F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9e45373e919f77bceed13de0c56fb6162290af3cf5fded5287b6323360dae64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,116
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $273,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,116 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4cf5…ab60backed Yes | 37c | 63,023$23,319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,318.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0cd…3be3backed No | 63c | 63,023$39,704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,318.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e11…9bacbacked Yes | 15c | 32,866$5,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,085.12 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86eb…a20ebacked Yes | 38c | 32,241$12,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,251.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6717…0054backed No | 62c | 32,241$19,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,251.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed Yes | 28c | 5,139$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.2 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde97…e43ebacked Yes | 15c | 4,155$638 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$637.62 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 21cpaid | -87.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 31c | 2,949$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$905.21 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Yes | 20c | 2,485$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.5 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 15c | 2,095$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.02 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 9c | 2,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 5c | 1,792$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.07 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fe…b77fbacked Yes | 34c | 1,532$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.22 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e42…9003backed Yes | 38c | 1,324$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 11c | 1,229$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.42 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 33c | 1,173$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.87 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 62c | 1,096$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.06 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…6012backed Yes | 9c | 1,073$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Yes | 35c | 1,058$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe62d…a9dabacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b06…0b42backed Yes | 9c | 997.65$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…cfc8backed Yes | 8c | 900$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Yes | 36c | 823.16$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.34 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 10c | 800$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…29ecbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 14c | 753$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.58 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 11c | 614.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…54fabacked Yes | 20c | 603.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9e…49b3backed Yes | 14c | 603.27$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 85 | 29.4%25 W · 60 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…9a64backed Yes | 20c | 503.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…f37bbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…5f67backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…c1ffbacked Yes | 11c | 445.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 7c | 439.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.73 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 10c | 434.88$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.99 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed65…b1b2backed Yes | 21c | 355.39$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 80c | 324.07$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.47 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c95…8729backed Yes | 17c | 302.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…57a3backed Yes | 35c | 299.99$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 15c | 299.99$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 10c | 299.97$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b51…9c96backed Yes | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed No | 67c | 277.95$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.73 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xab3e…6939backed Yes | 11c | 276.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.12 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 74c | 270.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.56 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c2…c73cbacked Yes | 4c | 253.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd28…94d4backed Yes | 20c | 251.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…bd6abacked Yes | 37c | 242.4$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…c88fbacked No | 65c | 215.38$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.38 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 65c | 212$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.2 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01e9…3b95backed Yes | 12c | 208.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed Yes | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.8 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9e…0a21backed No | 64c | 200$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes | 8c | 182.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x251b…143cbacked No | 63c | 179.36$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.82 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…4e38backed No | 74c | 174.82$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 19c | 173.68$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b87…0eddbacked Yes | 11c | 169.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8de…0401backed Yes | 18c | 168.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf2…e3d0backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a6…c236backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba7…9b4dbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed Yes | 18c | 132$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.17per pick | 25cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…16d8backed Yes | 38c | 130.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 15c | 126$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 17c | 120.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd045…8367backed Yes | 42c | 118.87$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e70…718dbacked Yes | 20c | 102.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7012…d036backed Yes | 20c | 101.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…b218backed Yes | 11c | 101$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 63c | 101$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.37 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4f…cb79backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea42…2c25backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae20…245abacked Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.45 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…92c6backed Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 40 | 15%6 W · 34 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…b258backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Yes | 37c | 100$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4caf…6de9backed Yes | 11c | 99.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4341…2c3abacked Yes | 18c | 98.4$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2130…b64dbacked No | 77c | 95$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c49…fb14backed Yes | 38c | 92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0c…3d66backed Yes | 39c | 89.92$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ec…2b21backed Yes | 34c | 82.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Yes | 15c | 78.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…ecbdbacked Yes | 38c | 78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8949…5e21backed Yes | 37c | 72.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfceb…37dabacked Yes | 38c | 65.79$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…d5dcbacked Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61b3…09f2backed No | 63c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x137c…297bbacked No | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42d7…d5ddbacked No | 63c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7781…a66dbacked No | 64c | 36$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf065…c418backed No | 65c | 29.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…b6ecbacked No | 64c | 27.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d5…0375backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb854…d139backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdb2…634dbacked No | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +78%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?Yes won
- Will Nico Hülkenberg win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.