Olympics · resolved market
Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc3b642d735f7cc688cdc6860cf9b85bfe06e178c3759e4bd79bd2971347e9464
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,140
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,140 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe52c…6924backed No | 46c | 5,114$2,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,781.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 53c | 4,342$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,305.71 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Yes | 52c | 2,417$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.18 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes | 59c | 1,638$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…19aabacked No | 74c | 1,624$1,203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.05 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +4.4wins | +0.20per pick | 48cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x359f…fa80backed Yes | 2c | 1,400$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 42 | 7.1%3 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 4cpaid | +25%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Yes | 58c | 1,268$736 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…ea8bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,201$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 8cpaid | +529.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 59c | 1,051$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked No | 43c | 865.22$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.42 | 36 | 16.7%6 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 58c | 732.95$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.76 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 69c | 590.78$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.91 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Yes | 57c | 550$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 56c | 434$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 18c | 416$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.36 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed No | 71c | 399.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2266…138abacked No | 38c | 386.84$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed No | 44c | 320$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.35 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked No | 38c | 308.99$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.57 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…606ebacked Yes | 54c | 300$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 62c | 294$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.28 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 63c | 221.62$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4f…728abacked Yes | 46c | 211$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe394…289cbacked No | 42c | 204.55$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 60c | 200.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.11 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Yes | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3576…09debacked No | 42c | 191.95$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.93 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e4…5bbcbacked Yes | 53c | 190$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab85…81e6backed Yes | 62c | 165$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8833…2393backed Yes | 63c | 161.17$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b9…cd54backed Yes | 62c | 160.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed No | 38c | 150$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2e…a5a5backed Yes | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 36c | 123.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.94 | 244 | 8.2%20 W · 224 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -61.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b27…e9fabacked Yes | 54c | 120.57$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 40c | 113.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.79 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 46c | 111.02$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.46 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 38c | 105.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.25 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 38c | 86.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cd…e98dbacked Yes | 57c | 86.84$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb388…dc58backed Yes | 62c | 80.69$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.33 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02bd…3c32backed No | 39c | 77.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.28 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 36cpaid | +69%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 55c | 74$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.39 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Yes | 61c | 65.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e88…bd30backed Yes | 64c | 65$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.89 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 62c | 57.21$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df4…502ebacked No | 37c | 53.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 38c | 51.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.95 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf95…7865backed Yes | 59c | 48.09$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Yes | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f13…3dcebacked Yes | 51c | 39.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked No | 40c | 34.08$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.48 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…f5e8backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb327…c569backed Yes | 66c | 30.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x684c…2d51backed Yes | 67c | 30.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…ae21backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110f…eaa3backed No | 39c | 25.62$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +153.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd1e…bb0fbacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7257…fc40backed Yes | 60c | 19.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…b0c1backed No | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Czechia win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Estonia win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.