Fed Rates · resolved market
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x872c8e9a4e4808a2ab714c267bd8a93f63cb739c853d7e4de2b42009e73f9b3f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,347,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,334,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,347,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,829 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ac…08d5backed Yes | 2c | 947,992$18,842 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,841.77 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -45%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed Yes | 2c | 641,464$11,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,519.87 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa275…c758backed Yes | 2c | 501,428$10,073 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,072.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…48eebacked Yes | 2c | 498,565$11,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,381.65 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 3c | 423,215$12,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,205.94 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf63b…0806backed Yes | 8c | 404,322$31,914 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,914.21 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 4c | 397,713$15,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,951.8 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Yes | 3c | 389,720$12,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,948.38 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a06…201bbacked Yes | 8c | 384,889$30,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,080.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked Yes | 3c | 355,054$9,575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,575.45 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…c9dbbacked Yes | 2c | 353,181$6,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,138.77 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed Yes | 2c | 319,055$5,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,686.41 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Yes | 4c | 281,200$10,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,897.91 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c87…9bd4backed Yes | 2c | 260,797$4,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,932.29 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…9350backed Yes | 3c | 237,398$7,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,401.73 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x275e…4ed0backed Yes | 2c | 229,912$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Yes | 2c | 217,877$4,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,776.59 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -89.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9c…31a0backed Yes | 21c | 200,526$41,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,444.89 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb6f…25f0backed Yes | 3c | 170,510$4,607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,606.85 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -76.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef5…8898backed Yes | 6c | 159,939$9,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,795.15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…97ddbacked Yes | 1c | 153,772$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.26 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287e…72ccbacked Yes | 1c | 150,214$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3c…dd96backed Yes | 2c | 147,458$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,032.54 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c3…0f3dbacked Yes | 2c | 132,543$2,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,966 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2387…2736backed Yes | 3c | 131,636$3,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,463.25 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked Yes | 2c | 129,914$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450.26 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed Yes | 51c | 128,585$65,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,913.37 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5714…eb29backed Yes | 1c | 127,856$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b6…02c7backed Yes | 4c | 126,737$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.81 | 14 | 0%0 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ac…9334backed Yes | 1c | 124,637$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked Yes | 6c | 113,529$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,269.85 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8fb…19dcbacked Yes | 1c | 110,562$1,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,417.51 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -86.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4019…1453backed Yes | 4c | 107,954$3,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,884.67 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde24…25a8backed Yes | 2c | 101,837$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.76 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -71.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c8…b79abacked Yes | 2c | 99,724$1,604 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,604.48 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f9…2551backed Yes | 0c | 99,000$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8225…c4a8backed Yes | 2c | 95,881$2,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,202 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca6…04f8backed Yes | 5c | 95,475$4,894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,894 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96da…2c38backed Yes | 10c | 92,938$9,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,453.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3427…7977backed Yes | 11c | 92,866$10,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,007.27 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc59e…7181backed Yes | 2c | 91,640$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4621…efccbacked Yes | 3c | 91,552$3,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,148.11 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4851…1e94backed Yes | 2c | 90,000$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 3c | 88,943$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.32 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a6…c27bbacked Yes | 1c | 87,802$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,084.83 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c6…01c0backed Yes | 4c | 85,559$3,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,335.35 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2f…f472backed Yes | 2c | 84,337$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed Yes | 2c | 84,041$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.68 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5c…7d29backed Yes | 2c | 82,500$1,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,732.5 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4b…5724backed Yes | 1c | 81,123$973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6028…10eebacked Yes | 1c | 81,055$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked Yes | 4c | 79,747$3,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,492.12 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3b…1d77backed Yes | 3c | 75,000$2,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,147.04 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -76%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa642…309fbacked No | 45c | 74,100$33,345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,755 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffa4…1f7fbacked Yes | 55c | 74,100$40,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,755 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c15…8033backed Yes | 1c | 70,983$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64d6…81ecbacked Yes | 1c | 66,274$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f4…12a9backed Yes | 2c | 65,000$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ac…76ffbacked Yes | 2c | 63,739$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…d649backed Yes | 1c | 63,079$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3385…fc58backed Yes | 3c | 62,978$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f9…ed12backed Yes | 12c | 61,618$7,324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,324.21 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -73.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11fb…4a25backed Yes | 2c | 61,364$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe257…3392backed Yes | 2c | 58,634$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d82…672dbacked Yes | 3c | 56,110$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa857…6dd9backed Yes | 2c | 55,751$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$854.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x611c…c982backed Yes | 10c | 53,000$5,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,420.04 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -89.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…5fb6backed Yes | 2c | 50,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -70.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fe…e320backed Yes | 1c | 50,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…32a1backed Yes | 1c | 49,054$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.65 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fc…30f5backed Yes | 2c | 48,714$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…5a82backed Yes | 5c | 48,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…151abacked Yes | 1c | 47,500$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d8f…34c6backed Yes | 9c | 46,273$3,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,968.06 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f63…f01dbacked Yes | 2c | 45,959$754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$754.47 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3db0…0e1dbacked Yes | 1c | 44,789$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc372…dda1backed Yes | 2c | 43,335$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc3…03a2backed Yes | 4c | 43,038$1,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,874.97 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3497…e9babacked Yes | 2c | 42,791$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.61 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f62…2ce6backed Yes | 2c | 42,369$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5095…c97cbacked Yes | 52c | 42,334$22,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,114.93 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d83…c7c8backed Yes | 50c | 41,576$20,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,788 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…b35abacked No | 50c | 41,576$20,788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,788 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc998…f060backed Yes | 3c | 40,917$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.55 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 38,970$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.29 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9985…72aabacked Yes | 1c | 38,540$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.74 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 11c | 37,291$4,047 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,046.81 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4343…7114backed Yes | 1c | 37,152$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked Yes | 2c | 35,366$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…f481backed Yes | 2c | 35,289$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$761.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x038f…ba58backed Yes | 2c | 34,553$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 21cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…c6d2backed Yes | 4c | 34,476$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,457.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d69cbacked Yes | 4c | 33,380$1,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,197.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb25…b674backed Yes | 4c | 32,844$1,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…9e47backed Yes | 2c | 32,224$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.68 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57c5…07aabacked Yes | 3c | 30,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$779.63 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f55…ce1bbacked Yes | 1c | 30,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9613…18b8backed Yes | 2c | 30,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8679…4659backed Yes | 12c | 30,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 2c | 29,900$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$497.2 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No won
- No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.