Olympics · resolved market
Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd5f27e55f6e42e5bcdd20c94c4e2dd85fd7c413ce0f7ccc6d4d21cb0193a501
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Olympics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 63c | 1,222$771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.23 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x902c…5984backed Yes | 50c | 556.96$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05f0…2469backed No | 50c | 444.61$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +3.8wins | +0.17per pick | 42cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Yes | 35c | 400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x724d…8deabacked Yes | 37c | 373.14$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.4 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x40a7…ecb7backed No | 67c | 359.42$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.9 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78ae…143abacked Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed No | 74c | 182.09$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 42c | 170$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf94b…94a7backed Yes | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 38c | 118.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.41 | 61 | 23%14 W · 47 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 52c | 102.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.67 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94bc…8ce0backed No | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x455a…28ebbacked Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c50…482dbacked Yes | 48c | 41.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0163…874abacked Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Great Britain win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?this page
- Will Canada win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Czechia win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Estonia win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Italy win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
- Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?Yes won
- Will USA win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.