TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
100 Thievesof 100 Thieves, Sentinels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$66,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,749

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,187 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 115 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8c1d…0807backed Sentinels49c5,836$2,888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,888.0410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked 100 Thieves51c4,800$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,35226738.2%102 W · 165 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61fa…7f62backed Sentinels33c3,988$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.618056.1%101 W · 79 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed2c…9597backed 100 Thieves50c3,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5005048%24 W · 26 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2984…0fc6backed 100 Thieves52c2,999$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.646056.7%34 W · 26 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc65c…ea39backed Sentinels47c2,999$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.3934356.9%195 W · 148 L+23.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Sentinels32c2,914$936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$935.8428541.1%117 W · 168 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x19a0…ac39backed Sentinels38c2,361$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.032458.3%14 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8f9…fee2backed 100 Thieves50c2,224$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,112.2528247.5%134 W · 148 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked 100 Thieves52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$959.9978162%484 W · 297 L+16.8wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc598…b4acbacked 100 Thieves48c1,833$879 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$953.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x778d…cbe2backed Sentinels48c1,470$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.61172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ecf…d57dbacked 100 Thieves50c1,300$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$649.994755.3%26 W · 21 L+4.7wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb6d…942cbacked Sentinels53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5308746%40 W · 47 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sentinels5c993.24$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5227411.3%31 W · 243 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-34.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbec5…8f77backed 100 Thieves53c950$504 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.59837.8%37 W · 61 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Sentinels47c872$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409.848551.8%44 W · 41 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed 100 Thieves53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37639042.6%166 W · 224 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfee4…d386backed Sentinels49c762.13$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.89425%1 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.34per pick59cpaid-59.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Sentinels29c650.56$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.9368458.3%399 W · 285 L+56.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9c4b…8a81backed 100 Thieves78c632.45$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0562156.4%350 W · 271 L+13.0wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf0c…2265backed Sentinels37c632.36$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.7610455.8%58 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…46c2backed Sentinels49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2947650%38 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed Sentinels17c526.68$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7577929.5%230 W · 549 L-72.4wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked 100 Thieves67c517.99$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.1618241.2%75 W · 107 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Sentinels19c500$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954330.2%13 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xec6c…23c7backed 100 Thieves61c454.14$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.573537.1%13 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-34%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Sentinels13c450$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.81,35839%530 W · 828 L-57.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb5…7349backed Sentinels49c442.14$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.655664.3%36 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06b5…cab4backed Sentinels19c428.34$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.61533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.09per pick24cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa5…4f56backed Sentinels48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1257…793fbacked 100 Thieves46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xfa81…44a9backed Sentinels35c397.14$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid+52%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sentinels16c365.2$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.4911433.3%38 W · 76 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-34%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sentinels17c349.76$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2946326.6%123 W · 340 L-26.0wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-38.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Sentinels49c340.42$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.8119046.3%88 W · 102 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3e13…391fbacked Sentinels48c314.94$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.172650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Sentinels48c308.65$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.152445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Sentinels33c299.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.638234.1%28 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a9d…98ddbacked 100 Thieves61c266.61$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.242657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb676…260abacked 100 Thieves76c263.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.163100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Sentinels28c258.51$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.5314957.7%86 W · 63 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+2.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99fe…b61cbacked Sentinels49c244.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12025843%111 W · 147 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc14d…f137backed Sentinels53c233.4$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.72556%14 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaadb…85f9backed Sentinels45c230$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10342840%171 W · 257 L-22.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x795f…1871backed 100 Thieves53c224.17$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.363351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+24.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cea…fb39backed Sentinels45c222$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+72.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xacde…2f88backed 100 Thieves52c215.38$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.381855.6%10 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0546…7ac6backed Sentinels41c212.46$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.831526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-64.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x69db…283abacked 100 Thieves58c206.34$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6636138.5%139 W · 222 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed 100 Thieves50c206.04$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.0222955%126 W · 103 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1599…5432backed 100 Thieves53c204.34$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.344946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0028…fdc6backed Sentinels49c204.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009540%38 W · 57 L+4.8wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Sentinels49c202.33$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1223847.9%114 W · 124 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+13.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0bf…dc6dbacked Sentinels15c151.81$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.442035%7 W · 13 L-4.2wins-0.21per pick56cpaid-49%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8e3a…780cbacked Sentinels32c147.04$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.052025%5 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-23.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4aff…9200backed 100 Thieves50c144.96$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.889139.6%36 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf104…d34cbacked Sentinels10c122.57$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.014057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb581…fa4ebacked Sentinels30c118$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.274346.5%20 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x833c…42b4backed 100 Thieves43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.285927.1%16 W · 43 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed 100 Thieves60c113.06$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.5479650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed 100 Thieves55c110.27$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.3431634.2%108 W · 208 L-18.8wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-31.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked 100 Thieves52c106.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.25475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.30per pick45cpaid+56.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc104…a5c0backed Sentinels49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492259.1%13 W · 9 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Sentinels48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481050%5 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac0c…739cbacked Sentinels27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27850%4 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fc5…b698backed Sentinels52c96.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505050%25 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked 100 Thieves67c95.51$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.971,41751.3%727 W · 690 L+49.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa446…d9c6backed Sentinels50c93.92$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.96728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-52.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed 100 Thieves55c90.85$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.856245.2%28 W · 34 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3d…189dbacked Sentinels56c89.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503551.4%18 W · 17 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-0.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca8…db1fbacked Sentinels23c87.44$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201050%5 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5c17…f4f0backed 100 Thieves53c86.13$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.484562.2%28 W · 17 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7fdc…efadbacked Sentinels24c82.19$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a3f…5a2abacked 100 Thieves62c81$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed 100 Thieves58c81$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.1539545.8%181 W · 214 L-1.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac03…3840backed Sentinels50c80$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401947.4%9 W · 10 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd737…d351backed 100 Thieves71c76.2$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.421100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe1d…219ebacked 100 Thieves50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352556%14 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0925…462cbacked 100 Thieves69c66.41$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.41250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b1c…2a3ebacked 100 Thieves47c66.04$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358038.8%31 W · 49 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ded…7c09backed Sentinels51c64.17$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4e1…ee5abacked 100 Thieves63c63.52$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.52771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked 100 Thieves48c60$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.254439.9%217 W · 327 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d04…5794backed Sentinels42c60$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.031464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc393…590abacked Sentinels50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302638.5%10 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x68c8…0157backed Sentinels43c59.97$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.58742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-40.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a3…f5e8backed 100 Thieves53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.61662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d6c…2854backed Sentinels35c56.37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.732060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed Sentinels47c55$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8523644.9%106 W · 130 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842e…9173backed 100 Thieves56c53.68$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6812556.8%71 W · 54 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fd…b33cbacked 100 Thieves56c53.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.335255.8%29 W · 23 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Sentinels31c52.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.0693148.1%448 W · 483 L-11.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d30…1a5ebacked 100 Thieves50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252045%9 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec48…d04cbacked Sentinels47c49.69$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.353148.4%15 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d7…f810backed 100 Thieves78c49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9db…d934backed Sentinels62c48.19$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-65.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked 100 Thieves50c44.47$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.2715042%63 W · 87 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81dc…45a1backed Sentinels50c44.09$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd35…ecebbacked Sentinels35c43.8$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3350%0 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.