Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b7c456daba03ae8893771e655f21cbf456644b31dd61c65d60e5bb1929260d5

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: South America Rejectsof South America Rejects, L1ga Team
Resolved: Apr 21, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $45,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $52,545

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,971 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 78 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Dota2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd06c…cdafbacked L1ga Team	34c	4,451$1,518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,518.24	1,186	43.2%512 W · 674 L	+42.2wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects	70c	3,719$2,605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,113.95	714	54.5%389 W · 325 L	+55.6wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+7.9%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed South America Rejects	69c	3,518$2,442 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,075.9	457	50.8%232 W · 225 L	+14.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2a…9c0abacked L1ga Team	30c	3,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$899.96	42	38.1%16 W · 26 L	-3.9wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects	75c	2,922$2,190 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$731.84	470	46.6%219 W · 251 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked South America Rejects	72c	2,893$2,096 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$796.83	1,202	59.3%713 W · 489 L	+64.6wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed L1ga Team	35c	2,753$961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$960.95	544	45.8%249 W · 295 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team	29c	2,712$790 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$789.8	1,272	45%572 W · 700 L	-40.5wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked South America Rejects	70c	2,658$1,865 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$793.38	802	56%449 W · 353 L	+22.9wins	+0.03per pick	53cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects	64c	2,500$1,606 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$893.73	568	52.5%298 W · 270 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked South America Rejects	66c	2,228$1,480 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$748.05	1,521	37.9%576 W · 945 L	-57.8wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-26.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed L1ga Team	30c	2,100$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.18	617	45.7%282 W · 335 L	-12.4wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed L1ga Team	35c	1,958$690 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$690.17	390	42.1%164 W · 226 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked L1ga Team	33c	1,550$512 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$511.5	953	42.2%402 W · 551 L	-20.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects	69c	1,501$1,033 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$467.65	1,066	57%608 W · 458 L	+52.7wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked L1ga Team	31c	1,049$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.57	153	42.5%65 W · 88 L	+2.7wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked L1ga Team	26c	1,027$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.66	1,275	33.5%427 W · 848 L	-15.6wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked L1ga Team	29c	750$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.5	462	40.7%188 W · 274 L	+15.4wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1709…c148backed South America Rejects	67c	648.21$433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$215.55	483	52.4%253 W · 230 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked South America Rejects	79c	553.39$437 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.19	2,378	47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L	+15.8wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3621…2d2dbacked South America Rejects	71c	545.88$388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$158.31	55	58.2%32 W · 23 L	+7.6wins	+0.14per pick	44cpaid	+65.4%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0xa042…5539backed South America Rejects	67c	500$335 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$165	174	54%94 W · 80 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked South America Rejects	72c	417.58$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$117.25	670	43.3%290 W · 380 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x953f…15e6backed South America Rejects	68c	392.2$265 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.46	150	64.7%97 W · 53 L	+4.5wins	+0.03per pick	62cpaid	+3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed South America Rejects	79c	390$307 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$83.21	94	44.7%42 W · 52 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed South America Rejects	76c	386.86$293 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$93.7	2,828	43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L	-39.5wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed South America Rejects	66c	371.06$245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.16	554	57.8%320 W · 234 L	+12.3wins	+0.02per pick	56cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed South America Rejects	62c	358.73$221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$137.24	147	51.7%76 W · 71 L	+11.1wins	+0.08per pick	44cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team	33c	310.81$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.76	292	40.4%118 W · 174 L	+8.4wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7f5…40d7backed L1ga Team	30c	300$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	41	41.5%17 W · 24 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0b0…ab95backed L1ga Team	27c	273.59$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.87	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-1.5wins	-0.15per pick	55cpaid	-39%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x785d…4e88backed South America Rejects	77c	269.57$208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$61.53	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked L1ga Team	29c	256.6$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.69	321	48.3%155 W · 166 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed L1ga Team	19c	254.2$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.56	574	49%281 W · 293 L	+33.5wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed South America Rejects	79c	237.94$188 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.1	306	47.4%145 W · 161 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked South America Rejects	73c	236.9$173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.18	614	56%344 W · 270 L	+13.