TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,929
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$91,162

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,929 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3151…0977backed No72c11,606$8,302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,304.07862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.24per pick39cpaid+71%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x325f…d8acbacked No72c6,169$4,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,744.613345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick39cpaid-10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes32c5,664$1,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,797.498939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No65c5,055$3,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,767.625255.8%29 W · 23 L+5.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No66c4,218$2,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.698330.1%25 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce17…f662backed Yes12c3,988$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484.220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x727b…d1a2backed Yes26c3,808$973 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.449219.6%18 W · 74 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-32.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x15e0…8d86backed Yes33c2,773$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$915.15333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-55.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddeb…0ba1backed Yes27c2,200$589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$588.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37b4…d5e5backed Yes35c2,064$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$721.7420%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd59…c3a5backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003619.4%7 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-43.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89c6…7961backed Yes9c2,000$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1753420.6%7 W · 27 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x155c…1b09backed Yes35c1,586$555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5552020%4 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa49b…4c40backed Yes35c1,474$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.93228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.2wins0.00per pick28cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bcc…f8b2backed Yes3c1,443$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504040%16 W · 24 L-0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa0ec…d592backed Yes2c1,396$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick11cpaid+108.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0065…02f3backed Yes4c1,238$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.711233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick29cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdeb6…8f5dbacked Yes15c1,191$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.172512%3 W · 22 L-2.7wins-0.11per pick23cpaid-65.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x89dc…e209backed Yes34c1,128$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes35c1,044$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.237028.6%20 W · 50 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-54.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdfc1…818dbacked Yes33c1,042$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.871926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-42.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes20c1,024$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.0712523.2%29 W · 96 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-30.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…10fabacked Yes12c1,020$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.751526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-42.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes22c1,020$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.385420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc9c8…44fbbacked No67c1,008$670 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$337.557433.8%25 W · 49 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-34.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x649f…993ebacked Yes33c999.96$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329.991050%5 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+29.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x919b…e190backed Yes2c944.81$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xddc7…581bbacked No68c918.06$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.06450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-19.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b3d…8db7backed Yes24c916.45$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.417115.5%11 W · 60 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-44.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb7ad…d11dbacked Yes22c899.99$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2025137.3%19 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes32c876$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.3221337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c14…af5fbacked Yes35c857.14$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.16per pick42cpaid+37.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd5dd…7564backed Yes3c852$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.79520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick37cpaid-60%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb663…bedfbacked Yes35c839.14$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.71711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes9c761$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.711010%1 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick9cpaid+26.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes39c760.68$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.13per pick22cpaid-53.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a8…1b38backed Yes16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006136.1%22 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bc0…47e5backed Yes16c614.72$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003545.7%16 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick35cpaid-6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x88f0…1d25backed Yes34c588.26$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.0130%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x06a8…5df3backed Yes34c562.24$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.261723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x94ea…c24dbacked Yes4c555.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9968…a104backed Yes39c531.57$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.05425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-59.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No77c504.28$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.6812353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93dc…896fbacked Yes18c500$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42f5…4183backed Yes21c492.96$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.192123.8%5 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-31.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed No69c478.05$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.352867.9%19 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick62cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95d9…ab03backed Yes5c470$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.53713.5%5 W · 32 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-70.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6fee…54fabacked Yes33c457.7$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.72213.6%3 W · 19 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick12cpaid-6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9196…c311backed No67c447.76$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.764827.1%13 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22eb…ad17backed Yes5c428.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-81.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84c2…c73cbacked Yes5c427.6$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-74.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c2…7382backed Yes33c416.78$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.5410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed No67c416.78$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.546835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x693d…a487backed Yes33c389.76$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.62616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed Yes30c375.79$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.5112646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3df1…38dfbacked Yes23c341.61$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick25cpaid-47.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x279c…c01dbacked Yes33c335.12$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.670%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa7b3…246abacked Yes33c332.99$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.891723.5%4 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb32…b21ebacked No76c313.93$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.943571.4%25 W · 10 L+5.5wins+0.16per pick56cpaid+18.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc827…1ed9backed Yes35c300.57$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.2616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick16cpaid+5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd303…9c76backed Yes33c299.99$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46a6…8c21backed No63c299.99$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.994242.9%18 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85a5…6721backed Yes40c299.83$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No75c285.47$214 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.9814356.6%81 W · 62 L+9.4wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd985…d2f5backed Yes35c272.54$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.39333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9de…1815backed Yes22c270$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.720%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9e…547dbacked No66c249.99$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a62…8398backed Yes17c246.22$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57bd…cf55backed Yes15c233.33$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4483…c565backed No69c217.77$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.77955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick63cpaid0%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ac5…9bc0backed Yes9c210$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f3d…3332backed Yes13c209.6$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-20.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x43e8…5ba4backed Yes17c208.89$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352714.8%4 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-55.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd703…fb35backed Yes38c200$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7630%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e60…b440backed Yes20c200$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4012419.4%24 W · 100 L+0.5wins0.00per pick19cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7665…f332backed Yes35c199.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2515…a008backed Yes51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002339.1%9 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-38.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8688…5039backed Yes40c192.5$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$771040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x88b0…b118backed No62c192.43$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.123250%16 W · 16 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Yes15c185.96$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.815759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc24a…5cd7backed Yes37c178.38$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No77c163.68$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.1411266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf002…9048backed Yes35c160.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.2320%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ff9…066abacked Yes34c156.05$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.84540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+66.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…0b8fbacked Yes32c150$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.540%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f8…451fbacked Yes34c147.06$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xacb2…e1fabacked Yes17c147.06$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252623.1%6 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick23cpaid+96%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44eb…c390backed Yes14c142.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecb4…9c38backed Yes36c138.89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501735.3%6 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick28cpaid+57.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed No67c133.88$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.882653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6554…bbd6backed Yes15c133.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-68.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x852e…95d9backed Yes16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x490f…17e5backed Yes23c120.41$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.243215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-66.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x881a…8d6dbacked Yes30c118.84$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.141838.9%7 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+91.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe397…7ed1backed Yes13c117.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.23450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d50…2e97backed Yes35c115.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick25cpaid+212.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…672abacked Yes25c107.88$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.97728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c40…0c8fbacked Yes26c104.27$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3720%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x187f…c378backed Yes29c104.1$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd673…1b22backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25717.5%10 W · 47 L-4.8wins-0.08per pick26cpaid-52.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.