F1 · resolved market
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7552ae6be49dcf004950864d388d063c4251792d0baad2fa139bd9ae7cd49881
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,588
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,588 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa178…2112backed Yes | 64c | 1,500$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,456$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 22cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 62c | 1,429$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.9 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 25c | 868.55$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.97 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Yes | 20c | 792.72$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.44 | 80 | 27.5%22 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6af…e12fbacked No | 30c | 789.05$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$552.34 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee6…6887backed Yes | 20c | 700$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 58c | 672.07$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.27 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 20c | 670$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 70c | 645.49$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.94 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes | 38c | 520.76$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b84…3e61backed Yes | 32c | 313.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcced…9ffebacked No | 72c | 285.66$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.59 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 75c | 278.71$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.6 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 36c | 278.06$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Yes | 36c | 276.74$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3aa…e5febacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fb…c3efbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…bc6dbacked Yes | 39c | 242$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.97 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 70c | 231.98$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.06 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 68cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 66c | 229.58$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed No | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa532…114bbacked Yes | 22c | 200$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc36e…1524backed Yes | 24c | 200$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…896fbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 71c | 161.53$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60a3…f5e8backed Yes | 30c | 131.71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…a576backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf218…c4c7backed Yes | 22c | 120$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 21c | 118.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.38 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…f6b8backed No | 74c | 114.48$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb32…b21ebacked No | 69c | 105.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.07 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a8…1b38backed No | 66c | 101.22$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 75c | 100.48$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | +5.3wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…d6c2backed Yes | 33c | 100.37$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.12 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22db…190fbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed Yes | 31c | 99.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.99 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x754f…4e38backed Yes | 32c | 99.84$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 68c | 88.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.35 | 91 | 65.9%60 W · 31 L | +10.1wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabf1…5f39backed Yes | 23c | 85.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e834backed No | 74c | 85.57$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 46 | 73.9%34 W · 12 L | +8.3wins | +0.18per pick | 56cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xacfb…8c5dbacked Yes | 25c | 81.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 22c | 80.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…e878backed Yes | 30c | 80.01$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5b…f8cabacked Yes | 35c | 70.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9304…f693backed No | 66c | 70.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.84 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 22cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e60…b440backed Yes | 20c | 66.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 124 | 19.4%24 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04c1…642ebacked Yes | 31c | 64.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed No | 69c | 62.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 57 | 63.2%36 W · 21 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 21c | 59.54$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x279c…c01dbacked Yes | 20c | 57.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked Yes | 36c | 56.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac34…3ce4backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcbf…4ffabacked Yes | 22c | 49.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c3…a7b6backed No | 64c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f5…4183backed Yes | 36c | 48.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0308…182cbacked Yes | 22c | 45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 38cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x530e…a4b2backed Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 68c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa332…a055backed Yes | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0af8…9454backed Yes | 38c | 31.57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?Yes won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian GP pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.