F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01f3670a29306e873387b7431892a1bc2e2e8a207844a2b3a71fd2a45d6777bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $191,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6b52…8a4fbacked Yes | 15c | 10,141$1,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,629.56 | 55 | 21.8%12 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes | 24c | 7,230$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,498.33 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 17c | 7,000$1,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,810 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 16c | 5,050$806 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,243.56 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…0ac5backed Yes | 48c | 4,496$2,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,340.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 56c | 4,401$2,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,925.92 | 86 | 22.1%19 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 35c | 3,778$1,323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,454.65 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked No | 3c | 3,541$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.30per pick | 17cpaid | +109.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x04e7…f37bbacked No | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 77c | 2,741$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.53 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed No | 6c | 2,509$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.56 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 22c | 2,208$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.71 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeecc…9222backed Yes | 77c | 1,844$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 39c | 1,610$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.99 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…e311backed Yes | 16c | 1,500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 14cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6485…be05backed Yes | 13c | 1,500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd073…b757backed Yes | 56c | 1,369$767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3550…68b6backed No | 5c | 1,340$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 46c | 1,235$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.47 | 126 | 16.7%21 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -52%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 79c | 1,100$867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.88 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5452…d448backed Yes | 24c | 1,000$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 56 | 62.5%35 W · 21 L | +7.2wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47b9…e8f6backed No | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked No | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 75c | 873.29$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.16 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 15c | 800$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aca…8b98backed Yes | 25c | 796.25$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.08 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +68.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x827b…01cebacked Yes | 26c | 741$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$545.34 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Yes | 24c | 695.25$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.39 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +5.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 52c | 684.97$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.54 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbeda…053abacked Yes | 40c | 671.51$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.18 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…9c72backed Yes | 16c | 647.74$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.74 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2375…e90dbacked Yes | 16c | 625$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 79c | 608$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.28 | 70 | 28.6%20 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6f…6b82backed No | 32c | 599.99$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ec…d592backed Yes | 16c | 592.05$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.43 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 11cpaid | +108.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…54fabacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Yes | 30c | 546.29$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.29 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d47…30aabacked Yes | 19c | 530.48$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a1…7cb1backed Yes | 71c | 526.76$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb13…054dbacked Yes | 20c | 500$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +150%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037d…161bbacked Yes | 20c | 500$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +145%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aef…f4afbacked Yes | 16c | 480$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…4183backed Yes | 23c | 478.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.89 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3832…7044backed Yes | 16c | 472$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.17 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +97.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 14c | 453.03$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.6 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 21c | 446.07$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4755…9e4cbacked Yes | 15c | 443.01$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +561.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3df1…38dfbacked Yes | 18c | 423.41$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.41 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3660…8c06backed Yes | 21c | 420.44$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +141.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…29ecbacked Yes | 22c | 414.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 79c | 397.81$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.78 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc5…0c52backed Yes | 25c | 392.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa1…dc77backed Yes | 15c | 387.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.49 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bc…927abacked Yes | 63c | 380.95$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.95 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43d0…c293backed Yes | 18c | 372.7$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd6…f5f4backed Yes | 71c | 365.91$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…08ffbacked No | 79c | 364.92$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3c…1a61backed Yes | 23c | 354.78$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x332a…c9a2backed No | 19c | 350$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 77 | 15.6%12 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Yes | 75c | 329.83$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.05 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed No | 77c | 327.65$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.43 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…8108backed Yes | 62c | 322.25$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea42…2c25backed Yes | 15c | 315$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a0…beecbacked Yes | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3233backed Yes | 35c | 310$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2c…c0a0backed Yes | 15c | 266.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.67 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…9801backed No | 79c | 260.76$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 38c | 256.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.81 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…2f88backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 79c | 249.39$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2105…b560backed No | 5c | 240.91$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cc…769cbacked Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69aa…8847backed Yes | 78c | 236.8$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5598…0f47backed No | 18c | 230$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e8…cc6cbacked Yes | 69c | 228.54$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.42 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed No | 79c | 226.29$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.81 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3e…713abacked Yes | 51c | 222$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe10…95cbbacked No | 78c | 220.36$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 15c | 216.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.89 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x693d…a487backed Yes | 19c | 211.2$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.09 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd9e…3723backed Yes | 19c | 210.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.46 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…109dbacked Yes | 57c | 207.55$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.55 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfced…d5dcbacked Yes | 15c | 200$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 27cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb54…6e4bbacked No | 80c | 200$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -55%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…403bbacked Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 13cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 45c | 198.71$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.93 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf614…689abacked Yes | 25c | 196$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9a…06d0backed Yes | 63c | 195.24$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea29…21dfbacked Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…dfc6backed Yes | 15c | 166.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf6…c2e8backed Yes | 73c | 166.28$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 164$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.06 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b5…7c74backed No | 41c | 153.57$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7984…638abacked No | 75c | 150$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb43b…5a7cbacked Yes | 17c | 145.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.83 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd009…b258backed Yes | 40c | 137.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…6faebacked Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.36 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ef…1212backed Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +566.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6465…ee88backed No | 26c | 128.54$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1658…5033backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?this page
- Will Alexander Albon win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz Jr. win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Gabriel Bortoleto win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Jack Doohan win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Nico Hülkenberg win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
- Will another driver win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.