TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,648
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,098

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,648 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2707…0afabacked Yes6c9,500$591 inLost-$591.112523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8996…fbcebacked Yes1c5,296$53 inLost-$52.96520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-73.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545d…c122backed Yes2c4,930$100 inLost-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick12cpaid-58.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51a0…01e0backed Yes3c2,874$99 inLost-$99.09520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-48.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ee6…6887backed Yes1c2,547$33 inLost-$33.111717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b15…e717backed Yes2c2,332$37 inLost-$36.6530%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes3c2,319$61 inLost-$61.142512%3 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6fee…54fabacked Yes8c2,042$162 inLost-$162.12213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes2c1,697$40 inLost-$403619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4fad…1480backed Yes2c1,486$28 inLost-$28.131612.5%2 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick10cpaid-82.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes1c1,325$10 inLost-$10.29570%0 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes6c1,089$67 inLost-$67.49219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e82…8b1abacked Yes1c795.61$10 inLost-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes5c560.02$28 inLost-$28.423766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes3c542.75$18 inLost-$17.943215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes2c500$12 inLost-$11.897115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x616f…6012backed Yes9c348.54$30 inLost-$304228.6%12 W · 30 L-3.6wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-35.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x65b8…e8b8backed Yes6c345$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d47…30aabacked Yes7c285.71$20 inLost-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick10cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b2a…ad9abacked Yes7c283.48$21 inLost-$20.930%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35b1…25d9backed Yes8c230.32$19 inLost-$18.8930%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe390…6a83backed Yes5c208.32$11 inLost-$1120%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd229…fcd6backed Yes7c181$13 inLost-$13.39210%0 W · 21 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57ad…04a8backed Yes10c151.9$15 inLost-$15728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+24.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes11c128$14 inLost-$14.3412325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.