F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeab235a8826b431c8a859476813a0ac78230a12f33d68a5de515f05e25de9641
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $219,364
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $219,364 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 201 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f89…0febbacked No | 63c | 30,561$19,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,307.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x231c…c5ddbacked Yes | 37c | 30,561$11,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,307.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…8178backed No | 61c | 30,004$18,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,701.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0b…1d34backed Yes | 39c | 30,004$11,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,701.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Yes | 40c | 6,055$2,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,412.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 5,579$3,901 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.65 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 39c | 3,619$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.56 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed No | 49c | 3,500$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,775 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 47c | 3,354$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.27 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed No | 52c | 3,197$1,653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.66 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 34c | 3,024$1,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.73 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 46c | 2,952$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.24 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Yes | 62c | 2,646$1,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,629.61 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 53c | 2,474$1,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.41 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 36c | 2,284$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.98 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked Yes | 33c | 2,100$693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$693 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 61c | 1,775$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.89 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x57ad…04a8backed Yes | 25c | 1,707$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 61c | 1,650$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -4.9wins | -0.31per pick | 37cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…9222backed Yes | 66c | 1,617$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes | 15c | 1,572$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 37c | 1,457$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.55 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 78c | 1,420$1,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.91 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,403$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.06 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.30per pick | 17cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 66c | 1,343$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.44 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 65c | 1,236$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Yes | 48c | 1,050$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 65c | 1,010$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.55 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…8284backed No | 40c | 1,001$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.32 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 40cpaid | +66%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…f37bbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 35c | 978.91$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.71 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba4…877dbacked Yes | 19c | 952.57$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed No | 38c | 949.31$362 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.28 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 27c | 878$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.14 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55ea…7f0dbacked Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Yes | 66c | 827.36$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.12 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 64cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 37c | 799.99$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.99 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 62c | 722.63$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.42 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51a0…01e0backed No | 39c | 683.74$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.51 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 15c | 645.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.27 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked No | 38c | 630.99$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +165.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb566…d25dbacked Yes | 39c | 627.06$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.67 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 35c | 617.71$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.11 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Yes | 63c | 607.38$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Yes | 38c | 600.76$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.29 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9e…0a21backed Yes | 42c | 591.65$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.66 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 37c | 579.57$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.41 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 37c | 552.77$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.52 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…cfc8backed Yes | 5c | 500$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6968…447bbacked No | 63c | 499.99$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dee…f4e6backed No | 61c | 471.04$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd68c…4ba7backed No | 64c | 463.53$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 43c | 454$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.6 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…38dfbacked Yes | 35c | 444.21$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…053abacked Yes | 60c | 415.02$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 9c | 400$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 54c | 400$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…b258backed Yes | 6c | 369.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.02 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 39c | 344.59$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.83 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed Yes | 20c | 338.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed No | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 62c | 323.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed No | 61c | 310$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.33 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 64c | 309.67$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.99 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe87a…6d01backed Yes | 59c | 305$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.98 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde39…3ccdbacked Yes | 11c | 301.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…b118backed No | 58c | 300$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.2 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe10b…5fe3backed Yes | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 18c | 276.79$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b0b…3f0bbacked Yes | 56c | 251.24$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +186.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 13c | 251$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.3 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 19c | 245.37$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.62 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Yes | 10c | 231.8$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeed…074bbacked Yes | 59c | 226.69$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.75 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2c…c0a0backed Yes | 45c | 224.69$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked No | 36c | 219.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed Yes | 63c | 214.94$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.9 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf385…4864backed No | 51c | 210.05$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.78 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2e…2358backed No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.24per pick | 48cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked No | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09cd…8be5backed Yes | 23c | 200$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed Yes | 49c | 193.56$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51c0…0305backed Yes | 11c | 177.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed No | 59c | 175.03$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 15c | 160$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 53c | 157.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.81 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…c2e8backed Yes | 20c | 152.04$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…0eddbacked No | 44c | 146.53$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.16 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 63c | 144.61$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.85 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 58c | 140.86$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.16 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc7…5536backed No | 60c | 140.2$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.58 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926a…0624backed Yes | 38c | 131.58$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…16d8backed Yes | 38c | 131.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6494…2123backed Yes | 38c | 130.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…dd63backed No | 62c | 126.67$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.67 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9a…e11dbacked Yes | 65c | 123.49$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6554…bbd6backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x22b4…49acbacked Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Nico Hülkenberg win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.