 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1eb0…d25bbacked Passion UA44c8,842$3,857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,856.6727133.2%90 W · 181 L-12.8wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked FUT Esports66c8,145$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.651,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe9…c6dcbacked FUT Esports60c8,073$4,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,262.585660.7%34 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfbfd…f147backed Passion UA35c8,067$2,822 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,821.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe85d…95d8backed Passion UA64c7,839$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-5.2wins-0.24per pick65cpaid-37.9%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb6bd…b05abacked FUT Esports67c7,478$5,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.9119834.8%69 W · 129 L-11.9wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-21.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Passion UA38c7,248$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.486553.8%35 W · 30 L+4.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d58…9a15backed Passion UA36c5,667$2,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,034.3314441.7%60 W · 84 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Passion UA45c5,623$2,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,540.571,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked FUT Esports64c5,318$3,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.1335850.8%182 W · 176 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Passion UA34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,699.9667041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Passion UA4c4,789$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.849139.6%36 W · 55 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd50c…76c3backed FUT Esports50c4,256$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,140.2911361.1%69 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Passion UA34c4,000$1,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,36028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FUT Esports74c3,989$2,967 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.6772453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Passion UA14c3,987$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.342142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb6a…dd64backed Passion UA63c3,887$2,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4331471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick64cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed FUT Esports65c3,814$2,493 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,320.8387244.8%391 W · 481 L-17.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked FUT Esports36c3,649$1,309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,339.072,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed FUT Esports48c3,629$1,751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,878.276,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Passion UA42c3,560$1,488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,487.716343.6%71 W · 92 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15bd…8c6ebacked FUT Esports66c3,541$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,212.641338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-20.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8de7…f96dbacked Passion UA2c3,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55220%0 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd3…1e9bbacked Passion UA2c3,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551450%7 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+8.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1a4b…f7d2backed Passion UA2c3,500$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.16per pick9cpaid-15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Passion UA23c3,381$768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$768.1919549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed FUT Esports69c3,358$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.2611655.2%64 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x370d…a9e0backed FUT Esports58c3,341$1,923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,418.046028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked FUT Esports59c3,262$1,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,338.4815441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65ce…b90bbacked Passion UA10c3,146$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.1616240.1%65 W · 97 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Passion UA10c3,136$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.6212653.2%67 W · 59 L+8.7wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+18.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Passion UA27c3,068$821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$820.6538037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Passion UA25c2,954$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.6416738.9%65 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfaf1…795fbacked FUT Esports65c2,920$1,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02229046.9%136 W · 154 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d4d…fe4abacked Passion UA76c2,783$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,119.761346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.4wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-34.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked Passion UA10c2,765$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.4398052.4%514 W · 466 L+26.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5b7…7ffabacked Passion UA34c2,744$943 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94310251%52 W · 50 L+7.6wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a4…0d53backed Passion UA35c2,736$964 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$963.61540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-25.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0785…81c3backed FUT Esports60c2,667$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.6715970.4%112 W · 47 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick71cpaid-0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FUT Esports46c2,630$1,221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,409.0747738.4%183 W · 294 L-26.7wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-31.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc740…522fbacked FUT Esports67c2,625$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$875.371770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Passion UA78c2,560$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00065650.3%330 W · 326 L-15.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe137…a117backed Passion UA38c2,185$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.375149%25 W · 26 L+5.3wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+36.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60d0…e05fbacked Passion UA60c2,042$1,234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,234.025444.4%24 W · 30 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f69…7df1backed FUT Esports64c2,000$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.9975450.5%381 W · 373 L+17.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Passion UA34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.991,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed FUT Esports70c1,954$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$580.3244648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00a1…5062backed Passion UA26c1,936$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.1wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-40.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2775…3652backed FUT Esports61c1,920$1,163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756.6711240.2%45 W · 67 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e36…8ec0backed Passion UA69c1,915$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed FUT Esports55c1,906$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.41,57929.7%469 W · 1,110 L-86.9wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Passion UA20c1,795$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.85,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd845…8181backed Passion UA7c1,687$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked FUT Esports52c1,618$846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.624163.4%26 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Passion UA47c1,572$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.2481843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Passion UA28c1,568$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.371,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed57…83f4backed FUT Esports37c1,532$562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$970.38580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+69%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x285a…0126backed FUT Esports66c1,515$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.1513857.2%79 W · 59 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked FUT Esports66c1,500$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51044957.5%258 W · 191 L-19.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Passion UA35c1,500$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52555236.2%200 W · 352 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x598b…f296backed FUT Esports69c1,500$1,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.512446.8%58 W · 66 L-9.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x741e…4358backed Passion UA35c1,406$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$491.43922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.7wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-50.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e86…db9dbacked Passion UA12c1,401$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.06966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4694…60acbacked Passion UA35c1,391$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc635…9052backed FUT Esports66c1,388$916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.882653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Passion UA52c1,366$711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.5860853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed FUT Esports56c1,347$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$597.4296545.7%441 W · 524 L+10.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x964a…2b6bbacked Passion UA19c1,342$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.995944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.0wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed FUT Esports64c1,327$855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.5619351.8%100 W · 93 L-6.3wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Passion UA35c1,320$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.1334146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc1a…6049backed FUT Esports62c1,296$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.45757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Passion UA56c1,289$725 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7256544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a55…c349backed Passion UA3c1,277$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.364953.1%26 W · 23 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Passion UA41c1,270$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52320838%79 W · 129 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked FUT Esports60c1,247$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$498.9975245.5%342 W · 410 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cd4…ce48backed FUT Esports65c1,229$799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.319646.9%45 W · 51 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc65…19a0backed Passion UA35c1,223$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.997739%30 W · 47 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-5.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf459…7a53backed Passion UA41c1,222$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004639.1%18 W · 28 L-6.5wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed FUT Esports50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60028344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf99e…bde6backed FUT Esports60c1,200$725 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.558762.2%365 W · 222 L+20.9wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+0.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Passion UA35c1,199$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.659260.9%56 W · 36 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick68cpaid-11.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.