TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: South America Rejects vs L1ga Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
South America Rejectsof South America Rejects, L1ga Team
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$294,661
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$315,656

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,661 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 236 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d58…9a15backed L1ga Team35c151,086$52,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,531.4314840.5%60 W · 88 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed South America Rejects65c115,936$75,358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,577.485549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked South America Rejects66c27,058$17,850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,207.814940.8%20 W · 29 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x913c…39b3backed South America Rejects68c7,801$5,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,511.771454.5%389 W · 325 L+55.6wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+7.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x6b90…f361backed South America Rejects61c5,556$3,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,193.584045%18 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf67d…c986backed L1ga Team41c4,727$1,931 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,930.6839042.1%164 W · 226 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked South America Rejects69c4,453$3,056 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,396.880056%448 W · 352 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed L1ga Team38c3,795$1,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,443.7854445.8%249 W · 295 L-10.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed L1ga Team25c3,200$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80081029.4%238 W · 572 L-23.5wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed L1ga Team35c2,719$940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$939.74728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-52%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed South America Rejects67c2,340$1,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$775.8956852.5%298 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed South America Rejects67c2,246$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$738.445750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5f0…d7a4backed South America Rejects70c2,208$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.881275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+22.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9919…f261backed South America Rejects65c2,204$1,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.2318954%102 W · 87 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a05…12a2backed L1ga Team40c2,137$857 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$857.2747450.8%241 W · 233 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35c…a113backed South America Rejects64c2,046$1,304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$742.0861745.7%282 W · 335 L-12.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked L1ga Team38c1,649$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.91,19759.2%709 W · 488 L+63.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x86c8…fc02backed South America Rejects64c1,560$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.0130647.4%145 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd11d…5656backed South America Rejects61c1,350$823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$526.991553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked South America Rejects65c1,340$872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$468.1926843.7%117 W · 151 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked South America Rejects66c1,299$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442.811,06657%608 W · 458 L+52.7wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked South America Rejects65c1,217$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9336851.6%190 W · 178 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf437…ff9bbacked L1ga Team34c1,197$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.3132148.3%155 W · 166 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed L1ga Team34c1,189$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406.9425935.5%92 W · 167 L-13.7wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0698…b91dbacked South America Rejects65c1,130$734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$395.374332.6%14 W · 29 L-3.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked L1ga Team29c1,084$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.5885851.3%440 W · 418 L+30.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed South America Rejects67c1,023$687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.4615650.6%79 W · 77 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4f9…f619backed L1ga Team7c1,020$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.714751.7%76 W · 71 L+11.1wins+0.08per pick44cpaid-1.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked South America Rejects68c1,011$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$325.9436654.1%198 W · 168 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked L1ga Team26c1,000$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.0769235.3%244 W · 448 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b15…a031backed South America Rejects48c943.07$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$494.652556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7a57…968cbacked South America Rejects44c899.57$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.0820043.5%87 W · 113 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked L1ga Team35c895.41$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.421,52137.9%576 W · 945 L-57.8wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2761…4d95backed L1ga Team51c776.37$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.3844645.7%204 W · 242 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f03…77dcbacked L1ga Team39c760.29$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.3429240.4%118 W · 174 L+8.4wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked L1ga Team32c750$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24045940.5%186 W · 273 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed L1ga Team35c727.59$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.872,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3763…345fbacked South America Rejects70c700.98$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.9742145.4%191 W · 230 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x785d…4e88backed South America Rejects63c696.49$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.024148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked L1ga Team31c663.1$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.5237223.1%86 W · 286 L-38.2wins-0.10per pick33cpaid-38.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa917…4e8dbacked South America Rejects69c643.4$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.023237.5%12 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-37.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed L1ga Team37c629.59$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.8517443.7%76 W · 98 L-11.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x07f9…1513backed L1ga Team34c621.06$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.1315147.7%72 W · 79 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5984…76ebbacked L1ga Team37c619.59$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.2520727.5%57 W · 150 L-11.8wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-20%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x810b…0848backed South America Rejects64c610.17$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.9513144.3%58 W · 73 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb4…a903backed South America Rejects66c590.11$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.173844.7%17 W · 21 L-7.1wins-0.19per pick63cpaid-32.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2924…0f31backed South America Rejects63c583.48$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.3647046.6%219 W · 251 L+1.