F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0562df0d4d001facb61f01d10cec89403b854b4e093889b9169e0e1387f6801b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 0c | 7,139$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 1c | 5,408$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.3 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked Yes | 2c | 3,032$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.59 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 3c | 2,096$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.91 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 7c | 1,540$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.53 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f80…14cdbacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…6012backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d6…dde8backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 21 | 4.8%1 W · 20 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x805a…0635backed Yes | 2c | 900.65$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 11c | 700$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa78…7248backed Yes | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 11.4%4 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x968d…e3b6backed Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 57 | 14%8 W · 49 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6332…6128backed Yes | 10c | 291.83$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…e5febacked Yes | 15c | 200.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.