TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

World Politics · resolved market

Will Bangladesh Jamaat-e-Islami win the most seats in the Bangladesh parliamentary election?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,261,452
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,006,969

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,261,452 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 905 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in World Politics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9a3d…9129backed Yes12c30,170$3,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,650.1640%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x62ba…569bbacked Yes0c23,370$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.641323.1%3 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid-42.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd4b…72a2backed Yes4c23,218$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$856.1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e4e…501cbacked Yes8c23,025$1,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8071520%3 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2a2…bf8ebacked Yes7c21,908$1,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,542.9340%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed Yes12c15,356$1,789 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,788.7425337.2%94 W · 159 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1010…fa57backed Yes5c14,755$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.171747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+133.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…c379backed Yes25c14,422$3,547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,546.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x405b…f234backed Yes16c12,918$2,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,037.8520%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0451…db79backed Yes14c12,214$1,712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,712.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdab4…a0cfbacked Yes3c12,184$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes15c11,023$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,660.47317.8%13 W · 60 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-60.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07d4…c278backed Yes7c10,820$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4903…c259backed Yes11c10,372$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79e8…9e89backed Yes15c10,137$1,553 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,552.8710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b03…3b15backed Yes29c9,986$2,896 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,895.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-32.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x740b…997fbacked Yes8c9,835$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb488…bbf7backed Yes15c9,701$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6f…c91ebacked Yes1c9,484$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x169f…f3cbbacked Yes17c9,357$1,558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…4c50backed Yes12c9,266$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,122.3810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x10f4…0034backed Yes28c9,150$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,531.220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f9…d15dbacked Yes10c8,359$841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.8230%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b57…b3f2backed Yes11c8,193$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93020%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes24c7,632$1,869 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,868.684334.9%15 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick24cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3115…1187backed Yes15c7,492$1,138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,138.4610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd74…1492backed Yes3c7,412$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.0210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x184e…bd25backed Yes9c6,865$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafc2…3e29backed Yes19c6,530$1,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,232.2610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00ad…854fbacked Yes15c6,445$935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.4220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe25b…0f1bbacked Yes19c6,407$1,197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,196.955060%30 W · 20 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+131.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x12fd…59cfbacked Yes8c6,326$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7447…a16dbacked No80c6,312$5,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,283.162142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda48…2c1cbacked Yes15c6,211$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$922.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked Yes15c6,109$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$914.61315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-77.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes24c5,731$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.38825%2 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-52.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf4fc…dd31backed Yes12c5,699$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.8110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0565…26cdbacked Yes12c5,684$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2b9d…adc0backed Yes13c5,615$730 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.9113444.8%60 W · 74 L+17.1wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+13.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7e40…a360backed Yes11c5,544$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$590.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x940c…b266backed Yes13c5,479$733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.05540%2 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick21cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x63cd…cf1bbacked Yes10c5,285$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.9110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12fd…be65backed Yes17c5,056$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$845.0850%0 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc600…dbb7backed Yes13c5,027$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes15c4,669$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.3637117.8%66 W · 305 L-18.9wins-0.05per pick23cpaid-32.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes20c4,518$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$912.9856314.6%82 W · 481 L-39.3wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-46.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xffc0…41e6backed Yes26c4,406$1,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,132.7130%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x508a…717abacked Yes9c4,301$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd0d…2465backed Yes19c4,287$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x147c…8a8ebacked Yes13c4,166$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.7830%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc379…11fdbacked Yes15c3,982$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$596.5920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa77b…3edbbacked Yes5c3,892$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6618…2103backed Yes16c3,888$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.9420%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c6f…64f2backed Yes18c3,753$691 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf57d…c0ffbacked No71c3,751$2,663 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.791100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf19c…a6debacked Yes11c3,680$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa378…fa95backed Yes4c3,672$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98b1…f94bbacked Yes17c3,483$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7939…0dbbbacked Yes2c3,439$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…7edebacked No71c3,267$2,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$947.43250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17bb…3621backed Yes17c3,250$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.692030%6 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick30cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb360…5d0dbacked Yes16c3,212$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5132…08aabacked Yes20c3,135$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd346…49d9backed No72c3,120$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$873.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe524…839dbacked Yes11c3,102$347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6255…900bbacked No73c3,080$2,248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$831.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fab…5a30backed Yes21c3,054$635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa732…9b6cbacked Yes16c3,027$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$497.4420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0de…960bbacked Yes2c3,015$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.9610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6f4…930abacked Yes23c2,984$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa27b…229abacked No71c2,968$2,107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$860.722100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick76cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd05…cf04backed No72c2,950$2,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8261100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb624…1f49backed Yes10c2,774$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2fb2…dfd6backed Yes13c2,756$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd51a…fd90backed Yes18c2,740$482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc628…089cbacked Yes22c2,637$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12bc…440dbacked Yes4c2,613$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5420%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6949…16b3backed Yes20c2,599$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$527.610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdada…85e5backed Yes12c2,514$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f26…85d4backed Yes4c2,509$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4edc…1d4abacked Yes6c2,492$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.8250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1bf5…35e5backed Yes6c2,486$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6f25…eabebacked Yes18c2,483$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…518abacked Yes15c2,441$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.2810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe45c…fc7dbacked Yes13c2,405$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe33…6be9backed Yes12c2,401$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.2420%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff8c…a644backed Yes21c2,392$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363a…a042backed Yes13c2,350$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.9330%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0308…a6f8backed Yes14c2,255$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1163…638ebacked Yes14c2,236$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.38425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-55.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2acf…db2bbacked Yes9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x73e2…0bb5backed Yes11c2,182$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0414…be21backed Yes15c2,150$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.55721.1%12 W · 45 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick22cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebbb…4f15backed Yes7c2,096$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes2c2,088$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.971425.6%8 W · 134 L-27.2wins-0.19per pick25cpaid-58.7%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x9299…d3d9backed Yes9c2,068$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53bb…fa42backed Yes7c2,066$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5153…de13backed Yes24c2,044$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.1910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6bf…3495backed Yes4c2,018$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.920%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31ec…ab04backed Yes21c2,000$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428205%1 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick8cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.