TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x60a3…f5e8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Valorant, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.8wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-41.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
South Africa vs. Canada: Team to Advancebacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.86
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: Uruguay O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.37
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$147.61
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$84.63
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will England win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$10.42
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay: Uruguay O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$58.7
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.08
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.53
All 18 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: NRG vs KRÜ Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Omegabacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.33
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 1 Group Alphabacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
Valorant: NRG vs Paper Rex (BO5) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+144%+$28.81
Valorant: Paper Rex vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters Santiago Playoffsbacked Paper Rex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$18.46
Valorant: Cloud9 vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+108.3%+$21.67
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs ULF Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+51.2%+$10.24
Valorant: GIANTX vs Team Heretics (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: Team Liquid vs Karmine Corp (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST+143.9%+$28.78
Valorant: Team Envy vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+66.7%+$20
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Sentinels (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+88.7%+$26.6
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff Playoffsbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Valorant: Sentinels vs FURIA Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked Sentinels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$19.02
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+35.1%+$11.17
Valorant: NRG vs Cloud9 (BO3) - VCT Americas Kickoff Playoffsbacked NRG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+49.3%+$10.57
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO3)backed FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+49.3%+$7.08
All 16 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will George Russell get pole position at the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$23.48
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$20.5
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT+353.1%+$52.97
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$20.82
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$8.81
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will McLaren have the highest Constructor score at the 2025 Miami Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2025, EDT+49.3%+$14.78
All 14 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump ends Gaza war in first 100 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$42.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.