TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
ASTRALof ASTRAL, Brute
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$102,100
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,147

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,100 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xce7a…75d7backed ASTRAL74c10,239$7,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,672.333756.8%21 W · 16 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Brute25c6,414$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,596.6619549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6f9…bff5backed Brute36c5,556$1,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,984.4426046.9%122 W · 138 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed Brute29c3,500$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.41,03361.6%636 W · 397 L+87.2wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb077…8fe8backed Brute45c3,206$1,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,448.5717249.4%85 W · 87 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17cd…7423backed ASTRAL46c3,125$1,434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,691.2146243.3%200 W · 262 L+1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Brute54c2,871$1,545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.9284958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked ASTRAL55c2,284$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.983,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0002…103ebacked ASTRAL55c1,135$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.154555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d74…cfb2backed Brute2c1,096$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Brute37c1,047$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.66,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Brute50c954.61$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9514742.2%62 W · 85 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Brute42c953.73$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.895,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Brute35c895$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.8511343.4%49 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a8d…ab7ebacked Brute45c864.44$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392.9416846.4%78 W · 90 L+6.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL60c787.78$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.664,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca82…fcfebacked Brute50c784.47$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.2114971.8%107 W · 42 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick70cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…4d66backed ASTRAL67c752.29$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.94540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-42.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d1c…5c3dbacked ASTRAL68c669.61$454 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.431145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1110…0123backed ASTRAL66c610$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101291.7%11 W · 1 L+3.7wins+0.31per pick61cpaid+57.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x3eee…e8b6backed Brute42c599.99$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.0212359.3%73 W · 50 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef71…898bbacked ASTRAL40c579.99$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34812946.5%60 W · 69 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Brute29c555.83$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.817,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31db…c25fbacked Brute57c506.19$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.88360.2%50 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Brute53c493.55$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.3839851.3%204 W · 194 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec9a…ad34backed ASTRAL42c476.19$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.192035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed ASTRAL48c449.99$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.4952456.3%295 W · 229 L-12.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed Brute31c448$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5127348.4%132 W · 141 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4687…8d42backed ASTRAL58c429.25$251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2552947.1%249 W · 280 L-14.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd705…fb7cbacked Brute47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20032536%117 W · 208 L-11.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e2…f6fbbacked ASTRAL48c424$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.012552%13 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked ASTRAL59c379.52$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7278963.8%503 W · 286 L-2.5wins0.00per pick64cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ae1…befbbacked Brute42c373.64$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.7240950.6%207 W · 202 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Brute45c335.07$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.9161154.7%334 W · 277 L+11.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda32…04a1backed Brute21c324.18$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6531444.9%141 W · 173 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed ASTRAL57c313.79$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.91,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4328…11d2backed Brute27c300$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8218943.4%82 W · 107 L-0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e6…17c4backed Brute52c292.93$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ce8…63febacked ASTRAL45c289.64$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.117448.6%36 W · 38 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Brute41c242.4$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024038.3%92 W · 148 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed ASTRAL60c221.83$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6369863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf740…cf50backed ASTRAL61c205.77$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.9813943.9%61 W · 78 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa76e…dcb6backed Brute42c204.63$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.831,31053.7%703 W · 607 L+32.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce9a…002bbacked Brute49c203.75$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked ASTRAL47c200$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1061,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Brute28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.446749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked ASTRAL51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9954348.6%264 W · 279 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked ASTRAL55c196.34$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.845956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Brute55c190.38$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.81,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd0c…bca8backed ASTRAL49c190.03$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+26.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x92f8…0e1fbacked Brute29c190$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.112946.5%60 W · 69 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fbc…d6a4backed ASTRAL52c184.62$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.624266.7%28 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3e36…6ce1backed Brute50c178$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed ASTRAL40c173.15$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.759842.9%42 W · 56 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Brute29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,04645%471 W · 575 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Brute32c162.37$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.685,51147%2,590 W · 2,921 L+42.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb37…30c3backed ASTRAL71c157.39$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.041258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked Brute75c131.87$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.333057.3%189 W · 141 L-11.2wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Brute49c131.67$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.881,67651.1%857 W · 819 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b9…0a9bbacked ASTRAL58c130.55$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.78248.8%40 W · 42 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-16.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Brute33c128.74$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.322,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked ASTRAL49c124.99$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.741,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe320…e0c5backed ASTRAL73c120$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.41816.7%3 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-66.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed ASTRAL49c117.44$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6437448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd49d…f05cbacked Brute29c107.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.196043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Brute48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018454.3%100 W · 84 L+16.4wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+23.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Brute58c102.57$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6018751.3%96 W · 91 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xce12…0e76backed ASTRAL42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.372944.8%13 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked ASTRAL39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6170038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Brute37c96.99$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.342,22141.3%917 W · 1,304 L-22.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-19.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fab…708bbacked Brute51c94.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4838636%139 W · 247 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Brute52c89$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.2822551.1%115 W · 110 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked Brute25c76.81$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.974030%12 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick23cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7c11…b8c7backed Brute52c76.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-43.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e5d…92bbbacked ASTRAL51c68.58$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+94.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xffaf…e1babacked Brute29c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5128.3%1 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick26cpaid-88.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4010…77d4backed ASTRAL53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.223057%131 W · 99 L+7.5wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed ASTRAL43c56.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.211,41133.7%475 W · 936 L+42.1wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb9f…36dfbacked ASTRAL57c52.63$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.636953.6%37 W · 32 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked ASTRAL41c50.85$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3033539.4%132 W · 203 L-19.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-17.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe549…ea83backed ASTRAL72c48.31$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3132561.2%199 W · 126 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Brute29c48$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0695849.8%477 W · 481 L-17.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2de…8438backed Brute44c45.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x586e…2430backed Brute56c43.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.791850%9 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed ASTRAL45c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2216345.4%74 W · 89 L-8.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6bd…dd13backed ASTRAL72c39.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.265178.4%40 W · 11 L+7.4wins+0.14per pick64cpaid+23.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked ASTRAL58c36.09$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.223438.2%13 W · 21 L-5.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-36.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa24d…e8c3backed ASTRAL57c34.83$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.835253.8%28 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick63cpaid-13.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfde1…925dbacked Brute45c33.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.151163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.16per pick48cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked ASTRAL40c33.33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd345…3eb8backed Brute60c33.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick58cpaid+21.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6347…6707backed ASTRAL66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeff2…b6ecbacked ASTRAL66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31136.4%4 W · 7 L-3.5wins-0.31per pick68cpaid-47.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3c5b…93adbacked ASTRAL59c30$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.31650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5f3…1fc1backed ASTRAL51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.413154.8%17 W · 14 L-5.1wins-0.16per pick71cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7014…41eebacked Brute43c28.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.125242.3%22 W · 30 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x257c…97e0backed ASTRAL71c28.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.071973.7%14 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.13per pick60cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x35e7…54d2backed Brute44c28$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.328551.8%44 W · 41 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf101…f7fbbacked Brute59c26.81$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.821844.4%8 W · 10 L-2.9wins-0.16per pick60cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd9d…2269backed Brute52c25.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1815765%102 W · 55 L+15.6wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+20.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.