F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa174f32af89ca6dfa702f9aa009b63433f47e1086205e485581b24d0e9a76890
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,126
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,126 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 13c | 2,308$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed Yes | 14c | 2,007$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.84 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 33c | 1,193$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.29 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 25c | 1,050$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.5 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 75c | 968.8$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.2 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +4.9wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 19c | 899.75$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.69 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 10c | 750$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…bedfbacked Yes | 13c | 659.28$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 78c | 652.49$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.89 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 74c | 617.33$457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.5 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 33c | 607.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…12e6backed No | 2c | 600$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +671.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa15c…a3c3backed Yes | 26c | 555.42$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Yes | 26c | 509.33$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.12 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 25c | 500$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.38 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 14c | 500$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.73 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…14cdbacked Yes | 14c | 500$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 76c | 476.04$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.8 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Yes | 25c | 392.72$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.36 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 79c | 307.78$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.68 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 75c | 295.45$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.14 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 16c | 249.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.1 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacfb…8c5dbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 71c | 216.29$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.11 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…182cbacked Yes | 19c | 190.77$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed Yes | 27c | 173.51$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 75c | 155$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 21c | 150$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…bc6dbacked Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 21c | 117.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 21c | 116.78$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 15c | 100.78$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc827…1ed9backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…4e38backed No | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 23c | 99.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 76c | 97.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.37 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Yes | 21c | 96.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 72c | 84.02$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…c01dbacked Yes | 16c | 67.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fee…54fabacked Yes | 29c | 61.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.72 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 76c | 58.9$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 59c | 58$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…f8cabacked Yes | 26c | 57.34$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 71c | 51.79$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a8…3783backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…0ab0backed No | 79c | 46.57$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 76c | 44.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 42$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 78c | 31.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 55c | 29.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed Yes | 41c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.17 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf638…8c7abacked No | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 70cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.