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6e63…9e38backed L1ga Team	30c	226.41$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.92	345	61.2%211 W · 134 L	+17.7wins	+0.05per pick	56cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed L1ga Team	25c	216.2$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.95	305	34.4%105 W · 200 L	-14.3wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked South America Rejects	72c	212.47$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.52	53	54.7%29 W · 24 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfabc…7178backed L1ga Team	9c	199.99$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	107	38.3%41 W · 66 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2d87…df1dbacked L1ga Team	18c	195.2$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.04	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d4c…935ebacked South America Rejects	66c	174.74$115 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$59.41	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-6.1wins	-0.23per pick	43cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0x35e7…2f43backed L1ga Team	30c	168.73$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.23	36	41.7%15 W · 21 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9be…a0c1backed South America Rejects	72c	155.19$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44.17	252	53.2%134 W · 118 L	+20.3wins	+0.08per pick	45cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed L1ga Team	31c	154.4$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.93	48	29.2%14 W · 34 L	-4.7wins	-0.10per pick	39cpaid	-35%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5799…db25backed South America Rejects	68c	144.24$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.16	460	49.8%229 W · 231 L	+2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-1.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x82ef…840bbacked South America Rejects	70c	140.29$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.09	90	58.9%53 W · 37 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x11ea…594fbacked South America Rejects	77c	129.8$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29.64	159	42.8%68 W · 91 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02a4…6854backed South America Rejects	63c	120$76 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$44	1,797	55.8%1,003 W · 794 L	+37.5wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed South America Rejects	67c	117.62$79 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.82	547	53.6%293 W · 254 L	+22.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec69…d6d8backed South America Rejects	70c	109.11$77 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.27	208	58.7%122 W · 86 L	+22.1wins	+0.11per pick	48cpaid	+14.4%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked South America Rejects	64c	100$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$36	1,280	45%576 W · 704 L	-12.7wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-15%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41da…c470backed L1ga Team	15c	96.58$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.23	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+1.9wins	+0.15per pick	47cpaid	+26.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed L1ga Team	27c	94.56$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.75	1,034	16.3%169 W · 865 L	-158.1wins	-0.15per pick	32cpaid	-51%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2738…358abacked South America Rejects	74c	84.77$63 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.84	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	63cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd439…21d3backed South America Rejects	59c	82.66$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.89	316	44.9%142 W · 174 L	-18.9wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked South America Rejects	71c	73.66$52 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$21.44	1,901	47.6%905 W · 996 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked L1ga Team	21c	70.4$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.66	372	23.1%86 W · 286 L	-38.2wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed South America Rejects	76c	70$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.57	1,013	45.5%461 W · 552 L	-46.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-18.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa77…bf95backed South America Rejects	77c	63.51$49 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.61	259	53.3%138 W · 121 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked L1ga Team	28c	58.57$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.2	245	18.8%46 W · 199 L	-31.2wins	-0.13per pick	32cpaid	-46%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed South America Rejects	69c	57.66$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.13	430	67%288 W · 142 L	+31.9wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc63b…6e4ebacked South America Rejects	71c	49.63$35 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.61	350	32.3%113 W · 237 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-22%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257c…97e0backed South America Rejects	66c	44.53$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15.14	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.2wins	+0.12per pick	68cpaid	+14%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9332…a3dbbacked South America Rejects	70c	42.09$29 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$12.63	760	48.6%369 W · 391 L	+26.2wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed L1ga Team	29c	41.56$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	189	54%102 W · 87 L	+7.4wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd2d…d7f8backed South America Rejects	76c	40.3$31 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.67	60	55%33 W · 27 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	56cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76b5…a423backed L1ga Team	25c	40$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	43	53.5%23 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-11%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed South America Rejects	68c	30.58$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.76	209	39.2%82 W · 127 L	-10.8wins	-0.05per pick	44cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf6c8…a184backed South America Rejects	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	360	44.2%159 W · 201 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed South America Rejects	67c	30$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.9	168	37.5%63 W · 105 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x736d…c635backed L1ga Team	40c	30$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	971	42.7%415 W · 556 L	-20.4wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14ed…6584backed South America Rejects	73c	28.33$21 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.67	29	51.7%15 W · 14 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11b5…d0fdbacked South America Rejects	74c	26.61$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.92	32	40.6%13 W · 19 L	-3.5wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed South America Rejects	66c	24.05$16 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.3	273	57.1%156 W · 117 L	+9.7wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8df…4b48backed South America Rejects	60c	20.76$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.3	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	+15.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f9b…cdeebacked South America Rejects	67c	20.06$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.62	690	33.3%230 W · 460 L	-27.9wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9235…3fbdbacked South America Rejects	73c	16.82$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.52	151	67.5%102 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	68cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winnerthis page
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group BSouth America Rejects won
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs L1ga Team - Game 1 WinnerL1ga Team won
Game Handicap: SAR (-1.5) vs L1ga Team (+1.5)L1ga Team won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs L1ga Team - Game 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event