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked L1ga Team32c559.52$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.981650%8 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc84f…c9ecbacked South America Rejects70c558.28$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.391764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3d…cfffbacked South America Rejects65c556.52$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.7836759.1%217 W · 150 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…57b5backed South America Rejects76c545.87$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0134860.1%209 W · 139 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x597d…b97dbacked L1ga Team30c518.48$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.6820538.5%79 W · 126 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked L1ga Team37c517.22$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.474341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6eac…ed37backed South America Rejects58c503.01$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210.5356949%279 W · 290 L+34.0wins+0.06per pick43cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked South America Rejects69c502.47$348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.4861256%343 W · 269 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf0f0…26edbacked South America Rejects67c493.88$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.5433867.8%229 W · 109 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked L1ga Team42c455.78$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.4315342.5%65 W · 88 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed L1ga Team37c452.69$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.8818356.8%104 W · 79 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked L1ga Team34c407.89$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.6267043.3%290 W · 380 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed South America Rejects64c400$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14467555%371 W · 304 L+8.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked South America Rejects59c400$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.331,27045.1%573 W · 697 L-10.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bb2…2542backed South America Rejects75c371.23$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.811060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed L1ga Team40c362.78$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5926453%140 W · 124 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d6…8f66backed South America Rejects54c360.67$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.22650%13 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbff7…92fbbacked L1ga Team27c358.35$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.627143.5%118 W · 153 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed L1ga Team43c355.87$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.369444.7%42 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a9f…38a2backed South America Rejects65c353.95$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.882356.5%13 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77f2…eec6backed L1ga Team42c345.48$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.7855457.8%320 W · 234 L+12.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed L1ga Team30c336.38$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,27245%572 W · 700 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked South America Rejects63c325.93$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.67657.9%44 W · 32 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked L1ga Team53c311.35$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.2290756.1%509 W · 398 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ac2…e183backed South America Rejects64c303.56$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8324955.4%138 W · 111 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked L1ga Team32c302.26$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.742,36747.3%1,119 W · 1,248 L+17.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32bf…ec60backed South America Rejects65c301.23$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.431118.2%2 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.21per pick39cpaid-69.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xecfa…3c6fbacked L1ga Team31c299.99$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$923828.9%11 W · 27 L-2.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe516…14ffbacked L1ga Team7c294.48$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.031030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-48.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked South America Rejects74c292.37$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.025556.4%31 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82ef…840bbacked South America Rejects69c284.52$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.249058.9%53 W · 37 L+3.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5867…2e20backed South America Rejects66c283.86$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.7325238.9%98 W · 154 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-11.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e2b…19a4backed L1ga Team26c280.92$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.184211.9%5 W · 37 L-9.6wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-71.9%equal weight34-0.14 edge/pick
0x968a…3841backed L1ga Team30c263.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.1420939.2%82 W · 127 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-25.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed South America Rejects79c252.38$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5329466%194 W · 100 L+9.5wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xac43…4925backed South America Rejects79c250.06$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.582373.9%17 W · 6 L+3.3wins+0.14per pick60cpaid+23.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe86…9b6bbacked South America Rejects74c250$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb569…6fe0backed L1ga Team30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7527548%132 W · 143 L-1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98a7…b766backed South America Rejects69c242.93$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6660251.2%308 W · 294 L+3.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked L1ga Team27c234.26$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.1412740.9%52 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63a2…5bc1backed South America Rejects63c232.81$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.1412638.9%49 W · 77 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda00…5c4dbacked L1ga Team43c227.52$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.849650%48 W · 48 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed L1ga Team32c225.52$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.171866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e59…beeebacked South America Rejects69c219$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.285354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed L1ga Team41c218.14$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8825039.6%99 W · 151 L+5.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ca3…9613backed South America Rejects68c217.8$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.7314763.3%93 W · 54 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe3f…0fcfbacked South America Rejects62c217.19$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.5386659.6%516 W · 350 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c1e…9514backed South America Rejects61c215.23$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.1986451.7%447 W · 417 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7e…c00abacked L1ga Team45c214.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.72969%20 W · 9 L+4.4wins+0.15per pick54cpaid+26.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4969…6d77backed L1ga Team40c214.49$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.84829.2%14 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbf4f…f538backed South America Rejects54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.676960.9%42 W · 27 L+11.0wins+0.16per pick45cpaid+40.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x27e9…f09ebacked South America Rejects54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.678253.7%44 W · 38 L+8.4wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+27.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6617…29bdbacked South America Rejects54c200$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.679045.6%41 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.