Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x834a4109dbd18f97695e4858b3a18d21fff19bc2dc7c055f18b96843ac1de17b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,564,379
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,878,855
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,564,379 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 714 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked Yes | 0c | 4,870,029$16,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,350.16 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 0c | 2,477,357$10,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,130.66 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e36…4390backed Yes | 0c | 1,511,000$6,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,399.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 1,098,201$6,385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,384.91 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 1c | 904,831$5,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,646.83 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Yes | 0c | 753,584$3,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,205.93 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 0c | 599,999$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3708…171fbacked Yes | 0c | 509,636$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.74 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55b0…5c38backed Yes | 0c | 507,300$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…353abacked Yes | 0c | 457,611$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 1c | 456,624$3,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,228.85 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…5898backed Yes | 0c | 400,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…e727backed Yes | 0c | 381,123$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.4 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…f01dbacked Yes | 0c | 333,333$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked Yes | 0c | 310,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes | 0c | 289,027$1,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,228.95 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3480backed Yes | 2c | 256,999$4,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,347.02 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…9350backed Yes | 0c | 240,823$814 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.57 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…bc02backed Yes | 0c | 238,993$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$767.83 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…e9babacked Yes | 0c | 170,900$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.7 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…0367backed Yes | 0c | 169,243$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…9e47backed Yes | 0c | 166,667$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…edd5backed Yes | 0c | 155,400$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.7 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…eb29backed Yes | 0c | 150,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 2c | 128,440$1,937 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,937.04 | 89 | 24.7%22 W · 67 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…97ddbacked Yes | 0c | 125,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfffe…1df7backed Yes | 0c | 124,875$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3e…eec6backed Yes | 1c | 117,165$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.99 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08e7…440abacked Yes | 0c | 102,733$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f77…0ba9backed Yes | 0c | 91,558$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 1c | 80,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4c…8a04backed Yes | 0c | 78,365$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.09 | 22 | 4.5%1 W · 21 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -93.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd23…8e4fbacked Yes | 0c | 78,333$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -66%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed Yes | 8c | 77,131$6,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,294.99 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…a94abacked Yes | 0c | 75,000$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked Yes | 0c | 72,750$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf976…c073backed Yes | 0c | 72,000$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…c6d2backed Yes | 0c | 68,773$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…565dbacked Yes | 1c | 68,057$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…31a0backed Yes | 1c | 61,605$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.5 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…02c7backed Yes | 1c | 60,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8f…34c6backed Yes | 1c | 59,764$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740.93 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3f…ba66backed Yes | 0c | 58,440$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.88 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed7e…8003backed Yes | 0c | 57,717$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af6…9508backed Yes | 0c | 56,683$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.37 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 8cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a35…fc8ebacked Yes | 0c | 55,443$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.71 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a8…a65bbacked Yes | 6c | 55,113$3,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,251.57 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce1…bfc9backed Yes | 0c | 54,640$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…dda1backed Yes | 0c | 54,500$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc165…480dbacked Yes | 0c | 53,143$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 1c | 50,200$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb6…9452backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 20 | 0%0 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf80d…b383backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…dd96backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…81ecbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…d649backed Yes | 0c | 49,213$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc472…ced9backed Yes | 0c | 47,667$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x287e…72ccbacked Yes | 0c | 46,000$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 1c | 45,000$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.42 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 45,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…6232backed Yes | 1c | 40,028$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c2…5cc4backed Yes | 1c | 40,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x557d…962fbacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9c…97a4backed Yes | 1c | 38,518$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.05 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa84e…a97cbacked Yes | 1c | 37,680$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.92 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60dd…f4b1backed Yes | 0c | 37,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3385…fc58backed Yes | 1c | 36,890$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…f5c3backed Yes | 1c | 36,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…675ebacked Yes | 1c | 35,801$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.44 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…bcbebacked Yes | 0c | 35,667$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f7…e8d6backed Yes | 1c | 35,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0bd…d079backed Yes | 0c | 34,671$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.35 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…c693backed Yes | 0c | 34,613$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6616…2bf9backed Yes | 0c | 33,563$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.25 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8f3…3d8abacked Yes | 3c | 33,336$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eae…39cdbacked Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9dd…da00backed Yes | 1c | 33,333$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…e1e3backed Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 4c | 33,320$1,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,356.21 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe21…2b7bbacked Yes | 0c | 31,667$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 31,133$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.78 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes | 2c | 30,965$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32d4…ad3cbacked Yes | 2c | 30,833$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e5…6010backed Yes | 1c | 30,400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…0a97backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…b5c4backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd150…264fbacked Yes | 5c | 29,800$1,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,617.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3855…0cb1backed Yes | 0c | 29,667$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4e…f04abacked Yes | 0c | 29,188$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.69 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd61…e364backed Yes | 0c | 28,750$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e14…3980backed Yes | 1c | 28,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 6c | 27,860$1,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,796.89 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…69cfbacked Yes | 1c | 26,730$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 0c | 26,680$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.36 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3adc…1e5fbacked Yes | 0c | 25,283$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959d…fe29backed Yes | 1c | 25,000$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…f268backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…1453backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.