TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb37…30c3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT3237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 32 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.29
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.6
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+73.6%+$110.79
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$151.43
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+133.5%+$161.56
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$225
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$8
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.6
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$107
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$71.95
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+74.3%+$141.16
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$102
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.16
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.7
Heat vs. Bucksbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Warriors vs. Pelicansbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$36.82
76ers vs. Pelicansbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$17.01
Magic vs. Sunsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$54.4
Nuggets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+28.2%+$15.4
Showing 25 of 32 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+31.6%+$14.4
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+40.8%+$16.69
Counter-Strike: Abyssal vs Skele (BO3) - CCT Oceania Series #4 Group Bbacked Abyssal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+36.4%+$57.29
Counter-Strike: ASTRAL vs Brute (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #16 Group Stagebacked ASTRAL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+40.1%+$45.04
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$299
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$607Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$606.86
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #15 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+68.5%+$205.37
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Astralis (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$305.82
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Vitality (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+38.4%+$6.32
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+26.6%+$10.63
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs fnatic (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST-100%-$32
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DN Freecs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$67.27
LoL: DN Freecs vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$47.14
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Barça eSports (BO3) - LES Kick-off Playoffsbacked Barça eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+116.7%+$23.35
LoL: Sentinels vs Disguised (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffsbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$50
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Cup Playoffsbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+284.6%+$56.92
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs Leviatan Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Leviatan Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$33.25
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$54.97
LoL: Dplus KIA vs DRX (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$137
LoL: BNK FEARX vs DN Freecs (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffsbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,868Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+34.7%+$647.96
LoL: Team WE vs LNG Esports (BO5) - LPL Knights Rivalsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+100.7%+$489.26
All 10 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$21.67
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Haiti vs. Scotland: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.25
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+551.5%+$110.3
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick57cpaid-63.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Liverpool wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2025, EDT+27.4%+$4.77
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Feb 14, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: MIBR vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+185.7%+$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+129%+$25.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qatar Total Open: Alycia Parks vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Zheng · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+58.3%+$101.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.