TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x94b1…bd2e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
53
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+121.7%+$49.4
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$18.4
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.2
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.2
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$33.6
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
All 12 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+27.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Valorant — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports (BO5) - VCT Masters London Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$39
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Americas Qualifier Stage 2backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+75.8%+$32.76
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.9
Valorant: NRG vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.91
Valorant: Sentinels vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Leviatán Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+108.3%+$20.8
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Liquid (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked GIANTX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$20.64
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Envy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+66.7%+$14.11
Valorant: NRG vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20.4
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.8wins-0.35per pick47cpaid-83.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick79cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+47.1%+$28.8
Super Bowl LIX Winnerbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2025, EST+33.3%+$100
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+42.9%+$180
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be 20 or more inches of snow in NYC this weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+27.1%+$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump and Elon publicly reconcile by Friday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+25%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+25%+$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "GOAT" Second Weekend Box Office be less than 15m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$102
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,306.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.