Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3a92a26ce837b361bd044acc2c0b81346ad66e9a891fc5ad27b9a35e6701c6e7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,912,559
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,516,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,912,559 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 443 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x66e7…24c2backed Yes | 0c | 2,999,999$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked Yes | 0c | 2,966,568$2,967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966.57 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc87…de14backed Yes | 0c | 1,002,700$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.7 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e7…d5f8backed Yes | 0c | 734,175$734 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$734.17 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -92.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6480…8dc5backed Yes | 0c | 728,692$3,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.54 | 32 | 0%0 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadb4…3214backed Yes | 0c | 700,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6df…f7a7backed Yes | 0c | 678,734$2,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,439.77 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Yes | 0c | 400,000$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 26 | 19.2%5 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…9350backed Yes | 0c | 390,728$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c1…b742backed Yes | 0c | 324,000$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf932…b09bbacked Yes | 0c | 317,490$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 1c | 302,254$1,864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,863.95 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x959d…fe29backed Yes | 0c | 300,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6028…10eebacked Yes | 0c | 258,273$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d6…e727backed Yes | 0c | 257,310$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.34 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3837…fbb3backed Yes | 0c | 221,073$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.07 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 0c | 212,623$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$727.02 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36a…cf88backed Yes | 0c | 206,000$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$271 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20f9…4cdbbacked Yes | 0c | 200,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…82cfbacked Yes | 0c | 180,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1eb2…fedbbacked Yes | 0c | 159,950$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c6…55acbacked Yes | 0c | 140,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3385…fc58backed Yes | 0c | 125,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 0c | 122,030$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.21 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 0c | 111,409$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…eb5fbacked Yes | 0c | 109,732$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b65…791abacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b88…0b20backed Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…5898backed Yes | 0c | 96,000$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…cad0backed Yes | 0c | 89,469$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6d…a212backed Yes | 0c | 72,424$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…8ccdbacked Yes | 0c | 67,109$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…257dbacked Yes | 0c | 65,000$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -78.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…1a14backed Yes | 0c | 64,754$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.18 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed13…e733backed Yes | 1c | 64,680$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ced…12b2backed Yes | 1c | 61,075$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.3 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc01b…c933backed Yes | 1c | 60,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…d649backed Yes | 0c | 60,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca00…e4c4backed Yes | 0c | 59,664$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5854…8835backed Yes | 0c | 58,886$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.43 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…f5c3backed Yes | 0c | 58,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked Yes | 0c | 55,500$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.5 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 55,000$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 31 | 0%0 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad13…0298backed Yes | 0c | 53,000$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe257…3392backed Yes | 0c | 50,480$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 1c | 50,355$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.37 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1439…5051backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…2879backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x369a…fbbfbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5572…984ebacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f1…9626backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5217…836fbacked Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8890…79bdbacked Yes | 3c | 48,477$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.76 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…7aecbacked Yes | 0c | 48,000$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ef…c62ebacked Yes | 1c | 44,920$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfef2…d60abacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea34…43dabacked Yes | 0c | 40,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…dda1backed Yes | 0c | 38,333$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc428…79eebacked Yes | 0c | 38,330$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.33 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ee…590ebacked Yes | 0c | 38,020$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5a…4b33backed Yes | 0c | 37,500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0139…be95backed Yes | 0c | 36,610$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.61 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…bc02backed Yes | 0c | 35,000$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49f3…adb4backed Yes | 1c | 34,035$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f3…108bbacked Yes | 0c | 33,333$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 31,999$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.99 | 52 | 5.8%3 W · 49 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 5cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x402f…7d67backed Yes | 1c | 31,223$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf61b…ade8backed Yes | 0c | 30,275$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.55 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdaa…416dbacked Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce59…eb51backed Yes | 0c | 30,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x485c…3373backed Yes | 1c | 30,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55b0…5c38backed Yes | 0c | 29,200$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b1…5cbabacked Yes | 0c | 29,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc4e…f04abacked Yes | 0c | 27,110$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc5…0bc0backed Yes | 0c | 26,000$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7b…f268backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb988…3a35backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fe…d4a5backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…41cbbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa92…fbb0backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x801c…ab3bbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…cf0dbacked Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c70…8511backed Yes | 0c | 25,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…76d9backed Yes | 1c | 24,502$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.69 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…258cbacked Yes | 0c | 24,500$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b59…58e6backed Yes | 1c | 24,061$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.64 | 34 | 0%0 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094b…65c8backed Yes | 0c | 23,610$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e0…decbbacked Yes | 0c | 22,412$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc63d…8188backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c17…b267backed Yes | 0c | 22,000$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…01ccbacked Yes | 0c | 21,720$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a6a…0aadbacked Yes | 3c | 21,566$658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$657.74 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7309…4967backed Yes | 0c | 21,230$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f32…b3dfbacked Yes | 0c | 21,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…e55abacked Yes | 1c | 21,000$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -78.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…f959backed Yes | 1c | 20,810$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.05 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x987a…a94abacked Yes | 0c | 20,008$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x181a…fff6backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ab…92fabacked Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.