TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6fee…54fa

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
5
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: Tweets, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.01 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 52 out of 100; worst World Politics at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
F1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 26, 2025, EDT2213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$62.09
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$79.81
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$149.7
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+900%+$135
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.72
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$70
Will George Russell win the 2025 Spanish Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will George Russell win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+374.3%+$352.96
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$162.1
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$240
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$161
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Monaco GP pole? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$80
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$120
Will George Russell win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$50
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+488.2%+$488.24
All 22 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick13cpaid+50.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon tweet 215–229 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.14
Will Elon tweet 200–214 times May 30–June 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2025, EDT+210.1%+$210.13
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 23–30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Will Elon tweet 175–199 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 250–274 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 150–174 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+1,248.7%+$412.08
Will Elon tweet 225–249 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 200–224 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.87
Will Elon tweet 125–149 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon tweet 100–124 times May 16–23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Inter Milan win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.