TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Olympics · resolved market

Will Sweden win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Curling - Mixed Doubles at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Olympicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,915
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,259

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,915 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Olympics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Olympics
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb834…369cbacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed No47c6,930$3,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,238.962532%8 W · 17 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed Yes46c5,036$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,719.881442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No55c4,093$2,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,246.015341.5%22 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x05f0…2469backed Yes18c4,056$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,336.952259.1%13 W · 9 L+3.8wins+0.17per pick42cpaid+42.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3398…6a60backed No3c3,087$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52c…6924backed Yes48c2,210$1,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,151.132100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf802…d91dbacked Yes47c2,025$951 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,073.773262.5%20 W · 12 L+5.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes45c1,529$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$840.813132.3%10 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-39.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x477f…19aabacked Yes43c1,432$610 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$821.992268.2%15 W · 7 L+4.4wins+0.20per pick48cpaid+25.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa53e…f9f6backed No67c1,423$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960.351936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x359f…fa80backed No2c1,400$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34427.1%3 W · 39 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick4cpaid+25%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes66c1,316$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed31…d9c8backed No59c1,253$741 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$740.561330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x411e…ea8bbacked No3c900$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27560%3 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick8cpaid+529.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No62c895.53$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557.948237.8%31 W · 51 L-6.7wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Yes45c710.29$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$391.582250%11 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cfe…e4debacked No63c660$414 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$413.65714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.16per pick30cpaid-71.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2266…138abacked Yes37c575.43$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+164.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes40c553.36$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa7f…8a58backed Yes41c552.48$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.481631.3%5 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x40a7…ecb7backed Yes46c540.1$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.013467.6%23 W · 11 L+3.0wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9b14…d18cbacked Yes12c525.04$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.72837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick14cpaid+123.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes42c498.88$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.463616.7%6 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e73…b728backed Yes41c493.4$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$293.41346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick65cpaid-26.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaa9f…0df3backed Yes34c490.36$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.013823.7%9 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick20cpaid-26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes55c469.22$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.453941%16 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes42c435.81$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.55366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+43.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed No53c378.43$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.421827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c26…6e31backed No55c351.12$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.512846.4%13 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9d9…5084backed Yes46c340$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06b0…afd6backed Yes39c254.67$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.672133.3%7 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No59c243.45$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.7111858.5%69 W · 49 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Yes41c241.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.08520%1 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-51.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf95…7865backed Yes52c240.98$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.972339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b38…4d61backed Yes39c240$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.3560%3 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.27per pick33cpaid+47.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb9a2…b3cdbacked Yes45c235.79$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.79366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb50…7bfcbacked No60c233$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.635151%26 W · 25 L-0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02bd…3c32backed Yes41c221.62$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick36cpaid+69%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xae6b…4fa8backed Yes46c219.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b27…e9fabacked Yes56c219.28$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.75250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…d45ebacked Yes46c217.64$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.641154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked No47c210.12$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.776137.7%23 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…87cfbacked Yes34c188.11$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.58236.6%30 W · 52 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+17.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa7dc…f80cbacked Yes40c187.71$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3576…09debacked No56c185.73$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.831145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbb5…5ed9backed No61c163.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Yes38c150$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d2…9994backed Yes40c145.86$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x724d…8deabacked No64c138.09$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.0380%0 W · 8 L-2.9wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7398…12f1backed Yes45c127.84$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes40c114.86$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.452445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4ca…1383backed Yes36c111.1$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.16123%14 W · 47 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-36.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Yes45c105.65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.65366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+66.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xab0e…9275backed Yes44c102.2$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a47…5533backed Yes49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.04633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick42cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3997…dd0fbacked Yes45c100$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$552100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick54cpaid+91.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x073a…2cdabacked Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd10…5378backed Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+123.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Yes38c100$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621947.4%9 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.15per pick33cpaid-0.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes40c99$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593525.7%9 W · 26 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-28.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6ba9…4e4ebacked Yes54c93.07$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8198…5ebcbacked Yes50c91.66$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.663100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked Yes40c80.71$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.432536%9 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-25.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89ac…ec60backed Yes41c74.57$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe5…4689backed Yes40c74.53$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.53250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+24.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No22c74$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.572948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd022…1856backed Yes39c71.43$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.57837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-27.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7c2…7f63backed Yes43c60.96$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.791330.8%4 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-37.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4b0…bf41backed No61c60.66$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37520%1 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.41per pick61cpaid-70.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7257…fc40backed Yes27c58.89$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.712917.2%5 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed No56c57.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.578535.3%30 W · 55 L-6.4wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507a…be1fbacked No54c55.83$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.311668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+22.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5981…36f3backed Yes40c54.88$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.831100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+148.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb38c…b2c9backed Yes39c52$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.724736.2%17 W · 30 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x575f…9287backed Yes36c50.01$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.01757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+49.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4f24…513ebacked Yes41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.51747.1%8 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.21per pick26cpaid+49.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb403…dd71backed Yes40c49.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.981100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f0c…b524backed Yes41c49.08$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+145.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6f0…c557backed Yes41c48.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+142.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0212…fee5backed Yes42c42.58$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.58560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4725…619bbacked Yes38c40$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.8475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+46.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47e5…5b5bbacked Yes50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick18cpaid-50%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee75…ffe9backed Yes52c38.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x684c…2d51backed Yes53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.74250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x110f…eaa3backed Yes40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+153.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb772…fa1dbacked Yes40c32.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+149.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Yes40c30.21$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+151.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4aab…38ccbacked No63c28.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.151330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-52.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe610…59cbbacked Yes40c27.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e17…f09fbacked Yes45c26.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b6…f2febacked Yes44c25.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+129.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa0…0889backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb602…47ebbacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+59.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb388…dc58backed No63c24$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.121070%7 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.13per pick57cpaid+24.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacd8…6633backed No58c23.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e01…757abacked Yes46c22$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.881533.3%5 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Olympics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.