Fed Rates · resolved market
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xffdd774123c13df21ce755bfd4f65bde47a74f1377ea73c8b130d84c59831173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fed Ratesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,071,373
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,394,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,071,373 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fed Rates is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed No | 2c | 940,739$22,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,245.48 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0914…9c93backed No | 2c | 684,125$14,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,075.34 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d27…76d8backed No | 2c | 553,955$10,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,145.9 | 52 | 3.8%2 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1de…5834backed No | 2c | 369,839$8,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,692.82 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf63b…0806backed No | 12c | 366,801$44,705 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,704.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753f…b52bbacked No | 2c | 292,717$5,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,015.01 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed No | 3c | 269,000$6,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,828.09 | 30 | 3.3%1 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -92.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9921…6258backed No | 2c | 177,480$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,138.49 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40b0…1f0abacked No | 4c | 174,093$6,199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,199.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…5214backed No | 5c | 162,859$7,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,354.13 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed No | 4c | 161,684$6,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,686.15 | 35 | 2.9%1 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -96.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05e6…4a5fbacked No | 2c | 156,212$3,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,550.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a21…fb6cbacked No | 2c | 138,715$3,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,177.92 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed No | 2c | 138,000$2,611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,611 | 104 | 20.2%21 W · 83 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaeb…a2a5backed Yes | 60c | 131,866$78,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,174.36 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb66…3103backed Yes | 42c | 120,833$50,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,166.13 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…565dbacked No | 3c | 117,574$3,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,601.78 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b69…98eabacked No | 4c | 114,426$4,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,261.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed No | 2c | 113,702$2,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,271.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6897…cb1ebacked No | 2c | 111,553$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.89 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69d4…1798backed No | 2c | 104,230$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,998.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x959d…fe29backed No | 2c | 101,804$1,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…3fb9backed Yes | 38c | 85,803$32,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,197.86 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908f…7e43backed No | 62c | 85,783$53,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,185.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f60…bbccbacked No | 1c | 75,027$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9389…aaffbacked No | 1c | 73,529$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.16 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9225…9a5bbacked No | 2c | 71,388$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed No | 13c | 70,452$9,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1047…763abacked No | 9c | 65,300$6,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,168 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…bc02backed No | 2c | 63,983$1,341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.56 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bed…f347backed No | 2c | 61,036$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.78 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -85.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ee…5a28backed Yes | 39c | 58,643$22,857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,786.15 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e7…5872backed No | 2c | 56,732$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5d7fbacked No | 1c | 54,689$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.51 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…62abbacked No | 6c | 53,774$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.32 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbb…377abacked No | 3c | 50,730$1,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,397.21 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fdc…3ad2backed No | 2c | 50,041$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,153.44 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f75…0ac6backed No | 2c | 49,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…54edbacked No | 3c | 48,271$1,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,256.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed No | 12c | 47,732$5,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,684.69 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6028…10eebacked No | 4c | 45,341$1,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,810.58 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f36…c6d2backed No | 2c | 42,104$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$953.52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ef…f8e9backed No | 2c | 40,862$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020.21 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5545…f481backed No | 3c | 40,527$1,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,045.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf42…1a14backed No | 2c | 40,145$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.82 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba32…deaabacked No | 2c | 39,089$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.15 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31f…0e79backed No | 1c | 38,403$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed No | 3c | 38,195$1,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,227.55 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…d3a5backed No | 2c | 37,102$883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882.78 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37b4…d5e5backed No | 3c | 36,500$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.5 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -59.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c9…45e9backed No | 4c | 36,169$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5235…c04abacked No | 9c | 35,503$3,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,340.08 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…a4aebacked No | 0c | 35,370$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…5204backed No | 3c | 33,758$1,053 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.63 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -53.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450d…a3d4backed No | 3c | 33,343$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a6d…5676backed No | 3c | 33,270$1,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a28…da50backed No | 3c | 32,894$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.59 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2be…2995backed No | 1c | 32,001$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92c7…c136backed No | 10c | 31,595$3,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.61 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9710…353abacked No | 1c | 31,011$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a9c…97a4backed No | 3c | 30,426$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.51 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ea4…2e1ebacked No | 4c | 30,282$1,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,204.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 61c | 29,678$18,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,531.29 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d2…59f6backed No | 3c | 29,284$776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…3b8bbacked No | 40c | 28,726$11,384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,383.83 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40f3…108bbacked No | 3c | 27,262$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3726…8f92backed No | 4c | 27,054$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.99 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…8e79backed No | 2c | 26,066$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93f8…f5c3backed No | 4c | 24,205$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50bc…78c2backed No | 2c | 23,960$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.93 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeea…ca3fbacked No | 2c | 23,459$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb669…322cbacked No | 3c | 23,091$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.13 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…499bbacked No | 2c | 21,964$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c00…026fbacked No | 2c | 21,483$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed No | 17c | 20,934$3,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,558.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b5…280cbacked No | 7c | 20,328$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02f…e4b1backed No | 12c | 20,000$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,326.86 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00e2…d56abacked Yes | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3779…0f80backed No | 10c | 20,000$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.15per pick | 15cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0532…0a3abacked No | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x451a…9745backed No | 2c | 19,933$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…501bbacked No | 3c | 19,643$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726c…8221backed Yes | 69c | 19,622$13,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,146.26 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51c9…6f01backed Yes | 72c | 19,432$13,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c1…c6d5backed No | 3c | 19,078$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde54…473abacked No | 2c | 19,013$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5867…b135backed No | 3c | 18,649$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e15…b5eabacked No | 3c | 18,514$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.89 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe14f…a357backed No | 2c | 18,495$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$443.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 61c | 17,800$10,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,798.75 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed53…bbb4backed No | 2c | 17,521$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 14c | 16,962$2,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,433.95 | 67 | 17.9%12 W · 55 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x66fd…01e6backed No | 3c | 16,852$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.04 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3baabacked No | 2c | 16,518$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4574…0b7abacked No | 2c | 16,441$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.1 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fb…9b64backed No | 1c | 15,622$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67d…0d83backed No | 1c | 15,308$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f07…e4c7backed No | 1c | 15,215$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe24…5089backed No | 3c | 15,153$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…ed95backed No | 1c | 15,014$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fed Rates and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?this page
- Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after June 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No won
- Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after June 2025 meeting?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.