TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Bangladesh Nationalist Party win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,020,384
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,094,510

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,020,384 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 468 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb488…bbf7backed No18c15,149$2,736 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,736540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3202…6a46backed No2c12,845$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.3820%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No0c11,210$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.14440.7%3 W · 441 L-0.7wins0.00per pick1cpaid-87.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e3…7cccbacked No15c10,713$1,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,586.4520%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51ea…ed18backed No13c9,634$1,216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6276…2dd9backed No14c9,333$1,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,322.911827.8%5 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+39.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd64e…5516backed No13c9,000$1,170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1703636.1%13 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-43.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No14c8,955$1,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,210.067317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a3d…9129backed No11c8,759$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.240%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c8f…d581backed No1c7,405$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb715…8924backed No13c6,056$776 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$776.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9934…6078backed No17c5,812$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.974456.8%25 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf83a…2ef8backed No1c5,787$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076c…4e7bbacked No14c5,194$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.1836742.5%156 W · 211 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…a042backed No12c5,126$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.9530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked No15c4,800$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x96ef…5523backed Yes78c4,791$3,727 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,064.222955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6139…6b7abacked No14c4,548$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.655648.2%27 W · 29 L+5.1wins+0.09per pick39cpaid-1.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6c4…86a9backed No25c4,525$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.729631.3%30 W · 66 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb086…8291backed No13c3,630$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb8…d906backed No14c3,500$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47812345.5%56 W · 67 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d7c…51b6backed No3c3,292$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.593834.2%13 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+24.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No19c3,271$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.9856314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8b57…b3f2backed No10c3,180$314 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1bc…353cbacked No18c3,159$569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300c…6a92backed No14c3,128$431 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431.022352.2%12 W · 11 L+2.9wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+34.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked No11c3,123$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.2337117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15c5…7a30backed No6c2,784$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c31…23cbbacked Yes76c2,637$1,997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.63250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-34%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7aa…c6eebacked Yes79c2,540$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$540.471100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb3b…a2b6backed No1c2,396$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.23380%0 W · 38 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf27d…e6d3backed No10c2,367$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.615121.6%11 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick20cpaid-37.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed No16c2,269$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36031635.1%111 W · 205 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3523…174fbacked No13c2,256$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd01…1b12backed No10c2,207$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x110d…3472backed No14c2,188$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbd8…275ebacked No12c2,178$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x551b…dfd1backed No16c2,171$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.5930%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa732…9b6cbacked No13c2,023$271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.6820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65f4…0990backed No13c2,005$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260.6920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4333…1f57backed No13c2,000$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2655843.1%25 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No18c1,993$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.2832255%177 W · 145 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfb70…2d58backed No16c1,970$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.5640%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7bdc…9b4cbacked No11c1,967$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$223.9320%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x88d9…fdd5backed Yes79c1,901$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.581741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5c…8fc6backed No9c1,727$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-71.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb5a…675bbacked Yes74c1,705$1,257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.97250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-32.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2238…7fc8backed No14c1,677$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.8430%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd18a…98aebacked No11c1,677$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.873336.4%12 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid-29.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865d…16bdbacked No11c1,650$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.052240.9%9 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e73…a236backed Yes76c1,630$1,245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.792227.3%6 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-53.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x9875…f35bbacked No14c1,500$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b27…b923backed No15c1,441$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$212.0720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb28c…9a44backed No2c1,411$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.8910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb91…b665backed Yes79c1,369$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab5…e56fbacked Yes76c1,316$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.797357.5%42 W · 31 L+10.1wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+53.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x16fa…6d0dbacked Yes76c1,315$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.312339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-39.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2fb2…dfd6backed No13c1,308$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1ff…55b7backed Yes77c1,302$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No16c1,287$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.3718628.5%53 W · 133 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-17.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7f…750abacked No1c1,280$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked No3c1,238$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.71425.6%8 W · 134 L-27.2wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-58.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0xd2a2…bf8ebacked No6c1,217$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1440%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab4…a0cfbacked No3c1,205$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07d0…610bbacked No4c1,200$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4240%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb3d…c0e3backed No2c1,195$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf06f…2af0backed Yes78c1,193$928 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a08…f2acbacked No13c1,158$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bf…3495backed No14c1,154$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e4e…501cbacked No12c1,118$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.911520%3 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29e1…29f8backed Yes79c1,107$873 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.173100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x98cc…83a3backed No10c1,050$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b10…9d47backed No12c1,026$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd2de…1d6cbacked No11c1,015$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed No2c1,003$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.78555.5%3 W · 52 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-92.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7938…95ccbacked No20c1,000$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25015932.7%52 W · 107 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+102.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95d4…6ed3backed No12c1,000$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe006…e35bbacked No18c988.88$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked No21c952.38$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20050%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd723…f559backed No11c937.64$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked No11c933.59$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.733417.6%6 W · 28 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick12cpaid-16%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbb0…4ff3backed No13c924.73$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No9c899.99$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812344.3%10 W · 224 L+0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-29.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x62ba…569bbacked No1c874.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.541323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-42.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb624…1f49backed No15c859.11$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb040…d223backed No4c816.05$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a36…d0debacked No21c804.76$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2be…66b0backed No18c800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1443655.6%20 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+13.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x167e…0f16backed No15c799.99$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94b1…bd2ebacked Yes79c799.98$632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick79cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No12c784.67$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.639418.1%17 W · 77 L+4.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd362…9bc4backed No22c784.12$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.186740.3%27 W · 40 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x71f3…dcc4backed No21c761.53$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.2120%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c4…b2adbacked Yes75c754.43$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.614100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+59.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x08d5…4a69backed Yes76c745.43$564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+32.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3194…b5d0backed No12c743$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.5220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdf4…59b4backed No16c742.13$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.057443.2%32 W · 42 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d6…e879backed No10c716.75$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No6c705.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.2817921.2%38 W · 141 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+56.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.